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In the traditional framework of spectral learning of stochastic time series models, model parameters are estimated based on trajectories of fully recorded observations. However, real-world time series data often contain missing values, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-22 Tianlin Liu

We develop methodology allowing to simulate a stationary functional time series defined by means of its spectral density operators. Our framework is general, in that it encompasses any such stationary functional time series, whether linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-17 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

Detecting changes in high-dimensional time series is difficult because it involves the comparison of probability densities that need to be estimated from finite samples. In this paper, we present the first feature extraction method tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Duncan Blythe , Paul von Bünau , Frank Meinecke , Klaus-Robert Müller

This note addresses the question of optimally estimating a linear functional of an object acquired through linear observations corrupted by random noise, where optimality pertains to a worst-case setting tied to a symmetric, convex, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Simon Foucart , Grigoris Paouris

This paper considers the problem of reconstructing missing parts of functions based on their observed segments. It provides, for Gaussian processes and arbitrary bijective transformations thereof, theoretical expressions for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Pauliina Ilmonen , Nourhan Shafik , Tommi Sottinen , Germain Van Bever , Lauri Viitasaari

We study prediction in the functional linear model with functional outputs : $Y=SX+\epsilon $ where the covariates $X$ and $Y$ belong to some functional space and $S$ is a linear operator. We provide the asymptotic mean square prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-14 Christophe Crambes , André Mas

Stochastic minimax optimization has drawn much attention over the past decade due to its broad applications in machine learning, signal processing and game theory. In some applications, the probability distribution of uncertainty depends on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Yan Gao , Yongchao Liu , Zili Luo

Stochastic spectral methods are efficient techniques for uncertainty quantification. Recently they have shown excellent performance in the statistical analysis of integrated circuits. In stochastic spectral methods, one needs to determine a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Zheng Zhang , Tarek A. El-Moselhy , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

We present a modular, extensible likelihood framework for spectroscopic inference based on synthetic model spectra. The subtraction of an imperfect model from a continuously sampled spectrum introduces covariance between adjacent datapoints…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-21 Ian Czekala , Sean M. Andrews , Kaisey S. Mandel , David W. Hogg , Gregory M. Green

We propose an estimation procedure for linear functionals based on Gaussian model selection techniques. We show that the procedure is adaptive, and we give a non asymptotic oracle inequality for the risk of the selected estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Béatrice Laurent , Carenne Ludeña , Clémentine Prieur

This paper addresses the problem of accurately estimating a function on one domain when only its discrete samples are available on another domain. To answer this challenge, we utilize a neural network, which we train to incorporate prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Guy Hay , Nir Sharon

This paper develops the process of using Richardson Extrapolation to improve the Kernel Density Estimation method, resulting in a more accurate (lower Mean Squared Error) estimate of a probability density function for a distribution of data…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Ruben G. Ascoli

We consider the problem of estimating the value of a linear functional in nonparametric instrumental regression, where in the presence of an instrument W a response Y is modeled in dependence of an endogenous explanatory variable Z. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-13 Christoph Breunig , Jan Johannes

In this work, we consider the problem of bounding the values of a covariance function corresponding to a continuous-time stationary stochastic process or signal. Specifically, for two signals whose covariance functions agree on a finite…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-07 Filip Elvander , Johan Karlsson , Toon van Waterschoot

A method for the construction of approximate analytical expressions for the stationary marginal densities of general stochastic search processes is proposed. By the marginal densities, regions of the search space that with high probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-01-30 Arturo Berrones

Linear fixed point equations in Hilbert spaces arise in a variety of settings, including reinforcement learning, and computational methods for solving differential and integral equations. We study methods that use a collection of random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Wenlong Mou , Ashwin Pananjady , Martin J. Wainwright

We present a result according to which certain functions of covariance matrices are maximized at scalar multiples of the identity matrix. In a statistical context in which such functions measure loss, this says that the least favourable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Douglas P. Wiens

We discuss techniques of estimation and inference for nonstationary nonlinear cohort panels with learning from experience, showing, inter alia, the consistency and asymptotic normality of the nonlinear least squares estimator used in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-07 Alexander Mayer , Michael Massmann

The aim of this paper is to provide a comprehensive study of some linear nonlocal diffusion problems in metric measure spaces. These include, for example, open subsets in $\mathbb{R}^N$, graphs, manifolds, multi-structures or some fractal…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-12-18 Aníbal Rodríguez-Bernal , Silvia Sastre-Gómez

Multivariate linear regression models often face the problem of heteroscedasticity caused by multiple explanatory variables. The weighted least squares estimation with univariate-dependent weights has limitations in constructing weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Lei Huang , Chengyue Liu , Li Wang