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Residual-based goodness-of-fit tests for parametric time-series models are often complicated by parameter-estimation effects, which can alter the limiting behavior of diagnostic statistics. We propose a sample-splitting generalized spectral…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Yuxin Tao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

In this work, we propose a mean-squared error-based risk that enables the comparison and optimization of estimators of squared calibration errors in practical settings. Improving the calibration of classifiers is crucial for enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Sebastian G. Gruber , Francis Bach

In this paper, two tests, based on CUSUM of the residuals and least squares estimation, are studied to detect in real time a change-point in a nonlinear model. A first test statistic is proposed by extension of a method already used in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Gabriela Ciuperca

For data-driven iterative learning control (ILC) methods, both the model estimation and controller design problems are converted to parameter estimation problems for some chosen model structures. It is well-known that if the model order is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-08 Xian Yu , Xiaozhu Fang , Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen

Diagnostic accuracy studies assess sensitivity and specificity of a new index test in relation to an established comparator or the reference standard. The development and selection of the index test is usually assumed to be conducted prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Max Westphal , Antonia Zapf

In this paper we propose a new test of heteroscedasticity for parametric regression models and partial linear regression models in high dimensional settings. When the dimension of covariates is large, existing tests of heteroscedasticity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-09 Falong Tan , Xuejun Jiang , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

This paper addresses the problem of estimating multiplicative fault signals in linear time-invariant systems by processing its input and output variables, as well as designing an input signal to maximize the accuracy of such estimates. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Gabriel de Albuquerque Gleizer , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tamas Keviczky

In this paper we consider a location model of the form $Y = m(X) + \varepsilon$, where $m(\cdot)$ is the unknown regression function, the error $\varepsilon$ is independent of the $p$-dimensional covariate $X$ and $E(\varepsilon)=0$. Given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Ingrid Van Keilegom

We propose a coupled bootstrap (CB) method for the test error of an arbitrary algorithm that estimates the mean in a Poisson sequence, often called the Poisson means problem. The idea behind our method is to generate two carefully-designed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Natalia L. Oliveira , Jing Lei , Ryan J. Tibshirani

The challenge of handling missing data is widespread in modern data analysis, particularly during the preprocessing phase and in various inferential modeling tasks. Although numerous algorithms exist for imputing missing data, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Marcos Matabuena , Carla Díaz-Louzao , Rahul Ghosal , Francisco Gude

To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Dimitris N. Politis , Kejin Wu

We present the first exact simulation method for multidimensional reflected Brownian motion (RBM). Exact simulation in this setting is challenging because of the presence of correlated local-time-like terms in the definition of RBM. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan

This article introduces an iterative distributed computing estimator for the multinomial logistic regression model with large choice sets. Compared to the maximum likelihood estimator, the proposed iterative distributed estimator achieves…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-03 Yanqin Fan , Yigit Okar , Xuetao Shi

We propose a procedure for imputing missing values of time-dependent covariates in a survival model using fully conditional specification. Specifically, we focus on imputing missing values of a longitudinal marker in joint modeling of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-29 Havi Murad , Nirit Agay , Rachel Dankner

The ISO 5725 series frames interlaboratory precision through repeatability, between-laboratory, and reproducibility variances, yet practical guidance on deploying bootstrap methods within this one-way random-effects setting remains limited.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Jun-ichi Takeshita , Kazuhiro Morita , Tomomichi Suzuki

Towards a solution to the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures, we propose a new approach which yields statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using absolute values of the…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

A simulation method based on the RG blocking is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than that of the crude MC using absolute values of the original measures. The new method is particularly suitable to apply to the sign problem of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-30 J. F. Markham , T. D. Kieu

We consider the residual empirical process in random design regression with long memory errors. We establish its limiting behaviour, showing that its rates of convergence are different from the rates of convergence for to the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Pawel Lorek , Rafal Kulik

We present a new method for developing time step controllers based on a technique from the field of machine learning. This method is applicable to stable time integrators that have an embedded scheme, i.e., that have local error estimation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Thomas Izgin , Hendrik Ranocha