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Neural networks have recently achieved human-level performance on various challenging natural language processing (NLP) tasks, but it is notoriously difficult to understand why a neural network produced a particular prediction. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Sharan Narang , Colin Raffel , Katherine Lee , Adam Roberts , Noah Fiedel , Karishma Malkan

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is increasingly required in computational economics, where machine-learning forecasters can outperform classical econometric models but remain difficult to audit and use for policy. This survey…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 Agustín García-García , Pablo Hidalgo , Julio E. Sandubete

Large Language Models (LLMs) increasingly rely on long-form, multi-step reasoning to solve complex tasks such as mathematical problem solving and scientific question answering. Despite strong performance, existing confidence estimation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Zhenjiang Mao , Anirudhh Venkat , Artem Bisliouk , Akshat Kothiyal , Sindhura Kumbakonam Subramanian , Saithej Singhu , Ivan Ruchkin

Financial markets are a source of non-stationary multidimensional time series which has been drawing attention for decades. Each financial instrument has its specific changing-over-time properties, making its analysis a complex task. Hence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Artur Sokolovsky , Luca Arnaboldi , Jaume Bacardit , Thomas Gross

Industrial time-series, as a structural data responds to production process information, can be utilized to perform data-driven decision-making for effective monitoring of industrial production process. However, there are some challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Chao Min , Guoquan Wen , Jiangru Yuan , Jun Yi , Xing Guo

The stock market is a network which provides a platform for almost all major economic transactions. While investing in the stock market is a good idea, investing in individual stocks may not be, especially for the casual investor. Smart…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-30 Om Mane , Saravanakumar kandasamy

The reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have significantly advanced their performance by enabling in-depth understanding of diverse tasks. With growing interest in applying LLMs to the time series domain, this has proven…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jiahui Zhou , Dan Li , Lin Li , Zhuomin Chen , Shunyu Wu , Haozheng Ye , Jian Lou , Costas J. Spanos

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

Video Large Language Models (Video LLMs) have shown promising capabilities in video comprehension, yet they struggle with tracking temporal changes and reasoning about temporal relationships. While previous research attributed this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Lei Li , Yuanxin Liu , Linli Yao , Peiyuan Zhang , Chenxin An , Lean Wang , Xu Sun , Lingpeng Kong , Qi Liu

Recall the classical text generation works, the generation framework can be briefly divided into two phases: \textbf{idea reasoning} and \textbf{surface realization}. The target of idea reasoning is to figure out the main idea which will be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-08-09 Wei Wang , Piji Li , Hai-Tao Zheng

Automated predictions require explanations to be interpretable by humans. Past work used attention and rationale mechanisms to find words that predict the target variable of a document. Often though, they result in a tradeoff between noisy…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Diego Antognini , Claudiu Musat , Boi Faltings

Robot chain-of-thought reasoning (CoT) -- wherein a model predicts helpful intermediate representations before choosing actions -- provides an effective method for improving the generalization and performance of robot policies, especially…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-20 William Chen , Suneel Belkhale , Suvir Mirchandani , Oier Mees , Danny Driess , Karl Pertsch , Sergey Levine

Financial Sentiment Analysis (FSA) traditionally relies on human-annotated sentiment labels to infer investor sentiment and forecast market movements. However, inferring the potential market impact of words based on their human-perceived…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Hamid Moradi-Kamali , Mohammad-Hossein Rajabi-Ghozlou , Mahdi Ghazavi , Ali Soltani , Amirreza Sattarzadeh , Reza Entezari-Maleki

Time series forecasting has traditionally focused on univariate and multivariate numerical data, often overlooking the benefits of incorporating multimodal information, particularly textual data. In this paper, we propose a novel framework…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Xin Zhou , Weiqing Wang , Shilin Qu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Christoph Bergmeir

Financial market analysis, especially the prediction of movements of stock prices, is a challenging problem. The nature of financial time-series data, being non-stationary and nonlinear, is the main cause of these challenges. Deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

Evaluating the trustworthiness of a model's prediction is essential for differentiating between `right for the right reasons' and `right for the wrong reasons'. Identifying textual spans that determine the target label, known as faithful…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Max Glockner , Ivan Habernal , Iryna Gurevych

Temporal Sentence Grounding in Videos (TSGV), which aims to ground a natural language sentence in an untrimmed video, has drawn widespread attention over the past few years. However, recent studies have found that current benchmark datasets…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Xiaohan Lan , Yitian Yuan , Xin Wang , Long Chen , Zhi Wang , Lin Ma , Wenwu Zhu

Multi-modal language model has made advanced progress in vision and audio, but still faces significant challenges in dealing with complex reasoning tasks in the time series domain. The reasons are twofold. First, labels for multi-modal time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Haochuan Zhang , Chunhua Yang , Jie Han , Liyang Qin , Xiaoli Wang

Evaluating the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) for complex, quantitative financial tasks is a critical and unsolved challenge. Standard benchmarks often fail to isolate an agent's core ability to parse queries and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Anton Kolonin , Alexey Glushchenko , Evgeny Bochkov , Abhishek Saxena

This paper introduces a novel spatiotemporal feature representation model designed to address the limitations of traditional methods in multidimensional time series (MTS) analysis. The proposed approach converts MTS into one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Xu Yan , Yaoting Jiang , Wenyi Liu , Didi Yi , Jianjun Wei
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