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Related papers: Uncertainty Quantification for Reduced-Order Surro…

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Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

Unsteady fluid systems are nonlinear high-dimensional dynamical systems that may exhibit multiple complex phenomena both in time and space. Reduced Order Modeling (ROM) of fluid flows has been an active research topic in the recent decade…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-05 Hamidreza Eivazi , Hadi Veisi , Mohammad Hossein Naderi , Vahid Esfahanian

This chapter provides an extended overview about Reduced Order Models (ROMs), with a focus on their features in terms of efficiency and accuracy. In particular, the aim is to browse the more common ROM frameworks, considering both intrusive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Pierfrancesco Siena , Paquale Claudio Africa , Michele Girfoglio , Gianluigi Rozza

Modern autonomous systems with machine learning components often use uncertainty quantification to help produce assurances about system operation. However, there is a lack of consensus in the community on what uncertainty is and how to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Sampada Deglurkar , Haotian Shen , Anish Muthali , Marco Pavone , Dragos Margineantu , Peter Karkus , Boris Ivanovic , Claire J. Tomlin

In this paper we propose a Bayesian method as a numerical way to correct and stabilise projection-based reduced order models (ROM) in computational fluid dynamics problems. The approach is of hybrid type, and consists of the classical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Giovanni Stabile , Bojana Rosic

Reduced-order models (ROMs) of turbulent flows based on Galerkin projection often require many degrees of freedom to resolve the dynamics of the turbulence, or simulation data to obtain an optimal modal basis. However, obtaining simulation…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-21 Ian Addison-Smith , Igor A. Maia , Benjamin Herrmann , Andre V. G. Cavalieri

Predicting and simulating aerodynamic fields for civil aircraft over wide flight envelopes represent a real challenge mainly due to significant numerical costs and complex flows. Surrogate models and reduced-order models help to estimate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-11 Romain Dupuis , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Pierre Sagaut

Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

In the reduced order modeling (ROM) framework, the solution of a parametric partial differential equation is approximated by combining the high-fidelity solutions of the problem at hand for several properly chosen configurations. Examples…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Nicola Demo , Marco Tezzele , Andrea Mola , Gianluigi Rozza

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Mode shape information play the essential role in deciding the spatial pattern of vibratory response of a structure. The uncertainty quantification of mode shape, i.e., predicting mode shape variation when the structure is subjected to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-24 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

POD--Galerkin reduced-order models (ROMs) for fluid-structure interaction problems (incompressible fluid and thin structure) are proposed in this paper. Both the high-fidelity and reduced-order methods are based on a Chorin-Temam…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Francesco Ballarin , Gianluigi Rozza , Yvon Maday

Linear covariance (LinCov) techniques have gained widespread traction in the modeling of uncertainty, including in the preliminary study of spacecraft navigation performance. While LinCov methods offer improved computational efficiency…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Braden Hastings , Keith A. LeGrand

Molecular dynamics simulation is now a widespread approach for understanding complex systems on the atomistic scale. It finds applications from physics and chemistry to engineering, life and medical science. In the last decade, the approach…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-28 Shunzhou Wan , Robert C. Sinclair , Peter V. Coveney

Model order reduction techniques simplify high-dimensional dynamical systems by deriving lower-dimensional models that retain essential system characteristics. These techniques are crucial for the controller design of complex systems while…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Behrad Samari , Henrik Sandberg , Karl H. Johansson , Abolfazl Lavaei

Simulating complex physical systems is crucial for understanding and predicting phenomena across diverse fields, such as fluid dynamics and heat transfer, as well as plasma physics and structural mechanics. Traditional approaches rely on…

To evaluate a classification algorithm, it is common practice to plot the ROC curve using test data. However, the inherent randomness in the test data can undermine our confidence in the conclusions drawn from the ROC curve, necessitating…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Zheshi Zheng , Bo Yang , Peter Song

We address the design of a model predictive control (MPC) scheme for large-scale linear systems using reduced-order models (ROMs). Our approach uses a ROM, leverages tools from robust control, and integrates them into an MPC framework to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Johannes Köhler , Carlo Scholz , Melanie Zeilinger

Numerical solvers of partial differential equations (PDEs) have been widely employed for simulating physical systems. However, the computational cost remains a major bottleneck in various scientific and engineering applications, which has…