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We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Peter Grünwald , Alexander Henzi , Tyron Lardy

The paper is devoted to the study, characterizations, and applications of variational convexity of functions, the property that has been recently introduced by Rockafellar together with its strong counterpart. First we show that these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Pham Duy Khanh , Boris S. Mordukhovich , Vo Thanh Phat

We consider two variables that are related to each other by an invertible function. While it has previously been shown that the dependence structure of the noise can provide hints to determine which of the two variables is the cause, we…

Chatterjee's rank correlation coefficient $\xi_n$ is an empirical index for detecting functional dependencies between two variables $X$ and $Y$. It is an estimator for a theoretical quantity $\xi$ that is zero for independence and one if…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-26 Christoph Dalitz , Juliane Arning , Steffen Goebbels

In this work we handle with categorical (ordinal) variables and we focus on the (in)dependence relationship under the marginal, conditional and context-specific perspective. If the first two are well known, the last one concerns…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Federica Nicolussi , Manuela Cazzaro

We investigate the (functional) convex order of for various continuous martingale processes, either with respect to their diffusions coefficients for L\'evy-driven SDEs or their integrands for stochastic integrals. Main results are bordered…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Gilles Pagès

Three events in a probability space form a conjunctive fork if they satisfy specific constraints on conditional independence and covariances. Patterns of conjunctive forks within collections of events are characterized by means of systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Vašek Chvátal , František Matúš , Yori Zwólš

We study extremal conditional independence for H\"{u}sler-Reiss distributions, which is a parametric subclass of multivariate Pareto distributions. As the main contribution, we introduce two set functions, i.e.~functions which assign a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Karel Devriendt , Ignacio Echave-Sustaeta Rodríguez , Frank Röttger

Kendall's tau and conditional Kendall's tau matrices are multivariate (conditional) dependence measures between the components of a random vector. For large dimensions, available estimators are computationally expensive and can be improved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Rutger van der Spek , Alexis Derumigny

So far, one-factor copulas induce conditional independence with respect to a latent factor. In this paper, we extend one-factor copulas to conditionally dependent models. This is achieved through new representations which allow to build new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-12 Nathan Uyttendaele , Gildas Mazo

Chatterjee's correlation coefficient has recently been proposed as a new association measure for bivariate random vectors that satisfies a number of desirable properties. Among these properties is the feature that the coefficient equals one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette

Understanding and quantifying causal relationships between variables is essential for reasoning about the physical world. In this work, we develop a resource-theoretic framework to do so. Here, we focus on the simplest nontrivial setting --…

For probability measures $\mu,\nu$ and $\rho$ define the cost functionals \begin{align*} C(\mu,\rho):=\sup_{\pi\in \Pi(\mu,\rho)} \int \langle x,y\rangle\, \pi(dx,dy),\quad C(\nu,\rho):=\sup_{\pi\in \Pi(\nu,\rho)} \int \langle x,y\rangle\,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Johannes Wiesel , Erica Zhang

We introduce a test for the conditional independence of random variables $X$ and $Y$ given a random variable $Z$, specifically by sampling from the joint distribution $(X,Y,Z)$, binning the support of the distribution of $Z$, and conducting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Andrew Warren

This work investigates the intersection property of conditional independence. It states that for random variables $A,B,C$ and $X$ we have that $X$ independent of $A$ given $B,C$ and $X$ independent of $B$ given $A,C$ implies $X$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters

An ordinal view of independence is studied in the framework of possibility theory. We investigate three possible definitions of dependence, of increasing strength. One of them is the counterpart to the multiplication law in probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Didier Dubois , Luis Farinas del Cerro , Andreas Herzig , Henri Prade

In this paper, we introduce the rich classes of conditional distortion (CoD) risk measures and distortion risk contribution ($\Delta$CoD) measures as measures of systemic risk and analyze their properties and representations. The classes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Jan Dhaene , Roger J. A. Laeven , Yiying Zhang

This paper takes a different look on the problem of testing the mutual independence of the components of a high-dimensional vector. Instead of testing if all pairwise associations (e.g. all pairwise Kendall's $\tau$) between the components…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette , Johannes Heiny

We introduce a correlation coefficient that is designed to deal with a variety of ranking formats including those containing non-strict (i.e., with-ties) and incomplete (i.e., unknown) preferences. The correlation coefficient is designed to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-19 Yeawon Yoo , Adolfo R. Escobedo , J. Kyle Skolfield

In recent work, Azadkia and Chatterjee (2021) laid out an ingenious approach to defining consistent measures of conditional dependence. Their fully nonparametric approach forms statistics based on ranks and nearest neighbor graphs. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Hongjian Shi , Mathias Drton , Fang Han