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The Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve (KL) expansion is a popular method for approximating random fields by transforming an infinite-dimensional stochastic domain into a finite-dimensional parameter space. Its numerical approximation is of central…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Michael Griebel , Guanglian Li

High-fidelity simulation models are widely used to analyze complex stochastic systems, but their high computational cost motivates the development of cheaper surrogate models that approximate the simulation model's input-output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

This work introduces a method to equip data-driven polynomial chaos expansion surrogate models with intervals that quantify the predictive uncertainty of the surrogate. To that end, jackknife-based conformal prediction is integrated into…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Dimitris G. Giovanis

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

Image-based computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling enables derivation of hemodynamic information, which has become a paradigm in cardiovascular research and healthcare. Nonetheless, the predictive accuracy largely depends on precisely…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-20 Han Gao , Xueyu Zhu , Jian-Xun Wang

Simulating complex physical processes across a domain of input parameters can be very computationally expensive. Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling can resolve this issue by integrating cheaper simulations with the expensive ones in order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Romain Boutelet , Chih-Li Sung

Gaussian random field is a ubiquitous model for spatial phenomena in diverse scientific disciplines. Its approximation is often crucial for computational feasibility in simulation, inference, and uncertainty quantification. The…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-23 Joaquin Cavieres , Sebastian Krumscheid

A multi-fidelity surrogate model for highly nonlinear multiscale problems is proposed. It is based on the introduction of two different surrogate models and an adaptive on-the-fly switching. The two concurrent surrogates are built…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-05-03 Felix Fritzen , Mauricio Fernández , Fredrik Larsson

This report examines numerical aspects of constructing Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansions (KLEs) for second-order stochastic processes. The KLE relies on the spectral decomposition of the covariance operator via the Fredholm integral equation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Cosmin Safta , Habib N. Najm

Designing an inexpensive approximate surrogate model that captures the salient features of an expensive high-fidelity behavior is a prevalent approach in design optimization. In recent times, Deep Learning (DL) models are being used as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Harsh Vardhan , Janos Sztipanovits

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 José Calos García-Marino , Carmen Calvo-Jurado , Enrique García-Macías

Data-driven surrogate models are widely used for applications such as design optimization and uncertainty quantification, where repeated evaluations of an expensive simulator are required. For most partial differential equation (PDE)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-18 Wei Xing , Robert M. Kirby , Shandian Zhe

The paper presents a novel methodology to build surrogate models of complicated functions by an active learning-based sequential decomposition of the input random space and construction of localized polynomial chaos expansions, referred to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields , Václav Sadílek , Miroslav Vořechovský

The active learning (AL) technique, one of the state-of-the-art methods for constructing surrogate models, has shown high accuracy and efficiency in forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) analysis. This paper provides a comprehensive study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Maijia Su , Ziqi Wang , Oreste Salvatore Bursi , Marco Broccardo

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

This paper is dedicated to enhancing the computational efficiency of traditional parallel-in-time methods for solving stochastic initial-value problems. The standard parareal algorithm often suffers from slow convergence when applied to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Dou Dai , Qiuqi Li , Huailing Song

High-fidelity numerical simulations of partial differential equations (PDEs) given a restricted computational budget can significantly limit the number of parameter configurations considered and/or time window evaluated for modeling a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Andrea Manzoni , Attilio Frangi , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Computational simulations with different fidelity have been widely used in engineering design. A high-fidelity (HF) model is generally more accurate but also more time-consuming than an low-fidelity (LF) model. To take advantages of both HF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Maolin Shi , Shuo Wang , Wei Sun , Liye Lv , Xueguan Song

Numerically solving a large parametric nonlinear dynamical system is challenging due to its high complexity and the high computational costs. In recent years, machine-learning-aided surrogates are being actively researched. However, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Shuwen Sun , Lihong Feng , Peter Benner