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With the exponential growth in the world population and the constant increase in human mobility, the danger of outbreaks of epidemics is rising. Especially in high density urban areas such as public transport and transfer points, where…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-01-04 Mei Shan , Zhou Xuan , Zhu Yifan , Zu Zhenghu , Zheng Tao , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A Sloot

Our study is devoted to a four-compartment epidemic model of a constant population of independent random walkers. Each walker is in one of four compartments (S-susceptible, C-infected but not infectious (period of incubation), I-infected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-29 Teo Granger , Thomas Michelitsch , Bernard Collet , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro Riascos

Some patients with COVID-19 show changes in signs and symptoms such as temperature and oxygen saturation days before being positively tested for SARS-CoV-2, while others remain asymptomatic. It is important to identify these subgroups and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Xiaoran Ma , Wensheng Guo , Mengyang Gu , Len Usvyat , Peter Kotanko , Yuedong Wang

The concept of the mutual influence that awareness and disease may exert on each other has recently presented significant challenges. The actions individuals take to prevent contracting a disease and their level of awareness can profoundly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Sara Shabani , Sahar Jafarbegloo , Sadegh Raeisi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

Commuting is an important part of daily life. With the gradual recovery from COVID-19 and more people returning to work from the office, the transmission of COVID-19 during commuting becomes a concern. Recent emerging mobility services…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-09 Baichuan Mo , Peyman Noursalehi , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

Malaria transmission in Madagascar is highly heterogeneous, exhibiting spatial, seasonal and long-term trends. Previous efforts to map malaria risk in Madagascar used prevalence data from Malaria Indicator Surveys. These cross-sectional…

We present a two-species population model in a well-mixed environment where the dynamics involves, in addition to birth and death, changes due to environmental factors and inter-species interactions. The novel dynamical components are…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-09-17 J. J. Dong , J. D. Russo , K. Sampson

The modeling of the spreading of communicable diseases has experienced significant advances in the last two decades or so. This has been possible due to the proliferation of data and the development of new methods to gather, mine and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Alberto Aleta , Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Yamir Moreno

West Nile virus (WNV) is a vector-borne pathogen of global relevance and is currently the most widely distributed flavivirus of encephalitis worldwide. This virus infects birds, humans, horses, and other mammals, and its transmission cycle…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-05 Camila Lorenz , Thiago Salomao de Azevedo , Francisco Chiaravalloti-Neto

Climate change is expected to alter the distribution of ambient ozone levels and temperatures which, in turn, may impact public health. Much research has focused on the effect of short-term ozone exposures on mortality and morbidity while…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-05 Ander Wilson , Ana G. Rappold , Lucas M. Neas , Brian J. Reich

We examine how spatial heterogeneity combines with mobility network structure to influence vector-borne disease dynamics. Specifically, we consider a Ross-Macdonald-type disease model on $n$ spatial locations that are coupled by host…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-22 Omar Saucedo , Joseph H. Tien

We introduce and discuss a kinetic framework describing the time evolution of the statistical distributions of a population divided into the compartments of susceptible, infectious, recovered, and resistant in the presence of a microbial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-07 Marco Menale , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

Massive river interlinking projects are proposed to offset observed increasing trends of extremes, such as droughts and floods in India, the second highest populated country.These river interlinking projects involve water transfer from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-21 Tejasvi Chauhan , Anjana Devanand , M. K. Roxy , Karumuri Ashok , Subimal Ghosh

Background: This study examines cardiometabolic (CM) risk factors in an urban South Asian population, integrating medical and Anthropological perspectives to explore the effects of socio-economic, lifestyle, gender-specific factors, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-11 Karishma Yasmin

Malaria control strategies aiming at reducing disease transmission intensity may impact both oocyst intensity and infection prevalence in the mosquito vector. Thus far, mathematical models failed to identify a clear relationship between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-24 Robin Genuer , Isabelle Morlais , Wilson Toussile

A mathematical model of Zika virus transmission incorporating human movement between rural areas and nearby forests is presented to investigate the role of human movement in the spread of Zika virus infections in human and mosquito…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-26 Kifah Al-Maqrashi , Fatma Al-Musalhi , Ibrahim M. Elmojtaba , Nasser Al-Salti

Climate change is a result of a complex system of interactions of greenhouse gases (GHG), the ocean, land, ice, and clouds. Large climate change models use several computers and solve several equations to predict the future climate. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-21 Shalin Shah

Forecasting transmission of infectious diseases, especially for vector-borne diseases, poses unique challenges for researchers. Behaviors of and interactions between viruses, vectors, hosts, and the environment each play a part in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Stephen A Lauer , Alexandria C Brown , Nicholas G Reich

West Nile virus (WNV) is a climate-sensitive mosquito-borne arbovirus circulating between mosquitoes of the genus Culex and birds, with a potential spillover to humans and other mammals. Recent trends in climatic change, characterized by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-18 Pride Duve , Felix Sauer , Renke Lühken

The impact that information diffusion has on epidemic spreading has recently attracted much attention. As a disease begins to spread in the population, information about the disease is transmitted to others, which in turn has an effect on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Ge Zhou , Zi-Ke Zhang , Gui-Quan Sun , Jonathan J. H. Zhu