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Sequences of labeled events observed at irregular intervals in continuous time are ubiquitous across various fields. Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) provide a mathematical framework for modeling these sequences, enabling inferences such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Victor Dheur , Tanguy Bosser , Rafael Izbicki , Souhaib Ben Taieb

Learning continuous-time point processes is essential to many discrete event forecasting tasks. However, integration poses a major challenge, particularly for spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs), as it involves calculating the likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Zihao Zhou , Rose Yu

Neural Processes (NPs) are popular methods in meta-learning that can estimate predictive uncertainty on target datapoints by conditioning on a context dataset. Previous state-of-the-art method Transformer Neural Processes (TNPs) achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Leo Feng , Hossein Hajimirsadeghi , Yoshua Bengio , Mohamed Osama Ahmed

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits self-exciting, heterogeneous and sporadic trends, which is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-16 Jing Wu , Owen G. Ward , James Curley , Tian Zheng

Predicting when and where events will occur in cities, like taxi pick-ups, crimes, and vehicle collisions, is a challenging and important problem with many applications in fields such as urban planning, transportation optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-24 Maya Okawa , Tomoharu Iwata , Takeshi Kurashima , Yusuke Tanaka , Hiroyuki Toda , Naonori Ueda

Irregular and asynchronous event sequences are prevalent in many domains, such as social media, finance, and healthcare. Traditional temporal point processes (TPPs), like Hawkes processes, often struggle to model mutual inhibition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Anningzhe Gao , Shan Dai , Yan Hu

Video action anticipation aims to predict future action categories from observed frames. Current state-of-the-art approaches mainly resort to recurrent neural networks to encode history information into hidden states, and predict future…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Wen Wang , Xiaojiang Peng , Yanzhou Su , Yu Qiao , Jian Cheng

Max-min-plus-scaling (MMPS) systems generalize max-plus, min-plus and max-min-plus models with more flexibility in modelling discrete-event dynamics. Especially, implicit MMPS models capture a wide range of real world discrete-event…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-04 Sreeshma Markkassery , Ton van den Boom , Bart De Schutter

Learning time-evolving objects such as multivariate time series and dynamic networks requires the development of novel knowledge representation mechanisms and neural network architectures, which allow for capturing implicit time-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Baris Coskunuzer , Ignacio Segovia-Dominguez , Yuzhou Chen , Yulia R. Gel

Time series forecasting has witnessed significant progress with deep learning. While prevailing approaches enhance forecasting performance by modifying architectures or introducing novel enhancement strategies, they often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Haonan Yang , Jianchao Tang , Zhuo Li

Patch-based transformers have emerged as efficient and improved long-horizon modeling architectures for time series modeling. Yet, existing approaches rely on temporally-agnostic patch construction, where arbitrary starting positions and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Sachith Abeywickrama , Emadeldeen Eldele , Min Wu , Xiaoli Li , Chau Yuen

An important development in deep learning from the earliest MLPs has been a move towards architectures with structural inductive biases which enable the model to keep distinct sources of information and routes of processing well-separated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Alex Lamb , Di He , Anirudh Goyal , Guolin Ke , Chien-Feng Liao , Mirco Ravanelli , Yoshua Bengio

Neural Processes (NPs), and specifically Transformer Neural Processes (TNPs), have demonstrated remarkable performance across tasks ranging from spatiotemporal forecasting to tabular data modelling. However, many of these applications are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Philip Mortimer , Cristiana Diaconu , Tommy Rochussen , Bruno Mlodozeniec , Richard E. Turner

Temporal point process (TPP) is an important tool for modeling and predicting irregularly timed events across various domains. Recently, the recurrent neural network (RNN)-based TPPs have shown practical advantages over traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Zhiheng Chen , Guanhua Fang , Wen Yu

Learning causal structure among event types on multi-type event sequences is an important but challenging task. Existing methods, such as the Multivariate Hawkes processes, mostly assumed that each sequence is independent and identically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Ruichu Cai , Siyu Wu , Jie Qiao , Zhifeng Hao , Keli Zhang , Xi Zhang

Event prediction tasks often handle spatio-temporal data distributed in a large spatial area. Different regions in the area exhibit different characteristics while having latent correlations. This spatial heterogeneity and correlations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Sicong Liu , Lizong Zhang , Ling Tian

We introduce multiple physics pretraining (MPP), an autoregressive task-agnostic pretraining approach for physical surrogate modeling of spatiotemporal systems with transformers. In MPP, rather than training one model on a specific physical…

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are a fundamental tool for modeling event sequences in continuous time, but most existing approaches rely on autoregressive parameterizations that are limited by their sequential sampling. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 David Lüdke , Marten Lienen , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

This paper studies integral-type event-triggered model predictive control (MPC) of continuous-time nonlinear systems. An integral-type event-triggered mechanism is proposed by incorporating the integral of errors between the actual and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Qi Sun , Jicheng Chen , Yang Shi

We are now witnessing the increasing availability of event stream data, i.e., a sequence of events with each event typically being denoted by the time it occurs and its mark information (e.g., event type). A fundamental problem is to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-12 Yongqing Wang , Shenghua Liu , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng