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Geological Carbon Storage (GCS) is a key technology for achieving global climate goals by capturing and storing CO2 in deep geological formations. Its effectiveness and safety rely on accurate monitoring of subsurface CO2 migration using…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-02-12 Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

To meet climate targets, the IPCC underscores the necessity of technologies capable of removing gigatonnes of CO2 annually, with Geological Carbon Storage (GCS) playing a central role. GCS involves capturing CO2 and injecting it into deep…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-02-12 Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Felix J. Herrmann

Geological carbon and energy storage are pivotal for achieving net-zero carbon emissions and addressing climate change. However, they face uncertainties due to geological factors and operational limitations, resulting in possibilities of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Teeratorn Kadeethum , Stephen J. Verzi , Hongkyu Yoon

This study investigates the integration of machine learning (ML) and data assimilation (DA) techniques, focusing on implementing surrogate models for Geological Carbon Storage (GCS) projects while maintaining high fidelity physical results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 G. S. Seabra , N. T. Mücke , V. L. S. Silva , D. Voskov , F. Vossepoel

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) plays a crucial role in mitigating greenhouse gas emissions, particularly from industrial outputs. Using seismic monitoring can aid in an accurate and robust monitoring system to ensure the effectiveness of…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-01 Xinquan Huang , Fu Wang , Tariq Alkhalifah

We propose closed-form conditional diffusion models for data assimilation. Diffusion models use data to learn the score function (defined as the gradient of the log-probability density of a data distribution), allowing them to generate new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Brianna Binder , Agnimitra Dasgupta , Assad Oberai

Fast forecasting of reservoir pressure distribution in geologic carbon storage (GCS) by assimilating monitoring data is a challenging problem. Due to high drilling cost, GCS projects usually have spatially sparse measurements from wells,…

The recent surge in machine learning (ML) methods for geophysical modeling has raised the question of how these methods might be applied to data assimilation (DA). We focus on diffusion modeling (a form of generative artificial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-29 Daniel Hodyss , Matthias Morzfeld

Fast assimilation of monitoring data to update forecasts of pressure buildup and carbon dioxide (CO2) plume migration under geologic uncertainties is a challenging problem in geologic carbon storage. The high computational cost of data…

Robust integration of physical knowledge and data is key to improve computational simulations, such as Earth system models. Data assimilation is crucial for achieving this goal because it provides a systematic framework to calibrate model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Yongquan Qu , Juan Nathaniel , Shuolin Li , Pierre Gentine

We introduce a score-filter-enhanced data assimilation framework designed to reduce predictive uncertainty in machine learning (ML) models for data-driven dynamical system forecasting. Machine learning serves as an efficient numerical model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Jingqiao Tang , Ryan Bausback , Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Phuoc-Toan Huynh

Machine learning (ML) is used for many earth science applications; however, traditional ML methods trained with squared errors often create blurry forecasts. Diffusion models are an emerging generative ML technique with the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Randy J. Chase , Katherine Haynes , Lander Ver Hoef , Imme Ebert-Uphoff

Data assimilation of observational data into full atmospheric states is essential for weather forecast model initialization. Recently, methods for deep generative data assimilation have been proposed which allow for using new input data…

Score-based diffusion modeling is a generative machine learning algorithm that can be used to sample from complex distributions. They achieve this by learning a score function, i.e., the gradient of the log-probability density of the data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Haiwen Guan , Jason Stock , Troy Arcomano , Guido Cervone , Romit Maulik

Diffusion maps are a commonly used kernel-based method for manifold learning, which can reveal intrinsic structures in data and embed them in low dimensions. However, as with most kernel methods, its implementation requires a heavy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Scott Gigante , Jay S. Stanley , Ngan Vu , David van Dijk , Kevin Moon , Guy Wolf , Smita Krishnaswamy

Accurate and cost-effective quantification of the agroecosystem carbon cycle at decision-relevant scales is essential for climate mitigation and sustainable agriculture. However, both transfer learning and the exploitation of spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Ruolei Zeng , Arun Sharma , Shuai An , Mingzhou Yang , Shengya Zhang , Licheng Liu , David Mulla , Shashi Shekhar

Given inputs of diverse soil characteristics and climate data gathered from various regions, we aimed to build a model to predict accurate land emissions. The problem is important since accurate quantification of the carbon cycle in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Arun Sharma , Majid Farhadloo , Mingzhou Yang , Ruolei Zeng , Subhankar Ghosh , Shashi Shekhar

Generative AI models, such as score-based diffusion models, have recently advanced the field of computational materials science by enabling the generation of new materials with desired properties. In addition, these models could also be…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-01-06 Timo Reents , Arianna Cantarella , Marnik Bercx , Pietro Bonfà , Giovanni Pizzi

Monitoring changes inside a reservoir in real time is crucial for the success of CO2 injection and long-term storage. Machine learning (ML) is well-suited for real-time CO2 monitoring because of its computational efficiency. However, most…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Yanhua Liu , Xitong Zhang , Ilya Tsvankin , Youzuo Lin

Climate change exacerbates extreme weather events like heavy rainfall and flooding. As these events cause severe socioeconomic damage, accurate high-resolution simulation of precipitation is imperative. However, existing Earth System Models…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-03 Michael Aich , Philipp Hess , Baoxiang Pan , Sebastian Bathiany , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers
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