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The implementation of computational sensing strategies often faces calibration problems typically solved by means of multiple, accurately chosen training signals, an approach that can be resource-consuming and cumbersome. Conversely, blind…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-17 Valerio Cambareri , Laurent Jacques

Self-referential learning -- training a model on data it generated itself -- promises boundless scalability but chronically suffers from model collapse: language models degenerate into repetitive text, GANs drop modes, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Jingwei Chen

Evaluating the performance of Grammatical Error Correction (GEC) models has become increasingly challenging, as large language model (LLM)-based GEC systems often produce corrections that diverge from provided gold references. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Jinxiang Xie , Yilin Li , Xunjian Yin , Xiaojun Wan

The Fr\'echet regression is a useful method for modeling random objects in a general metric space given Euclidean covariates. However, the conventional approach could be sensitive to outlying objects in the sense that the distance from the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-21 Hao Li , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shota Katayama

A novel heuristic approach is proposed here for time series data analysis, dubbed Generalized weighted permutation entropy, which amalgamates and generalizes beyond their original scope two well established data analysis methods:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-19 Darko Stosic , Dusan Stosic , Tatijana Stosic , Borko Stosic

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage. However, recent studies have shown that integrating confidence calibration with CP can lead to a degradation in efficiency. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Rui Luo , Nicolo Colombo

This paper describes a flexible framework for generalized low-rank tensor estimation problems that includes many important instances arising from applications in computational imaging, genomics, and network analysis. The proposed estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Rungang Han , Rebecca Willett , Anru R. Zhang

Automated model selection is often proposed to users to choose which machine learning model (or method) to apply to a given regression task. In this paper, we show that combining different regression models can yield better results than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Patrick Echtenbruck , Martina Echtenbruck , Joost Batenburg , Thomas Bäck , Boris Naujoks , Michael Emmerich

This paper introduces entropy balancing for continuous treatments (EBCT) by extending the original entropy balancing methodology of Hainm\"uller (2012). In order to estimate balancing weights, the proposed approach solves a globally convex…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-29 Stefan Tübbicke

In this paper, we study large-scale convex optimization algorithms based on the Newton method applied to regularized generalized self-concordant losses, which include logistic regression and softmax regression. We first prove that our new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-22 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

In regression models fitted to data from complex survey designs, sampling weights often incorporate non-essential variation, inflating variance estimates. Stabilized weights mitigate this issue by adjusting sampling weights to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Tong Chen , Joshua Slone , Gustavo Amorim , Pamela A. Shaw , Bryan E. Shepherd , Thomas Lumley

In applications with significant class imbalance or asymmetric costs, metrics such as the $F_\beta$-measure, AM measure, Jaccard similarity coefficient, and weighted accuracy offer more suitable evaluation criteria than standard binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Pre-trained machine learning (ML) predictions have been increasingly used to complement incomplete data to enable downstream scientific inquiries, but their naive integration risks biased inferences. Recently, multiple methods have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-12 Xingran Chen , Tyler McCormick , Bhramar Mukherjee , Zhenke Wu

In the context of first-order algorithms subject to random gradient noise, we study the trade-offs between the convergence rate (which quantifies how fast the initial conditions are forgotten) and the "risk" of suboptimality, i.e.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Bugra Can , Mert Gürbüzbalaban

Understanding the confidence with which a machine learning model classifies an input datum is an important, and perhaps under-investigated, concept. In this paper, we propose a new calibration metric, the Entropic Calibration Difference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Daniel James Sumler , Lee Devlin , Simon Maskell , Richard O. Lane

We study moment-based estimation with two sequentially collected variables subject to non-monotone missingness. The commonly used Missing at Random (MAR) assumption requiring all missingness mechanisms to depend on the same fully observed…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Shenshen Yang

The method of generalized estimating equations (GEE) is popular in the biostatistics literature for analyzing longitudinal binary and count data. It assumes a generalized linear model (GLM) for the outcome variable, and a working…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-03 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Accurate uncertainty quantification is critical for reliable predictive modeling. Existing methods typically address either aleatoric uncertainty due to measurement noise or epistemic uncertainty resulting from limited data, but not both in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Ilia Azizi , Juraj Bodik , Jakob Heiss , Bin Yu

Calibration methods have been widely studied in survey sampling over the last decades. Viewing calibration as an inverse problem, we extend the calibration technique by using a maximum entropy method. Finding the optimal weights is achieved…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-23 Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes , Paul Rochet

The consideration of predictive uncertainty in medical imaging with deep learning is of utmost importance. We apply estimation of both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by variational Bayesian inference with Monte Carlo dropout to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-27 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Jacob F. Fast , Lüder A. Kahrs , Tobias Ortmaier