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In the user growth scenario, Internet companies invest heavily in paid acquisition channels to acquire new users. But sustainable growth depends on acquired users' generating lifetime value (LTV) exceeding customer acquisition cost (CAC).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Yibing Wan , Zhengxiong Guan , Chaoli Zhang , Xiaoyang Li , Lai Xu , Beibei Jia , Zhenzhe Zheng , Fan Wu

The emergence of deep learning has yielded noteworthy advancements in time series forecasting (TSF). Transformer architectures, in particular, have witnessed broad utilization and adoption in TSF tasks. Transformers have proven to be the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Liyilei Su , Xumin Zuo , Rui Li , Xin Wang , Heng Zhao , Bingding Huang

The prevailing Direct Forecasting (DF) paradigm dominates Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) by forcing models to predict the entire future horizon in a single forward pass. While efficient, this rigid coupling of output and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jiaming Ma , Siyuan Mu , Ruilin Tang , Haofeng Ma , Qihe Huang , Zhengyang Zhou , Pengkun Wang , Binwu Wang , Yang Wang

The frequency-domain properties of nonstationary functional time series often contain valuable information. These properties are characterized through its time-varying power spectrum. Practitioners seeking low-dimensional summary measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-12 Pramita Bagchi , Scott A. Bruce

Deep forecasting models often suffer from attenuated periodic perception and entangled trend-noise representations as network depth increases. Moreover, the widely adopted channel-independent paradigm, while improving training stability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Hua Wang , Xianhao Jiao , Fan Zhang

Fluctuation theorems (FTs) quantify the thermodynamic reversibility of a system, and for deterministic systems they are defined in terms of the dissipation function. However, in a nonequilibrium steady state of deterministic dynamics, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-24 Stephen Sanderson , Charlotte F. Petersen , Debra J. Searles

Diffusion models have been used for probabilistic time series forecasting and show strong potential. However, fixed noise schedules often produce intermediate states that are hard to invert and a terminal state that deviates from the near…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jintao Zhang , Zirui Liu , Mingyue Cheng , Xianquan Wang , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

In recent years, both online and offline deep learning models have been developed for time series forecasting. However, offline deep forecasting models fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data, while online deep forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Mohamed Mejri , Chandramouli Amarnath , Abhijit Chatterjee

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Location of non-stationary forced oscillation (FO) sources can be a challenging task, especially in cases under resonance condition with natural system modes, where the magnitudes of the oscillations could be greater in places far from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-22 Pablo Gill Estevez , Pablo Marchi , Francisco Messina , Cecilia Galarza

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has attracted much attention in many intelligent applications. It is not a trivial task, as we need to consider both intra-variable dependencies and inter-variable dependencies. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Donghui Chen , Ling Chen , Zongjiang Shang , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is a challenging task in many real-world non-stationary dynamic scenarios. In addition to intra-series temporal signals, the inter-series dependency also plays a crucial role in shaping future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Weijun Chen , Heyuan Wang , Ye Tian , Shijie Guan , Ning Liu

Time-series forecasting is a critical challenge in various domains and has witnessed substantial progress in recent years. Many real-life scenarios, such as public health, economics, and social applications, involve feedback loops where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , Alexander Rodriguez , B. Aditya Prakash

Time series forecasting drives operational decisions in areas like finance, transportation, and energy. While supervised learning approaches achieve strong performance, they require domain-specific training, feature engineering, and ongoing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Kavin Soni , Debanshu Das , Vamshi Guduguntla

We demonstrate the first successful non-invasive stabilisation of nonlinear travelling waves in a straight cylindrical pipe using time-delayed feedback control (TDF) working in various symmetry subspaces. By using an approximate linear…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-19 Tatsuya Yasuda , Dan Lucas

Accurately predicting the behavior of complex dynamical systems, characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) in interconnected sensor networks, is crucial for informed decision-making in various applications to minimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Krishna Sai Sudhir Aripirala , Shivam Gupta , Venkataramana Runkana

Consecutive frames in a video contain redundancy, but they may also contain relevant complementary information for the detection task. The objective of our work is to leverage this complementary information to improve detection. Therefore,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Noreen Anwar , Guillaume-Alexandre Bilodeau , Wassim Bouachir

Recently, deep learning has driven significant advancements in multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) tasks. However, much of the current research in MTSF tends to evaluate models from a holistic perspective, which obscures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Shuang Liang , Chaochuan Hou , Xu Yao , Shiping Wang , Minqi Jiang , Songqiao Han , Hailiang Huang

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for decision-making in domains such as weather, energy, and finance. It remains challenging because real-world sequences intertwine slow trends, multi-rate seasonalities, and irregular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Shunya Nagashima , Shuntaro Suzuki , Shuitsu Koyama , Shinnosuke Hirano

Due to their flexibility and dynamic coverage capabilities, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have emerged as vital platforms for emergency communication in disaster-stricken areas. However, the complex channel conditions in high-speed mobile…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Kexin Zhang , Xin Zhang , Lixin Li , Wensheng Lin , Wenchi Cheng , Qinghe Du
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