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This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Frequency response functions (FRFs) are important for assessing the behavior of stochastic linear dynamic systems. For large systems, their evaluations are time-consuming even for a single simulation. In such cases, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-23 V. Yaghoubi , S. Marelli , B. Sudret , T. Abrahamsson

The surrogate model-based uncertainty quantification method has drawn much attention in many engineering fields. Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and deep learning (DL) are powerful methods for building a surrogate model. However, PCE needs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Wen Yao , Xiaohu Zheng , Jun Zhang , Ning Wang , Guijian Tang

This article builds on the recently proposed RB-ML-ROM approach for parameterized parabolic PDEs and proposes a novel hierarchical Trust Region algorithm for solving parabolic PDE constrained optimization problems. Instead of using a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Benedikt Klein , Mario Ohlberger

Kernel based approximation offers versatile tools for high-dimensional approximation, which can especially be leveraged for surrogate modeling. For this purpose, both "knot insertion" and "knot removal" approaches aim at choosing a suitable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Tizian Wenzel , Armin Iske

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

Explainable AI is a crucial component for edge services, as it ensures reliable decision making based on complex AI models. Surrogate models are a prominent approach of XAI where human-interpretable models, such as a linear regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Foivos Charalampakos , Thomas Tsouparopoulos , Iordanis Koutsopoulos

The term `surrogate modeling' in computational science and engineering refers to the development of computationally efficient approximations for expensive simulations, such as those arising from numerical solution of partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Maarten V. de Hoop , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Elizabeth Qian , Andrew M. Stuart

We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Jing Li , Alexandre M Tartakovsky

Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

In the last years, reinforcement learning received a lot of attention. One method to solve reinforcement learning tasks is Neuroevolution, where neural networks are optimized by evolutionary algorithms. A disadvantage of Neuroevolution is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Jörg Stork , Martin Zaefferer , Thomas Bartz-Beielstein , A. E. Eiben

Training reinforcement learning (RL) agents to control fluid dynamics systems is computationally expensive due to the high cost of direct numerical simulations (DNS) of the governing equations. Surrogate models offer a promising alternative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Tim Plotzki , Sebastian Peitz

This work presents a model reduction approach to the inverse problem in the application of subsurface flows. For the Bayesian inverse problem, the forward model needs to be repeatedly computed for a large number of samples to get a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

In numerous applications, surrogate models are used as a replacement for accurate parameter-to-observable mappings when solving large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The surrogate model may be a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Radoslav Vuchkov , Umberto Villa , Noemi Petra

Accurate and predictive scale-resolving simulations of laser-ignited rocket engines are highly time-consuming because the problem includes turbulent fuel-oxidizer mixing dynamics, laser-induced energy deposition, and high-speed flame…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Tony Zahtila , Ettore Saetta , Murray Cutforth , Davy Brouzet , Diego Rossinelli , Gianluca Iaccarino

Radio-Frequency Quadrupoles (RFQs) are multi-purpose linear particle accelerators that simultaneously bunch and accelerate charged particle beams. They are ubiquitous in accelerator physics, especially as injectors to higher-energy…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-18 Joshua Villarreal , Daniel Winklehner , Daniel Koser , Janet Marie Conrad

Highly precise and robust waveform models are required as improvements in detector sensitivity enable us to test general relativity with more precision than ever before. In this work, we introduce a spin-aligned surrogate ringdown model.…

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoya Zhang

We propose an efficient surrogate modeling technique for uncertainty quantification. The method is based on a well-known dimension-adaptive collocation scheme. We improve the scheme by enhancing sparse polynomial surrogates with conformal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Niklas Georg , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

Prediction rule ensembles (PRE) provide interpretable prediction models with relatively high accuracy.PRE obtain a large set of decision rules from a (boosted) decision tree ensemble, and achieves sparsitythrough application of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-29 Benny Markovitch , Marjolein Fokkema
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