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Recently, it has been shown in [Hairer, M., Hutzenthaler, M., Jentzen, A., Loss of regularity for Kolmogorov equations, Ann. Probab. 43, 2 (2015), 468--527] that there exists a system of stochastic differential equations (SDE) on the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Larisa Yaroslavtseva

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

We present a multilevel stochastic gradient descent method for the optimal control of systems governed by partial differential equations under uncertain input data. The gradient descent method used to find the optimal control leverages a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Niklas Baumgarten , David Schneiderhan

We estimate the parameter of a stationary time series process by minimizing the integrated weighted mean squared error between the empirical and simulated characteristic function, when the true characteristic functions cannot be explicitly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Richard A. Davis , Thiago do Rêgo Sousa , Claudia Klüppelberg

We study control variate methods for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in the setting of deterministic sweep sampling using $K\geq 2$ transition kernels. New variance reduction results are provided for MCMC averages based on sweeps over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Stephen Berg , Jun Zhu , Murray K. Clayton

In this article, we present a general methodology for stochastic control problems driven by the Brownian motion filtration including non-Markovian and non-semimartingale state processes controlled by mutually singular measures. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francys Andrews de Souza

In this paper we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to a class of partially observed stochastic differential equations (SDE) driven by jump processes. Such type of models can be routinely found in applications, of which we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-03 Mohamed Maama , Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani

Monte Carlo sampling is the standard approach for estimating properties of solutions to stochastic differential equations (SDEs), but accurate estimates require huge sample sizes. Lyons and Victoir (2004) proposed replacing independently…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Peter Koepernik , Thomas Coxon , James Foster

We study optimal stochastic control problem for non-Markovian stochastic differential equations (SDEs) where the drift, diffusion coefficients, and gain functionals are path-dependent, and importantly we do not make any ellipticity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-04 Marco Fuhrman , Huyên Pham

We present and analyze a micro/macro acceleration technique for the Monte Carlo simulation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in which there is a separation between the (fast) time-scale on which individual trajectories of the SDE…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-11-08 Kristian Debrabant , Giovanni Samaey

Multilevel sampling methods, such as multilevel and multifidelity Monte Carlo, multilevel stochastic collocation, or delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo, have become standard uncertainty quantification (UQ) tools for a wide class of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Josef Martínek , Erin Carson , Robert Scheichl

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

In this paper, we study the numerical approximation of a general second order semilinear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven by a additive fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter $H>\frac 12$ and Poisson…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Aurelien Junior Noupelah , Antoine Tambue

We study stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose drift and diffusion coefficients are path-dependent and controlled. We construct a value process on the canonical path space, considered simultaneously under a family of singular…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-08 Marcel Nutz

We present a method for optimal control of systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertain parameter fields. We consider an objective function that involves the mean and variance of the control objective, leading to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

We develop a pure Monte Carlo method to compute $E(g(X_T))$ where $g$ is a bounded and Lipschitz function and $X_t$ an Ito process. This approach extends a previously proposed method to the general multidimensional case with a SDE with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-18 Mahamadou Doumbia , Nadia Oudjane , Xavier Warin

We consider a mean-field optimal control problem for stochastic differential equations with delay driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter greater than one half. Stochastic optimal control problems driven by fractional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-02 Nacira Agram , Soukaina Douissi , Astrid Hilbert

In this article we develop a new sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo estimation. In particular, the method can be used to estimate expectations with respect to a target probability distribution over an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Youssef Marzouk , Yan Zhou

The multilevel Monte Carlo path simulation method introduced by Giles ({\it Operations Research}, 56(3):607-617, 2008) exploits strong convergence properties to improve the computational complexity by combining simulations with different…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-02 Michael B. Giles , Kristian Debrabant , Andreas Rößler

The classical Method of Successive Approximations (MSA) is an iterative method for solving stochastic control problems and is derived from Pontryagin's optimality principle. It is known that the MSA may fail to converge. Using careful…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Bekzhan Kerimkulov , David Šiška , Łukasz Szpruch