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We propose a new and intuitive metric for aleatoric uncertainty quantification (UQ), the prevalence of class collisions defined as the same input being observed in different classes. We use the rate of class collisions to define the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Jesse Friedbaum , Sudarshan Adiga , Ravi Tandon

We present a mixed-precision benchmark called HPL-MxP that uses both a lower-precision LU factorization with a non-stationary iterative refinement based on GMRES. We evaluate the numerical stability of one of the methods of generating the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Jack Dongarra , Piotr Luszczek

In (exploratory) factor analysis, the loading matrix is identified only up to orthogonal rotation. For identifiability, one thus often takes the loading matrix to be lower triangular with positive diagonal entries. In Bayesian inference, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-29 Dennis Leung , Mathias Drton

Neutrino cross-section measurements are often presented as unfolded binned distributions in "true" variables. The ill-posedness of the unfolding problem can lead to results with strong anti-correlations and fluctuations between bins, which…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-04-28 Lukas Koch

Analyzing large samples of high-dimensional data under dependence is a challenging statistical problem as long time series may have change points, most importantly in the mean and the marginal covariances, for which one needs valid tests.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

Alpha-based performance evaluation may fail to capture correlated residuals due to model errors. This paper proposes using the Generalized Information Ratio (GIR) to measure performance under misspecified benchmarks. Motivated by the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-24 Zhongzhi Lawrence He

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

The problem of covariance estimation for replicated surface-valued processes is examined from the functional data analysis perspective. Considerations of statistical and computational efficiency often compel the use of separability of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Tomas Masak , Victor M. Panaretos

The non-parametric estimation of covariance lies at the heart of functional data analysis, whether for curve or surface-valued data. The case of a two-dimensional domain poses both statistical and computational challenges, which are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Tomas Masak , Soham Sarkar , Victor M. Panaretos

This paper aims to examine the characteristics of the posterior distribution of covariance/precision matrices in a "large $p$, large $n$" scenario, where $p$ represents the number of variables and $n$ is the sample size. Our analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Partha Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh , Matt P. Wand

We develop a nonparametric, kernel-based joint estimator for conditional mean and covariance matrices in large and unbalanced panels. The estimator is supported by rigorous consistency results and finite-sample guarantees, ensuring its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Damir Filipovic , Paul Schneider

For time series with long-range temporal dependence, inference for covariance and precision matrices is non-trivial. We propose a Berry-Esseen type Gaussian approximation result that gives a finite-sample bound for the Kolmogorov distance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Percy S. Zhai , Mladen Kolar , Wei Biao Wu

Low-rank matrix approximations are often used to help scale standard machine learning algorithms to large-scale problems. Recently, matrix coherence has been used to characterize the ability to extract global information from a subset of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-09-07 Mehryar Mohri , Ameet Talwalkar

Linear regression is a frequently used tool in statistics, however, its validity and interpretability relies on strong model assumptions. While robust estimates of the coefficients' covariance extend the validity of hypothesis tests and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-23 Werner Brannath , Martin Scharpenberg

We describe a framework for random pairwise comparisons matrices, inspired by selected constructions releted to the so called inconsistency reduction of pairwise comparisons (PC) matrices. In to build up structures on random pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Jean-Pierre Magnot

Repeated measurements are common in many fields, where random variables are observed repeatedly across different subjects. Such data have an underlying hierarchical structure, and it is of interest to learn covariance/correlation at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Sunpeng Duan , Guo Yu , Juntao Duan , Yuedong Wang

Sparse Bayesian factor models are routinely implemented for parsimonious dependence modeling and dimensionality reduction in high-dimensional applications. We provide theoretical understanding of such Bayesian procedures in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Natesh S. Pillai , David Dunson

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of the covariance function of a Gaussian process by cross-validation. We suggest using new cross-validation criteria derived from the literature of scoring rules. We also provide an…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-07 Sébastien Petit , Julien Bect , Sébastien da Veiga , Paul Feliot , Emmanuel Vazquez

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

By employing the differential structure recently developed by N. Gigli, we first give a notion of functions of bounded variation ($BV$) in terms of suitable vector fields on a complete and separable metric measure space $(\mathbb{X},d,\mu)$…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Vito Buffa , Giovanni Eugenio Comi , Michele Miranda