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We introduce \textit{SeismoGPT}, a transformer-based model for forecasting three-component seismic waveforms in the context of future gravitational wave detectors like the Einstein Telescope. The model is trained in an autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Waleed Esmail , Alexander Kappes , Stuart Russell , Christine Thomas

As an integral part of assessing the seismic performance of structures, the probabilistic seismic demand-intensity relationship has been widely studied. In this study, the phenomenon of heteroscedasticity in probabilistic seismic demand…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-19 Libo Chen

We study adaptive sensing of Cox point processes, a widely used model from spatial statistics. We introduce three tasks: maximization of captured events, search for the maximum of the intensity function and learning level sets of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

Point processes model the distribution of random point sets in mathematical spaces, such as spatial and temporal domains, with applications in fields like seismology, neuroscience, and economics. Existing statistical and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 David Lüdke , Enric Rabasseda Raventós , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

Seismic imaging is the numerical process of creating a volumetric representation of the subsurface geological structures from elastic waves recorded at the surface of the Earth. As such, it is widely utilized in the energy and construction…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-05 Juan Romero , Wolfgang Heidrich , Nick Luiken , Matteo Ravasi

Regional disaster resilience quantifies the changing nature of physical risks to inform policy instruments ranging from local immediate recovery to international sustainable development. While many existing state-of-practice methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Joshua Dimasaka , Christian Geiß , Emily So

We analyze the probability density function (PDF) of waiting times between financial loss exceedances. The empirical PDFs are fitted with the self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson process with a long power law memory kernel. The Hawkes…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Maciej Jagielski , Ryszard Kutner , Didier Sornette

We establish tightness of graph-based stochastic processes in the space $D[0+\epsilon,1-\epsilon]$ with $\epsilon >0$ that allows for discontinuities of the first kind. The graph-based stochastic processes are based on statistics…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-02 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

Recently a likelihood-based methodology has been developed by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) with a view to testing and ranking seismicity models. We analyze this approach from the standpoint of possible…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-08-19 George Molchan

In this chapter we review some examples, methods, and recent results involving comparison of clustering properties of point processes. Our approach is founded on some basic observations allowing us to consider void probabilities and moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-23 Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , D. Yogeshwaran

Seismic noise cross correlations are used to image crustal structure and heterogeneity. Typically, seismic networks are only anisotropically illuminated by seismic noise, a consequence of the non-uniform distribution of sources. Here, we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Shravan M. Hanasoge

We present an uncertainty quantification methodology for density estimation from Background Oriented Schlieren (BOS) measurements, in order to provide local, instantaneous, a-posteriori uncertainty bounds on each density measurement in the…

In longitudinal studies, it is not uncommon to make multiple attempts to collect a measurement after baseline. Recording whether these attempts are successful provides useful information for the purposes of assessing missing data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-10 Michael J. Daniels , Minji Lee , Wei Feng

Deformation analyses of tailings dams under dynamic conditions require using earthquake records as input loading. Moreover, these records must represent the local seismicity, expressed by ground motion power indicators denominated intensity…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-11-21 Nicolas A. Labanda , Roberto J. Cier , Mauro G. Sottile

In the field of population health research, understanding the similarities between geographical areas and quantifying their shared effects on health outcomes is crucial. In this paper, we synthesise a number of existing methods to create a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-27 Wala Draidi Areed , Aiden Price , Helen Thompson , Reid Malseed , Kerrie Mengersen

We report on a novel stochastic analysis of seismic time series for the Earth's vertical velocity, by using methods originally developed for complex hierarchical systems, and in particular for turbulent flows. Analysis of the fluctuations…

In this study, we present a Bayesian hierarchical framework to model fluid-induced seismicity. The framework is based on a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) with a fluid-induced seismicity rate proportional to the rate of injected…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-28 Marco Broccardo , Arnaud Mignan , Stefan Wiemer , Bozidar Stojadinovic , Domenico Giardini

In this paper we provide theoretical support for the so-called "Sigmoidal Gaussian Cox Process" approach to learning the intensity of an inhomogeneous Poisson process on a $d$-dimensional domain. This method was proposed by Adams, Murray…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-03 Alisa Kirichenko , Harry van Zanten

In this paper we provide general conditions to check on the model and the prior to derive posterior concentration rates for data-dependent priors (or empirical Bayes approaches). We aim at providing conditions that are close to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Graph Signal Processing generalizes classical signal processing to signal or data indexed by the vertices of a weighted graph. So far, the research efforts have been focused on static graph signals. However numerous applications involve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-22 Francesco Grassi , Nathanael Perraudin , Benjamin Ricaud
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