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Related papers: Predicting the Future by Retrieving the Past

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Much of model-based reinforcement learning involves learning a model of an agent's world, and training an agent to leverage this model to perform a task more efficiently. While these models are demonstrably useful for agents, every…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-01 C. Daniel Freeman , Luke Metz , David Ha

Neural activity forecasting is central to understanding neural systems and enabling closed-loop control. While deep learning has recently advanced the state-of-the-art in the time series forecasting literature, its application to neural…

Consistency of the predictions with respect to the physical forward model is pivotal for reliably solving inverse problems. This consistency is mostly un-controlled in the current end-to-end deep learning methodologies proposed for the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-07 Dongdong Chen , Mike E. Davies , Mohammad Golbabaee

Recently, the incorporation of both temporal features and the correlation across time series has become an effective approach in time series prediction. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) demonstrate good performance on many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Wenbo Yan , Ying Tan

This study investigates the contribution of Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) derived from economic time series to the predictive performance of neural network models, specifically Multilayer Perceptrons (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-16 Pablo Hidalgo , Julio E. Sandubete , Agustín García-García

Training deep recurrent neural network (RNN) architectures is complicated due to the increased network complexity. This disrupts the learning of higher order abstracts using deep RNN. In case of feed-forward networks training deep…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Murali Karthick Baskar , Martin Karafiat , Lukas Burget , Karel Vesely , Frantisek Grezl , Jan Honza Cernocky

This paper tackles one of the most fundamental goals in functional time series analysis which is to provide reliable predictions for future functions. Existing methods for predicting a complete future functional observation use only…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Alexander Aue , Hernando Ombao

Financial time series have historically been assumed to be a martingale process under the Random Walk hypothesis. Instead of making investment decisions using the raw prices alone, various multimodal pattern matching algorithms have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Minsuk Kim , Byungchul Kim , Junyeong Yong , Jeongwoo Park , Gyeongmin Kim

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

Robotic manipulation tasks exhibit varying memory requirements, ranging from Markovian tasks that require no memory to non-Markovian tasks that depend on historical information spanning single or multiple interaction trials. Surprisingly,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Yihuai Gao , Jinyun Liu , Shuang Li , Shuran Song

Ability of deep networks to extract high level features and of recurrent networks to perform time-series inference have been studied. In view of universality of one hidden layer network at approximating functions under weak constraints, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-19 Sharat C. Prasad , Piyush Prasad

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have recently emerged as a powerful approach for Bayesian prediction tasks, approximating the posterior predictive distribution (PPD) through in-context learning. Despite their strong empirical performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-27 Gyeonghun Kang , Changwoo J. Lee , Xiang Cheng

Temporal networks have gained significant prominence in the past decade for modelling dynamic interactions within complex systems. A key challenge in this domain is Temporal Link Prediction (TLP), which aims to forecast future connections…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Jiafeng Xiong , Ahmad Zareie , Rizos Sakellariou

Accurate multi-step port-of-call sequence prediction is vital for tactical resource orchestration and logistical efficiency. However, existing methods struggle with unreliable voyage schedules and the inability of AIS data to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yanzhao Su , Fang He , Yineng Wang

Feedforward Neural Network (FNN)-based language models estimate the probability of the next word based on the history of the last N words, whereas Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) perform the same task based only on the last word and some…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-03-24 Youssef Oualil , Clayton Greenberg , Mittul Singh , Dietrich Klakow

Non-neural Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) models are often used to predict system failures in the context of industrial maintenance. However, only a few researches jointly assess the effect of varying the amount of past data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Nicolò Oreste Pinciroli Vago , Francesca Forbicini , Piero Fraternali

Multivariate time series prediction is widely used in daily life, which poses significant challenges due to the complex correlations that exist at multi-grained levels. Unfortunately, the majority of current time series prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Zhicheng Chen , Xi Xiao , Ke Xu , Zhong Zhang , Yu Rong , Qing Li , Guojun Gan , Zhiqiang Xu , Peilin Zhao

Economic forecasting is concerned with the estimation of some variable like gross domestic product (GDP) in the next period given a set of variables that describes the current situation or state of the economy, including industrial…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) offers an intuitive way to increase the sample efficiency of model-free RL methods by simultaneously training a world model that learns to predict the future. These models constitute the large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Ashish Sundar , Chunbo Luo , Xiaoyang Wang