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An accurate prediction of crude oil prices over long future horizons is challenging and of great interest to governments, enterprises, and investors. This paper proposes a revised hybrid model built upon empirical mode decomposition (EMD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-10 Tao Xiong , Yukun Bao , Zhongyi Hu

Smart power grids are one of the most complex cyber-physical systems, delivering electricity from power generation stations to consumers. It is critically important to know exactly the current state of the system as well as its state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-12 Shahrzad Hadayeghparast , Amir Namavar Jahromi , Hadis Karimipour

The availability of accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasts is pivotal for electricity market participants. In the context of trade liberalisation and market harmonisation in the European markets, accurate price forecasting becomes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Wei Li , Denis Mike Becker

Precise outbreak forecasting of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health responses and epidemic control. The increased availability of machine learning (ML) methods for time-series forecasting presents an enticing avenue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Jinpyo Hong , Rachel E. Baker

This study proposes a hybrid deep learning model for forecasting the price of Bitcoin, as the digital currency is known to exhibit frequent fluctuations. The models used are the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and the Long Short-Term…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Emmanuel Boadi

The recent development of advanced machine learning methods for hybrid models has greatly addressed the need for the correct prediction of electrical prices. This method combines AlexNet and LSTM algorithms, which are used to introduce a…

We propose a hybrid meta-learning framework for forecasting and anomaly detection in nonlinear dynamical systems characterized by nonstationary and stochastic behavior. The approach integrates a physics-inspired simulator that captures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Abdullah Burkan Bereketoglu

Earth structural heterogeneities have a remarkable role in the petroleum economy for both exploration and production projects. Automatic detection of detailed structural heterogeneities is challenging when considering modern machine…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Luiz Schirmer , Guilherme Schardong , Vinícius da Silva , Rogério Santos , Hélio Lopes

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Multi-horizon price forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and algorithmic trading, yet deep learning architectures have proliferated faster than rigorous financial benchmarks can evaluate them. This study provides…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-19 Nabeel Ahmad Saidd

Understanding regional Consumer Price Index (CPI) dynamics is essential for timely and effective economic policymaking. However, traditional modeling procedures typically rely only on parametric panel modeling with low-frequency and…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-09 Tianchen Gao , Ao Sun , Yurou Wang , Jingyuan Liu , Cheng Hsiao

Residential electricity demand forecasting is critical for efficient energy management and grid stability. Accurate predictions enable utility companies to optimize planning and operations. However, real-world residential electricity demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Reza Nematirad , Anil Pahwa , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

Virtual bidding plays an important role in two-settlement electric power markets, as it can reduce discrepancies between day-ahead and real-time markets. Renewable energy penetration increases volatility in electricity prices, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Xuesong Wang , Sharaf K. Magableh , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang , Jiaxuan Gong , Zhongyang Zhao , Michael H. Liao

New quality productive forces (NQPF), digital economy advancement, and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies are becoming crucial for promoting sustainable urban development. This study proposes a Multi-head Attention Deep & Cross…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Haijin Xie , Gongquan Zhang

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

Weather forecasting is fundamentally challenged by the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, necessitating probabilistic approaches to quantify uncertainty. While traditional ensemble prediction (EPS) addresses this through computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Xinlei Xiong , Wenbo Hu , Shuxun Zhou , Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Ying Liu , Richang Hong , Qi Tian

We present a novel interpretable machine learning model to accurately predict complex rippling deformations of Multi-Walled Carbon Nanotubes(MWCNTs) made of millions of atoms. Atomistic-physics-based models are accurate but computationally…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-01-20 Upendra yadav , Shashank Pathrudkar , Susanta Ghosh

We propose a network architecture capable of reliably estimating uncertainty of regression based predictions without sacrificing accuracy. The current state-of-the-art uncertainty algorithms either fall short of achieving prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Kinjal Patel , Steven Waslander