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Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

Loss functions play a central role in supervised classification. Cross-entropy (CE) is widely used, whereas the mean absolute error (MAE) loss can offer robustness but is difficult to optimize. Interpolating between the CE and MAE losses,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-29 Kartheek Bondugula , Santiago Mazuelas , Aritz Pérez , Anqi Liu

Generalised linear models for multi-class classification problems are one of the fundamental building blocks of modern machine learning tasks. In this manuscript, we characterise the learning of a mixture of $K$ Gaussians with generic means…

The dynamic ensemble selection of classifiers is an effective approach for processing label-imbalanced data classifications. However, such a technique is prone to overfitting, owing to the lack of regularization methods and the dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Chen Wang , Chengyuan Deng , Zhoulu Yu , Dafeng Hui , Xiaofeng Gong , Ruisen Luo

Balancing weights have been widely applied to single or monotone missingness due to empirical advantages over likelihood-based methods and inverse probability weighting approaches. This paper considers non-monotone missing data under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-13 Jianing Dong , Raymond K. W. Wong , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

Parameter calibration is essential for reducing uncertainty and improving predictive fidelity in physics-based models, yet it is often limited by the high computational cost of model evaluations. Bayesian calibration methods provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Maike F. Holthuijzen , Atlanta Chakraborty , Elizabeth Krath , Tommie Catanach

A robust estimator for a wide family of mixtures of linear regression is presented. Robustness is based on the joint adoption of the Cluster Weighted Model and of an estimator based on trimming and restrictions. The selected model provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-05 L. A. Garcia-Escudero , A. Gordaliza , F. Greselin , S. Ingrassia , A. Mayo-Iscar

Recent advances in deep learning have achieved impressive gains in classification accuracy on a variety of types of data, including images and text. Despite these gains, however, concerns have been raised about the calibration, robustness,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Dallas Card , Michael Zhang , Noah A. Smith

Empirical evaluation of deep learning models against adversarial attacks entails solving nontrivial constrained optimization problems. Popular algorithms for solving these constrained problems rely on projected gradient descent (PGD) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Hengyue Liang , Buyun Liang , Ying Cui , Tim Mitchell , Ju Sun

Probabilistic classifiers output confidence scores along with their predictions, and these confidence scores should be calibrated, i.e., they should reflect the reliability of the prediction. Confidence scores that minimize standard metrics…

Weighting methods are used in observational studies to adjust for covariate imbalances between treatment and control groups. Entropy balancing (EB) is an alternative to inverse probability weighting with an estimated propensity score. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 David Källberg , Ingeborg Waernbaum

A hierarchical Bayesian approach that permits simultaneous inference for the regression coefficient matrix and the error precision (inverse covariance) matrix in the multivariate linear model is proposed. Assuming a natural ordering of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Christina Zhao , Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones , Adam J. Rothman

This paper presents a pressure-robust enriched Galerkin (EG) method for the Brinkman equations with minimal degrees of freedom based on EG velocity and pressure spaces. The velocity space consists of linear Lagrange polynomials enriched by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Seulip Lee , Lin Mu

We consider the question of estimating a solution to a system of equations that involve convex nonlinearities, a problem that is common in machine learning and signal processing. Because of these nonlinearities, conventional estimators…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-14 Sohail Bahmani , Justin Romberg

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

Envelope methodology is succinctly pitched as a class of procedures for increasing efficiency in multivariate analyses without altering traditional objectives \citep[first sentence of page 1]{cook2018introduction}. This description is true…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Daniel J. Eck

While the expected calibration error (ECE), which employs binning, is widely adopted to evaluate the calibration performance of machine learning models, theoretical understanding of its estimation bias is limited. In this paper, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Futoshi Futami , Masahiro Fujisawa

As compared to using randomly generated sensing matrices, optimizing the sensing matrix w.r.t. a carefully designed criterion is known to lead to better quality signal recovery given a set of compressive measurements. In this paper, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Ameya Anjarlekar , Ajit Rajwade

We propose a novel framework for fitting additive quantile regression models, which provides well calibrated inference about the conditional quantiles and fast automatic estimation of the smoothing parameters, for model structures as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 M. Fasiolo , S. N. Wood , M. Zaffran , R. Nedellec , Y. Goude

While matrix variate regression models have been studied in many existing works, classical statistical and computational methods for the analysis of the regression coefficient estimation are highly affected by high dimensional and noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Feng Yu , Xing Fan , Teng Zhang
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