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Credit risk management, the practice of mitigating losses by understanding the adequacy of a borrower's capital and loan loss reserves, has long been imperative to any financial institution's long-term sustainability and growth. MassMutual…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-20 Tam Tran-The

The paper proposes a method of financial time series forecasting taking into account the semantics of news. For the semantic analysis of financial news the sampling of negative and positive words in economic sense was formed based on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-25 Kateryna Kononova , Anton Dek

This study aims to evaluate the sentiment of financial texts using large language models~(LLMs) and to empirically determine whether LLMs exhibit company-specific biases in sentiment analysis. Specifically, we examine the impact of general…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Kei Nakagawa , Masanori Hirano , Yugo Fujimoto

The ability to identify sentiment in text, referred to as sentiment analysis, is one which is natural to adult humans. This task is, however, not one which a computer can perform by default. Identifying sentiments in an automated,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-04-06 Emmanuel Dufourq , Bruce A. Bassett

In todays fast pacing, highly competing,volatile and challenging world, companies highly rely on data analysis obtained from both offline as well as online way to make their future strategy, to sustain in the market. This paper reviews the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Shruti Kohli , Ankit Gupta

An annual well-being index constructed from thirteen socioeconomic factors is proposed in order to dynamically measure the mood of the US citizenry. Econometric models are fitted to the log-returns of the index in order to quantify its tail…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-18 A. Alexandre Trindade , Abootaleb Shirvani , Xiaohan Ma

Financial Distress Prediction plays a crucial role in the economy by accurately forecasting the number and probability of failing structures, providing insight into the growth and stability of a country's economy. However, predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Yuan Gao , Biao Jiang , Jietong Zhou

We study the predictive power of industry-specific economic sentiment indicators for future macro-economic developments. In addition to the sentiment of firms towards their own business situation, we study their sentiment with respect to…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-13 Ines Wilms , Sarah Gelper , Christophe Croux

In this paper we investigate the impact of news to predict extreme financial returns using high frequency data. We consider several model specifications differing for the dynamic property of the underlying stochastic process as well as for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-12 Mauro Bernardi , Leopoldo Catania , Lea Petrella

We analyse growth vulnerabilities in the US using quantile partial correlation regression, a selection-based machine-learning method that achieves model selection consistency under time series. We find that downside risk is primarily driven…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-03 Tobias Adrian , Hongqi Chen , Max-Sebastian Dovì , Ji Hyung Lee

This paper describes our participation in Task 5 track 2 of SemEval 2017 to predict the sentiment of financial news headlines for a specific company on a continuous scale between -1 and 1. We tackled the problem using a number of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Andrew Moore , Paul Rayson

Understanding sentiment in financial documents is crucial for gaining insights into market behavior. These reports often contain obfuscated language designed to present a positive or neutral outlook, even when underlying conditions may be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Attapol T. Rutherford , Sirisak Chueykamhang , Thachaparn Bunditlurdruk , Nanthicha Angsuwichitkul

Traditional sentiment construction in finance relies heavily on the dictionary-based approach, with a few exceptions using simple machine learning techniques such as Naive Bayes classifier. While the current literature has not yet invoked…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-08 Joshua Zoen Git Hiew , Xin Huang , Hao Mou , Duan Li , Qi Wu , Yabo Xu

Company financial risks pose a significant threat to personal wealth and national economic stability, stimulating increasing attention towards the development of efficient andtimely methods for monitoring them. Current approaches tend to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Huaming Du , Lei Yuan , Qing Yang , Xingyan Chen , Yu Zhao , Han Ji , Fuzhen Zhuang , Carl Yang , Gang Kou

This paper presents a methodological approach to financial time series analysis by combining causal discovery and uncertainty-aware forecasting. As a case study, we focus on four key U.S. macroeconomic indicators -- GDP, economic growth,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Federico Cerutti

This article applies natural language processing (NLP) to extract and quantify textual information to predict stock performance. Using an extensive dataset of Chinese analyst reports and employing a customized BERT deep learning model for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Rui Liu , Jiayou Liang , Haolong Chen , Yujia Hu

Financial simulators play an important role in enhancing forecasting accuracy, managing risks, and fostering strategic financial decision-making. Despite the development of financial market simulation methodologies, existing frameworks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Haochong Xia , Shuo Sun , Xinrun Wang , Bo An

The emergence and rapid progress of the Internet have brought ever-increasing impact on financial domain. How to rapidly and accurately mine the key information from the massive negative financial texts has become one of the key issues for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-01-16 Lingyun Zhao , Lin Li , Xinhao Zheng

Predicting stock prices from textual information is a challenging task due to the uncertainty of the market and the difficulty understanding the natural language from a machine's perspective. Previous researches focus mostly on sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Qinkai Chen , Christian-Yann Robert

Artificial intelligence techniques have increasingly been applied to understand the complex relationship between public sentiment and financial market behaviour. This study explores the relationship between the sentiment of news related to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Domenica Mino , Cillian Williamson