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Motivated by recent progress in data assimilation, we develop an algorithm to dynamically learn the parameters of a chaotic system from partial observations. Under reasonable assumptions, we rigorously establish the convergence of this…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Elizabeth Carlson , Joshua Hudson , Adam Larios , Vincent R. Martinez , Eunice Ng , Jared P. Whitehead

Neural ODEs (NODEs) have emerged as powerful tools for modeling time series data, offering the flexibility to adapt to varying input scales and capture complex dynamics. However, they face significant challenges: first, their reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Muhao Guo , Yang Weng

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

A significant challenge in many fields of science and engineering is making sense of time-dependent measurement data by recovering governing equations in the form of differential equations. We focus on finding parsimonious ordinary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Doris Voina , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Unlike common faults, three-phase short-circuit faults in power systems pose significant challenges. These faults can lead to out-of-step (OOS) conditions and jeopardize the system's dynamic security. The rapid dynamics of these faults…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Amin Masoumi , Mert Korkali

Falsely annotated samples, also known as noisy labels, can significantly harm the performance of deep learning models. Two main approaches for learning with noisy labels are global noise estimation and data filtering. Global noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Yuval Grinberg , Nimrod Harel , Jacob Goldberger , Ofir Lindenbaum

Labelling of data for supervised learning can be costly and time-consuming and the risk of incorporating label noise in large data sets is imminent. When training a flexible discriminative model using a strictly proper loss, such noise will…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-13 Amanda Olmin , Fredrik Lindsten

We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

Many natural systems exhibit chaotic behaviour such as the weather, hydrology, neuroscience and population dynamics. Although many chaotic systems can be described by relatively simple dynamical equations, characterizing these systems can…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-15 H. Ribera , S. Shirman , A. V. Nguyen , N. M. Mangan

The design of new methods and models when only weakly-labeled data are available is of paramount importance in order to reduce the costs of manual annotation and the considerable human effort associated with it. In this work, we address…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Thomas Pellegrini , Léo Cances

The parametric greedy latent space dynamics identification (gLaSDI) framework has demonstrated promising potential for accurate and efficient modeling of high-dimensional nonlinear physical systems. However, it remains challenging to handle…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Xiaolong He , April Tran , David M. Bortz , Youngsoo Choi

Time-series forecasting is a challenging problem that traditionally requires specialized models custom-trained for the specific task at hand. Recently, inspired by the success of large language models, foundation models pre-trained on vast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Yuanzhao Zhang , William Gilpin

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

System inference for nonlinear dynamic models, represented by ordinary differential equations (ODEs), remains a significant challenge in many fields, particularly when the data are noisy, sparse, or partially observable. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Hyunwoo Cho , Hyeontae Jo , Hyung Ju Hwang

Despite extensive research, time series classification and forecasting on noisy data remain highly challenging. The main difficulties lie in finding suitable mathematical concepts to describe time series and effectively separate noise from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Chandrajit Bajaj , Minh Nguyen

Neural ODEs (NODEs) are continuous-time neural networks (NNs) that can process data without the limitation of time intervals. They have advantages in learning and understanding the evolution of complex real dynamics. Many previous works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Wenjie Mei , Dongzhe Zheng , Shihua Li

Time-series forecasting remains difficult in real-world settings because temporal patterns operate at multiple scales, from broad contextual trends to fast, fine-grained fluctuations that drive critical decisions. Existing neural models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sepideh Koohfar

As power systems transition toward renewable-rich and inverter-dominated operations, accurate time-domain dynamic analysis becomes increasingly critical. Such analysis supports key operational tasks, including transient stability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Haoran Li , Lihao Mai , Chenhan Xiao , Erik Blasch , Yang Weng

Periodic orbit theory is an effective tool for the analysis of classical and quantum chaotic systems. In this paper we extend this approach to stochastic systems, in particular to mappings with additive noise. The theory is cast in the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Predrag Cvitanovic' , C. P. Dettmann , Ronnie Mainieri , Gabor Vattay

Identifying nonlinear dynamics and characterizing noise from data is critical across science and engineering for understanding and modeling the behavior of the systems accurately. The modified sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Cristian López , Ángel Naranjo , Diego Salazar , Keegan J. Moore