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Determining whether an algorithmic decision-making system discriminates against a specific demographic typically involves comparing a single point estimate of a fairness metric against a predefined threshold. This practice is statistically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Antonio Ferrara , Francesco Cozzi , Alan Perotti , André Panisson , Francesco Bonchi

We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a black-box machine-learning predictor is available. The goal is to perform statistical inference on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-09 Yang Sui , Jin Zhou , Hua Zhou , Xiaowu Dai

We introduce a new multiple type I error criterion for clinical trials with multiple populations. Such trials are of interest in precision medicine where the goal is to develop treatments that are targeted to specific sub-populations…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-05 Werner Brannath , Charlie Hillner , Kornelius Rohmeyer

This paper introduces a novel K-means clustering algorithm, an advancement on the conventional Big-means methodology. The proposed method efficiently integrates parallel processing, stochastic sampling, and competitive optimization to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Rustam Mussabayev , Ravil Mussabayev

In this paper, we propose a new approach to causal inference with panel data. Instead of using panel data to adjust for differences in the distribution of unobserved heterogeneity between the treated and comparison groups, we instead use…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Brantly Callaway , Derek Dyal , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Emmanuel S. Tsyawo

In many applications we want to find the number of clusters in a dataset. A common approach is to use the penalized k-means algorithm with an additive penalty term linear in the number of clusters. An open problem is estimating the value of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-18 Behzad Kamgar-Parsi , Behrooz Kamgar-Parsi

Recent results in coupled or temporal graphical models offer schemes for estimating the relationship structure between features when the data come from related (but distinct) longitudinal sources. A novel application of these ideas is for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Ronak Mehta , Hyunwoo J. Kim , Shulei Wang , Sterling C. Johnson , Ming Yuan , Vikas Singh

A population-averaged additive subdistribution hazards model is proposed to assess the marginal effects of covariates on the cumulative incidence function and to analyze correlated failure time data subject to competing risks. This approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Xinyuan Chen , Denise Esserman , Fan Li

Mixed-effects logistic regression is widely used for binary outcomes in hierarchical data, yet formal goodness-of-fit tests remain limited to random-intercept models and do not address sparse cluster settings. We extend a grouping-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Ariel Linden

Panel data are widely used in political science to draw causal inferences. However, these models often rely on the strong and untested assumption of sequential ignorability--that no unmeasured variables influence both the independent and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Bang Quan Zheng

This paper considers fixed effects estimation and inference in linear and nonlinear panel data models with random coefficients and endogenous regressors. The quantities of interest -- means, variances, and other moments of the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Joonhwah Lee

This paper concerns the estimation of linear panel data models with endogenous regressors and a latent group structure in the coefficients. We consider instrumental variables estimation of the group-specific coefficient vector. We show that…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-15 Junho Choi , Ryo Okui

We consider the problem of clustering a sample of probability distributions from a random distribution on $\mathbb R^p$. Our proposed partitioning method makes use of a symmetric, positive-definite kernel $k$ and its associated reproducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Amparo Baíllo , Jose R. Berrendero , Martín Sánchez-Signorini

Classification model selection is a process of identifying a suitable model class for a given classification task on a dataset. Traditionally, model selection is based on cross-validation, meta-learning, and user preferences, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Sudarsun Santhiappan , Nitin Shravan , Balaraman Ravindran

Conditional generative models map input variables to complex, high-dimensional distributions, enabling realistic sample generation in a diverse set of domains. A critical challenge with these models is the absence of calibrated uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Qidong Yang , Qianyu Julie Zhu , Jonathan Giezendanner , Youssef Marzouk , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

We present a novel and easy-to-use method for calibrating error-rate based confidence intervals to evidence-based support intervals. Support intervals are obtained from inverting Bayes factors based on a parameter estimate and its standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-28 Samuel Pawel , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Cross-level interactions among fixed effects in linear mixed models (also known as multilevel models) are often complicated by the variances stemming from random effects and residuals. When these variances change across clusters, tests of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-18 Ting Wang , Edgar C. Merkle , Joaquin A. Anguera , Brandon M. Turner

Multivariate categorical data are common in many fields. We are motivated by election polls studies assessing evidence of changes in voters opinions with their candidates preferences in the 2016 United States Presidential primaries or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Massimiliano Russo , Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa

We propose a parsimonious extension of the classical latent class model to cluster categorical data by relaxing the class conditional independence assumption. Under this new mixture model, named Conditional Modes Model, variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-21 Matthieu Marbac , Christophe Biernacki , Vincent Vandewalle

The classical k-means clustering, based on distances computed from all data features, cannot be directly applied to incomplete data with missing values. A natural extension of k-means to missing data, namely k-POD, uses only the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Xin Guan , Yoshikazu Terada