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Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

A central issue of many statistical learning problems is to select an appropriate model from a set of candidate models. Large models tend to inflate the variance (or overfitting), while small models tend to cause biases (or underfitting)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-25 Jie Ding , Enmao Diao , Jiawei Zhou , Vahid Tarokh

We study how the divide and conquer principle --- partition the available data into subsamples, compute an estimate from each subsample and combine these appropriately to form the final estimator --- works in non-standard problems where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Moulinath Banerjee , Cecile Durot , Bodhisattva Sen

Distributions over rankings are used to model data in a multitude of real world settings such as preference analysis and political elections. Modeling such distributions presents several computational challenges, however, due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-27 Jonathan Huang , Ashish Kapoor , Carlos Guestrin

This note uses a conformal prediction procedure to provide further support on several points discussed by Professor Efron (Efron, 2020) concerning prediction, estimation and IID assumption. It aims to convey the following messages: (1)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Min-ge Xie , Zheshi Zheng

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating uniformly well the mean values of several distributions given a finite budget of samples. If the variance of the distributions were known, one could design an optimal sampling strategy by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-17 Alexandra Carpentier , Alessandro Lazaric , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Rémi Munos , Peter Auer , András Antos

Sub-sequence splitting (SSS) has been demonstrated as an effective approach to mitigate data sparsity in sequential recommendation (SR) by splitting a raw user interaction sequence into multiple sub-sequences. Previous studies have…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Yizhou Dang , Yifan Wu , Minhan Huang , Chuang Zhao , Lianbo Ma , Guibing Guo , Xingwei Wang , Zhu Sun

We propose an approach for fitting linear regression models that splits the set of covariates into groups. The optimal split of the variables into groups and the regularized estimation of the regression coefficients are performed by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-13 Anthony Christidis , Ruben Zamar , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan , Ezequiel Smucler

We investigate a class of methods for selective inference that condition on a selection event. Such methods follow a two-stage process. First, a data-driven (sub)collection of hypotheses is chosen from some large universe of hypotheses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Jelle Goeman , Aldo Solari

Selectivity estimation aims at estimating the number of database objects that satisfy a selection criterion. Answering this problem accurately and efficiently is essential to many applications, such as density estimation, outlier detection,…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Yaoshu Wang , Chuan Xiao , Jianbin Qin , Rui Mao , Onizuka Makoto , Wei Wang , Rui Zhang , Yoshiharu Ishikawa

Many machine learning algorithms are based on the assumption that training examples are drawn independently. However, this assumption does not hold anymore when learning from a networked sample because two or more training examples may…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Yuyi Wang , Jan Ramon , Zheng-Chu Guo

Transductive inference is an effective means of tackling the data deficiency problem in few-shot learning settings. A popular transductive inference technique for few-shot metric-based approaches, is to update the prototype of each class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Seong Min Kye , Hae Beom Lee , Hoirin Kim , Sung Ju Hwang

A core step of every algorithm for learning regression trees is the selection of the best splitting variable from the available covariates and the corresponding split point. Early tree algorithms (e.g., AID, CART) employed greedy search…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Lisa Schlosser , Torsten Hothorn , Achim Zeileis

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE). While covariate adjustment can reduce the asymptotic variances of the unbiased Horvitz-Thompson estimators for the ATE, it suffers from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Xin Lu , Lei Shi , Hanzhong Liu , Peng Ding

Performativity of predictions refers to the phenomenon where prediction-informed decisions influence the very targets they aim to predict -- a dynamic commonly observed in policy-making, social sciences, and economics. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Xiang Li , Yunai Li , Huiying Zhong , Lihua Lei , Zhun Deng

Imitation Learning offers a promising approach to learn directly from data without requiring explicit models, simulations, or detailed task definitions. During inference, actions are sampled from the learned distribution and executed on the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Amirreza Razmjoo , Sylvain Calinon , Michael Gienger , Fan Zhang

When facing uncertainty, decision-makers want predictions they can trust. A machine learning provider can convey confidence to decision-makers by guaranteeing their predictions are distribution calibrated -- amongst the inputs that receive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-14 Shengjia Zhao , Michael P. Kim , Roshni Sahoo , Tengyu Ma , Stefano Ermon

Performing statistical analyses on collections of graphs is of import to many disciplines, but principled, scalable methods for multi-sample graph inference are few. Here we describe an "omnibus" embedding in which multiple graphs on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-27 Keith Levin , Avanti Athreya , Minh Tang , Vince Lyzinski , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe

The Neyman-Pearson (NP) binary classification paradigm constrains the more severe type of error (e.g., the type I error) under a preferred level while minimizing the other (e.g., the type II error). This paradigm is suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Jingming Wang , Lucy Xia , Zhigang Bao , Xin Tong