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Many malaria-endemic areas experience seasonal fluctuations in case incidence as Anopheles mosquito and Plasmodium parasite life cycles respond to changing environmental conditions. While most existing maps of malaria seasonality use fixed…

Malaria is one of the deadliest diseases in the world, every year millions of people become victims of this disease and many even lose their lives. Medical professionals and the government could take accurate measures to protect the people…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-03 Adithya Rajnarayanan , Manoj Kumar , Abdessamad Tridane

Soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infections, one of the most prevalent neglected tropical diseases, pose a significant threat to public health in tropical and subtropical areas. These parasites infect humans and animals through direct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-07 Rafiatu Imoro , Maica Krizna Gavina , Vachel Gay Paller , Jomar Rabajante , Mark Jayson Cortez , Editha Jose

Mathematical and computational modeling approaches are increasingly used as quantitative tools in the analysis and forecasting of infectious disease epidemics. The growing need for realism in addressing complex public health questions is…

In contrast to the wet gets wetter and dry gets drier paradigm, here, using observations and climate model simulations, we show that the mean rainfall over the semi-arid northwest parts of India and Pakistan has increased by 10 to 50…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-29 P. V. Rajesh , B. N. Goswami

Malaria remains a major public health concern in Ethiopia, particularly in the Amhara Region, where seasonal and unpredictable transmission patterns make prevention and control challenging. Accurately forecasting malaria outbreaks is…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-03 Kassahun Azezew , Amsalu Tesema , Bitew Mekuria , Ayenew Kassie , Animut Embiale , Ayodeji Olalekan Salau , Tsega Asresa

Infectious disease transmission dynamics are particularly sensitive to social contact patterns, and the precautions people take to limit disease transmission. It depends on the age distribution of the community. Thus, knowing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-19 Vijay Pal Bajiya , Jai Prakash Tripathi , Ranjit Kumar Upadhyay

Most contemporary mortality models rely on extrapolating trends or past events. However, population dynamics will be significantly impacted by climate change, notably the influence of temperatures on mortality. In this paper, we introduce a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Quentin Guibert , Gaëlle Pincemin , Frédéric Planchet

Dengue, a mosquito-borne viral disease common in tropical areas, is spread by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Temperature changes driven by climate affect vector ecology and expand regions of species coexistence. The combined effect of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-16 Santiago Andrés Villamil Chacón , Mauricio Santos-Vega

In a study of the heterogeneity in malaria infection rates among children Smith et al.1 fitted several mathematical models to data from community studies in Africa. They concluded that 20% of children receive 80% of infections, that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-03 Brian G. Williams , Christopher Dye

In regard to infectious diseases socioeconomic determinants are strongly associated with differential exposure and susceptibility however they are seldom accounted for by standard compartmental infectious disease models. These associations…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-28 Alison C Hale , Jonathan M Read , Christopher P Jewell

The latest WHO report showed that the number of malaria cases climbed to 219 million last year, two million higher than last year. The global efforts to fight malaria have hit a plateau and the most significant underlying reason is…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Sumit Kumar , Harsh Vardhan , Sneha Priya , Ayush Kumar

According to the WHO, in 2021, about 32% of pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa were infected with malaria during pregnancy. Malaria infection during pregnancy can cause various adverse birth outcomes such as low birthweight. Over the past…

Objective: The study aimed to determine the prevalence of several non-communicable diseases (NCD) and analyze risk factors among adult patients seeking nutritional guidance in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Result: Our study observed the relationships…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-19 Mrinmoy Roy , Anica Tasnim Protity , Srabonti Das , Porarthi Dhar

Evidence on the heat-mental health nexus remains mixed. I show that this can be partly explained by previous studies focusing solely on temperature while neglecting temperature-humidity interactions. Using a measure that considers both…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-13 Manuela Fritz

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

Despite extensive control efforts over the centuries, cholera remains a globally significant health issue. Seasonal emergence of cholera cases has been reported, particularly in the Bengal delta region, which is often synchronized with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-31 Biplab Maity , Swarnendu Banerjee , Abhishek Senapati , Jon Pitchford , Joydev Chattopadhyay

The dynamics of infectious diseases propagating in populations depends both on human interaction patterns, the contagion process and the pathogenesis within hosts. The immune system follows a circadian rhythm and, consequently, the chance…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Zhanwei Du , Petter Holme

Climate-mediated changes in the spatiotemporal distribution of thermal stress can destabilize animal populations and promote extinction risk. Using quantile, spectral, and wavelet analyses of temperature projections from the latest…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-22 Kate Duffy , Tarik C. Gouhier , Auroop R. Ganguly

Malaria is the leading cause of death globally, especially in sub-Saharan African countries claiming over 400,000 deaths globally each year, underscoring the critical need for continued efforts to combat this preventable and treatable…