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Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Yulong Wang , Yushuo Liu , Xiaoyi Duan , Kai Wang

Spectral interference, the frequency counterpart of the beating phenomenon in the time domain, can severely distort time-frequency representations (TFRs) in physical applications. We study this phenomenon for the short-time Fourier…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Shrikant Chand , James Nolen , Hau-Tieng Wu

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) has long been a challenge in time series analysis. Inspired by the success of Large Language Models (LLMs), researchers are now developing Large Time Series Models (LTSMs)-universal transformer-based models…

Adversarial attacks in time series classification (TSC) models have recently gained attention due to their potential to compromise model robustness. Imperceptibility is crucial, as adversarial examples detected by the human vision system…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Wenwei Gu , Renyi Zhong , Jianping Zhang , Michael R. Lyu

The ability to forecast far into the future is highly beneficial to many applications, including but not limited to climatology, energy consumption, and logistics. However, due to noise or measurement error, it is questionable how far into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Fan-Keng Sun , Duane S. Boning

Large models have shown unprecedented capabilities in natural language processing, image generation, and most recently, time series forecasting. This leads us to ask the question: treating market prices as a time series, can large models be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-16 Xinghong Fu , Masanori Hirano , Kentaro Imajo

The vulnerability of deep neural networks to adversarial samples has been a major impediment to their broad applications, despite their success in various fields. Recently, some works suggested that adversarially-trained models emphasize…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Qingwen Bu , Dong Huang , Heming Cui

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) analysis is crucial to understanding and managing complex systems, such as traffic and energy systems, and a variety of approaches to MTS forecasting have been proposed recently. However, we often observe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Zezhi Shao , Fei Wang , Yongjun Xu , Wei Wei , Chengqing Yu , Zhao Zhang , Di Yao , Tao Sun , Guangyin Jin , Xin Cao , Gao Cong , Christian S. Jensen , Xueqi Cheng

Language use differs between domains and even within a domain, language use changes over time. For pre-trained language models like BERT, domain adaptation through continued pre-training has been shown to improve performance on in-domain…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Paul Röttger , Janet B. Pierrehumbert

Following its success for vision and text, the "foundation model" (FM) paradigm -- pretraining large models on massive data, then fine-tuning on target tasks -- has rapidly expanded to domains in the sciences, engineering, healthcare, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Zongzhe Xu , Ritvik Gupta , Wenduo Cheng , Alexander Shen , Junhong Shen , Ameet Talwalkar , Mikhail Khodak

Foundation Models are designed to serve as versatile embedding machines, with strong zero shot capabilities and superior generalization performance when fine-tuned on diverse downstream tasks. While this is largely true for language and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Nouha Karaouli , Denis Coquenet , Elisa Fromont , Martial Mermillod , Marina Reyboz

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

Time series are generated in diverse domains such as economic, traffic, health, and energy, where forecasting of future values has numerous important applications. Not surprisingly, many forecasting methods are being proposed. To ensure…

Despite recent progress in time-series foundation models, challenges persist in improving representation learning and adapting to diverse downstream tasks. We introduce a General Time-series Model (GTM), which advances representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Cheng He , Xu Huang , Gangwei Jiang , Zhaoyi Li , Defu Lian , Hong Xie , Enhong Chen , Xijie Liang , Zengrong Zheng , Patrick P. C. Lee

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are increasingly pretrained on large corpora, raising concerns that evaluation datasets may have been exposed during pretraining and thus yield overly optimistic performance estimates. Auditing such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Hongkai Li , Shifeng Xie , Lefei Shen , Zhuo Li , Mouxiang Chen , Xiaobin Zhang , Han Fu , Jianling Sun , Xiaoxue Ren , Chenghao Liu

In this work we provide new insights into the transformer architecture, and in particular, its best-known variant, BERT. First, we propose a method to measure the degree of non-linearity of different elements of transformers. Next, we focus…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Sumu Zhao , Damian Pascual , Gino Brunner , Roger Wattenhofer

We consider continuous-time models with a large panel of moment conditions, where the structural parameter depends on a set of characteristics, whose effects are of interest. The leading example is the linear factor model in financial…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Yuan Liao , Xiye Yang

Spectrograms visualize the frequency components of a given signal which may be an audio signal or even a time-series signal. Audio signals have higher sampling rate and high variability of frequency with time. Spectrograms can capture such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-06 Sidharth Srivatsav Sribhashyam , Md Sirajus Salekin , Dmitry Goldgof , Ghada Zamzmi , Mark Last , Yu Sun

The intricate nature of time series data analysis benefits greatly from the distinct advantages offered by time and frequency domain representations. While the time domain is superior in representing local dependencies, particularly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Hengyu Ye , Jiadong Chen , Shijin Gong , Fuxin Jiang , Tieying Zhang , Jianjun Chen , Xiaofeng Gao

With the growing availability of multi-domain time series data, there is an increasing demand for general forecasting models pre-trained on multi-source datasets to support diverse downstream prediction scenarios. Existing time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Yihang Wang , Yuying Qiu , Peng Chen , Kai Zhao , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo