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Machine learning models often deteriorate in their performance when they are used to predict the outcomes over data on which they were not trained. These scenarios can often arise in real world when the distribution of data changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-19 Narayanan U. Edakunni , Utkarsh Tekriwal , Anukriti Jain

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has created the single biggest technology revolution the world has ever seen. For the finance sector, it provides great opportunities to enhance customer experience, democratize financial services, ensure…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-02 Branka Hadji Misheva , Joerg Osterrieder , Ali Hirsa , Onkar Kulkarni , Stephen Fung Lin

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

When learning from streaming data, a change in the data distribution, also known as concept drift, can render a previously-learned model inaccurate and require training a new model. We present an adaptive learning algorithm that extends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ashraf Tahmasbi , Ellango Jothimurugesan , Srikanta Tirthapura , Phillip B. Gibbons

Survival analysis has become a standard approach for modelling time to default by time-varying covariates in credit risk. Unlike most existing methods that implicitly assume a stationary data-generating process, in practise, mortgage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Jianwei Peng , Stefan Lessmann

The growing prevalence of drift and shocks in modern decision environments exposes a gap between classical optimization theory and real-world practice. Standard models assume fixed objectives, yet organizations from hospitals to power grids…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 JINHO CHA

Modern time series forecasting increasingly relies on complex ensemble models generated by AutoML systems like AutoGluon, delivering superior accuracy but with significant costs to transparency and interpretability. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Yikai Zhao , Jiekai Ma

Feature attribution methods are widely used for explaining image-based predictions, as they provide feature-level insights that can be intuitively visualized. However, such explanations often vary in their robustness and may fail to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Amr Alkhatib , Stephanie Lowry

Modern analytical systems must be ready to process streaming data and correctly respond to data distribution changes. The phenomenon of changes in data distributions is called concept drift, and it may harm the quality of the used models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Jędrzej Kozal , Filip Guzy , Michał Woźniak

Deep learning-based trajectory prediction models have demonstrated promising capabilities in capturing complex interactions. However, their out-of-distribution generalization remains a significant challenge, particularly due to unbalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kumar Manas , Christian Schlauch , Adrian Paschke , Christian Wirth , Nadja Klein

While machine learning models have achieved unprecedented success in real-world applications, they might make biased/unfair decisions for specific demographic groups and hence result in discriminative outcomes. Although research efforts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Yuying Zhao , Yu Wang , Tyler Derr

Real-world data streams exhibit inherent non-stationarity characterized by concept drift, posing significant challenges for adaptive learning systems. While existing methods address isolated distribution shifts, they overlook the critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 En Yu , Jie Lu , Guangquan Zhang

A fundamental issue for statistical classification models in a streaming environment is that the joint distribution between predictor and response variables changes over time (a phenomenon also known as concept drifts), such that their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-11 Shujian Yu , Zubin Abraham , Heng Wang , Mohak Shah , Yantao Wei , José C. Príncipe

Incomplete node features are ubiquitous in real-world scenarios such as user profiling and cold-start recommendation, which severely hinders the practical deployment of graph learning systems (e.g., GNNs). Existing solutions typically rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Yifan Song , Fenglin Yu , Yihong Luo , Xingjian Tao , Siya Qiu , Kai Han , Jing Tang

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

Instance-dependent cost-sensitive (IDCS) classifiers offer a promising approach to improving cost-efficiency in credit scoring by tailoring loss functions to instance-specific costs. However, the impact of such loss functions on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Matteo Ballegeer , Matthias Bogaert , Dries F. Benoit

Machine learning approaches for image classification have led to impressive advances in that field. For example, convolutional neural networks are able to achieve remarkable image classification accuracy across a wide range of applications…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-30 Christopher T. Franck , Anne R. Driscoll , Zoe Szajnfarber , William H. Woodall

Machine learning classifiers in dynamic environments face concept drift -- changes in the data-generating process that degrade performance. Conventional evaluation via static test sets or noise perturbations fails to preserve causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Julien Lafrance , Richard Khoury , Véronique Tremblay

In many real-world applications, continuous machine learning (ML) systems are crucial but prone to data drift, a phenomenon where discrepancies between historical training data and future test data lead to significant performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Vennela Yarabolu , Govind Waghmare , Sonia Gupta , Siddhartha Asthana

Most predictive models assume that training and test data are generated from a stationary process. However, this assumption does not hold true in practice. In this paper, we consider the scenario of a gradual concept drift due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Subhro Das , Prasanth Lade , Soundar Srinivasan