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The paper proposes a systematic framework for building data-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) models from sparse, noisy observations. Unlike traditional parametric approaches, which assume a known functional form for the drift,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra , Jinpu Zhou

Delay Differential Equations (DDEs) are a class of differential equations that can model diverse scientific phenomena. However, identifying the parameters, especially the time delay, that make a DDE's predictions match experimental results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Robert Stephany

We introduce a class of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) on the Wasserstein space of probability measures. This formulation extends the classical correspondence between BSDEs, stochastic control, and partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Mao Fabrice Djete

The Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) algorithm can be applied to stochastic differential equations to estimate the drift and the diffusion function using data from a realization of the SDE. The SINDy algorithm requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Mathias Wanner , Igor Mezić

We present an approach for synthesising observational data with elastodynamic finite element models by extending the statistical finite element method (statFEM) framework. The proposed formulation adopts a Bayesian filtering approach to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Igor Kavrakov , Yaswanth Sai Jetti , Ahmet Oguzhan Yuksel , Fehmi Cirak

We present an arbitrage free theoretical framework for modeling bid and ask prices of dividend paying securities in a discrete time setup using theory of dynamic acceptability indices. In the first part of the paper we develop the theory of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Tao Chen

We investigate the problem of establishing finite-time probabilistic safety guarantees for discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems subject to unknown disturbance distributions, using barrier certificate methods. Our approach develops a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Taoran Wu , Dominik Wagner , C. -H. Luke Ong , Bai Xue

In differential equation discovery algorithms, a priori expert knowledge is mainly used implicitly to constrain the form of the expected equation, making it impossible for the algorithm to truly discover equations. Instead, most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Elizaveta Ivanchik , Alexander Hvatov

We study a class of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) driven by a random measure or, equivalently, by a marked point process. Under appropriate assumptions we prove well-posedness and continuous dependence of the solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

We study the automated abstraction-based synthesis of correct-by-construction control policies for stochastic dynamical systems with unknown dynamics. Our approach is to learn an abstraction from sampled data, which is represented in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-03 Mahdi Nazeri , Thom Badings , Anne-Kathrin Schmuck , Sadegh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

Modern societies have an abundance of data yet good system models are rare. Unfortunately, many of the current system identification and machine learning techniques fail to generalize outside of the training set, producing models that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-27 Gabriel F. Machado , Morgan Jones

In this paper, we propose Stoch-IDENT, a novel framework for identifying stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) from observational data. Our method can handle linear and nonlinear high-order SPDEs driven by time-dependent Wiener…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Jianbo Cui , Roy Y. He

The fractional Feynman-Kac equations describe the distribution of functionals of non-Brownian motion, or anomalous diffusion, including two types called the forward and backward fractional Feynman-Kac equations, where the fractional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Jiahui Hu , Jungang Wang , Zhanbin Yuan , Zongze Yang , Yufeng Nie

In this paper we investigate BSDEs where the driver contains a distributional term (in the sense of generalised functions) and derive general Feynman-Kac formulae related to these BSDEs. We introduce an integral operator to give sense to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Elena Issoglio , Francesco Russo

In this article we consider parametric Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations (SDE) driven by a pure-jump stable Levy process, which is observed at high frequency. In most cases of practical interest, the likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-28 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Hiroki Masuda

A data-driven computational method is introduced to extract chemical reaction mechanisms from time series chemical concentration data. It is realized through the use of dynamic symbolic regression in which a sparse analytical form for a…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-02-13 Manuel Palma Banos , Joel D. Kress , Rigoberto Hernandez , Galen T. Craven

In this article, we introduce a novel backward method to model stochastic gene expression and protein level dynamics. The protein amount is regarded as a diffusion process and is described by a backward stochastic differential equation…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-04-05 Evelina Shamarova , Roman Chertovskih , Alexandre F. Ramos , Paulo Aguiar

We extend the data-driven method of Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) developed by Brunton et al, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci USA 113 (2016) to the case of delay differential equations (DDEs). This is achieved in a bilevel…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Antoine Sandoz , Verena Ducret , Georg A. Gottwald , Gilles Vilmart , Karl Perron

In this paper, with the aid of the powerful Restricted Isometry Constant (RIC), a deterministic (or say non-stochastic) analysis, which includes a series of sufficient conditions (related to the RIC order) and their resultant error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Wendong Wang , Jianjun Wang

Trajectory generation and trajectory prediction are two critical tasks in autonomous driving, which generate various trajectories for testing during development and predict the trajectories of surrounding vehicles during operation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Ruochen Jiao , Yixuan Wang , Xiangguo Liu , Chao Huang , Qi Zhu