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Graphical models have become a very popular tool for representing dependencies within a large set of variables and are key for representing causal structures. We provide results for uniform inference on high-dimensional graphical models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-04 Sven Klaassen , Jannis Kück , Martin Spindler , Victor Chernozhukov

Causal structure discovery from observational data is fundamental to the causal understanding of autonomous systems such as medical decision support systems, advertising campaigns and self-driving cars. This is essential to solve well-known…

Principled reasoning about the identifiability of causal effects from non-experimental data is an important application of graphical causal models. This paper focuses on effects that are identifiable by covariate adjustment, a commonly used…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Benito van der Zander , Maciej Liśkiewicz , Johannes Textor

In multivariate statistics, acyclic mixed graphs with directed and bidirected edges are widely used for compact representation of dependence structures that can arise in the presence of hidden (i.e., latent or unobserved) variables. Indeed,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-20 Christopher J. Fox , Andreas Käufl , Mathias Drton

Most Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) predict the labels of unseen graphs by learning the correlation between the input graphs and labels. However, by presenting a graph classification investigation on the training graphs with severe bias,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Shaohua Fan , Xiao Wang , Yanhu Mo , Chuan Shi , Jian Tang

We propose some extensions to semi-parametric models based on Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). In the semi-parametric BART paradigm, the response variable is approximated by a linear predictor and a BART model, where the linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Estevão B. Prado , Andrew C. Parnell , Keefe Murphy , Nathan McJames , Ann O'Shea , Rafael A. Moral

In this article, the enumeration of partial chord diagrams is discussed via matrix model techniques. In addition to the basic data such as the number of backbones and chords, we also consider the Euler characteristic, the backbone spectrum,…

There exist several approaches for estimating causal effects in time series when latent confounding is present. Many of these approaches rely on additional auxiliary observed variables or time series such as instruments, negative controls…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Tom Hochsprung , Jakob Runge , Andreas Gerhardus

We consider linear models where $d$ potential causes $X_1,...,X_d$ are correlated with one target quantity $Y$ and propose a method to infer whether the association is causal or whether it is an artifact caused by overfitting or hidden…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-05 Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf

A Random Graph is a random object which take its values in the space of graphs. We take advantage of the expressibility of graphs in order to model the uncertainty about the existence of causal relationships within a given set of variables.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Mauricio Gonzalez-Soto , Ivan R. Feliciano-Avelino , L. Enrique Sucar , Hugo J. Escalante Balderas

The covariance graph (aka bi-directed graph) of a probability distribution $p$ is the undirected graph $G$ where two nodes are adjacent iff their corresponding random variables are marginally dependent in $p$. In this paper, we present a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-27 Jose M. Peña

Causal graphs are commonly used to understand and model complex systems. Researchers often construct these graphs from different perspectives, leading to significant variations for the same problem. Comparing causal graphs is, therefore,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Ning-Yuan Georgia Liu , Flower Yang , Mohammad S. Jalali

We study a family of regularized score-based estimators for learning the structure of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) for a multivariate normal distribution from high-dimensional data with $p\gg n$. Our main results establish support…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Bryon Aragam , Arash A. Amini , Qing Zhou

The paper proposes to analyze epidemiological data using regression models which enable subject-matter (epidemiological) interpretation of such data whether with uncorrelated or correlated predictors. To this end, response functions should…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-20 Anatoly N. Varaksin , Vladimir G. Panov

In semi-supervised learning on graphs, response variables observed at one node are used to estimate missing values at other nodes. The methods exploit correlations between nearby nodes in the graph. In this paper we prove that many such…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-09 Ya Xu , Justin S. Dyer , Art B. Owen

Model diagnostics and forecast evaluation are two sides of the same coin. A common principle is that fitted or predicted distributions ought to be calibrated or reliable, ideally in the sense of auto-calibration, where the outcome is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Tilmann Gneiting , Johannes Resin

We consider linear structural equation models with latent variables and develop a criterion to certify whether the direct causal effects between the observable variables are identifiable based on the observed covariance matrix. Linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton , Nils Sturma , Luca Weihs

Despite their popularity, many questions about the algebraic constraints imposed by linear structural equation models remain open problems. For causal discovery, two of these problems are especially important: the enumeration of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Thijs van Ommen , Joris M. Mooij

Functional causal models (fCMs) specify functional dependencies between random variables associated to the vertices of a graph. In directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), fCMs are well-understood: a unique probability distribution on the random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Carla Ferradini , Victor Gitton , V. Vilasini

We consider estimation of a total causal effect from observational data via covariate adjustment. Ideally, adjustment sets are selected based on a given causal graph, reflecting knowledge of the underlying causal structure. Valid adjustment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Janine Witte , Leonard Henckel , Marloes H. Maathuis , Vanessa Didelez