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This paper considers distribution systems with a high penetration of distributed, renewable generation and addresses the problem of incorporating the associated uncertainty into the optimal operation of these networks. Joint chance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Kyri Baker , Andrey Bernstein

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant uncertainty in power system operations, making traditional deterministic unit commitment approaches computationally expensive. This paper presents a machine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Amir Bahador Javadi , Amin Kargarian , Mort Naraghi-Pour

In this paper, we consider a chance-constrained formulation of the optimal power flow problem to handle uncertainties resulting from renewable generation and load variability. We propose a tuning method that iterates between solving an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Ashley M. Hou , Line A. Roald

Higher levels of renewable electricity generation increase uncertainty in power system operation. To ensure secure system operation, new tools that account for this uncertainty are required. In this paper, we formulate a chance-constrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Line Roald , Göran Andersson

Joint chance-constrained optimal power flow (JCC-OPF) is a promising tool to manage uncertainties from distributed renewable generation. However, most existing works are based on power flow equations, which require accurate network…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Ge Chen , Hongcai Zhang , Hongxun Hui , Yonghua Song

The growing amount of fluctuating renewable infeeds and market liberalization increases uncertainty in power system operation. To capture the influence of fluctuations in operational planning, we model the forecast errors of the uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-26 Line Roald , Frauke Oldewurtel , Bart Van Parys , Göran Andersson

Evolving power systems with increasing levels of stochasticity call for a need to solve optimal power flow problems with large quantities of random variables. Weather forecasts, electricity prices, and shifting load patterns introduce…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Kyri Baker , Bridget Toomey

The embedded ensemble propagation approach introduced in [49] has been demonstrated to be a powerful means of reducing the computational cost of sampling-based uncertainty quantification methods, particularly on emerging computational…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-08 Marta D'Elia , Eric Phipps , Ahmad Rushdi , Mohamed Ebeida

High penetration of renewable energy sources and the increasing share of stochastic loads require the explicit representation of uncertainty in tools such as the optimal power flow (OPF). Current approaches follow either a linearized…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Andreas Venzke , Lejla Halilbasic , Uros Markovic , Gabriela Hug , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

Chance-constrained optimization has emerged as a promising framework for managing uncertainties in power systems. This work advances its application to the DC Optimal Power Flow (DC-OPF) model, developing a novel approach to uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Tianyang Yi , D. Adrian Maldonado , Anirudh Subramanyam

The ever-increasing integration of stochastic renewable energy sources into power systems operation is making the supply-demand balance more challenging. While joint chance-constrained methods are equipped to model these complexities and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-23 Meiyi Li , Javad Mohammadi

With dramatic breakthroughs in recent years, machine learning is showing great potential to upgrade the toolbox for power system optimization. Understanding the strength and limitation of machine learning approaches is crucial to decide…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-03 Guangchun Ruan , Haiwang Zhong , Guanglun Zhang , Yiliu He , Xuan Wang , Tianjiao Pu

Addressing real-world optimization challenges requires not only advanced metaheuristics but also continuous refinement of their internal mechanisms. This paper explores the integration of machine learning in the form of neural surrogate…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Tomohiro Harada , Enrique Alba , Gabriel Luque

Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

Physical based simulations can be very time and computationally demanding tasks. One way of accelerating these processes is by making use of data-driven surrogate models that learn from existing simulations. Ensembling methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Anthony Kalaydjian , Anton Balykov , Alexi Semiz , Adrien Chan-Hon-Tong

Uncertainty in renewable energy generation has the potential to adversely impact the operation of electric networks. Numerous approaches to manage this impact have been proposed, ranging from stochastic and chance-constrained programming to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Álvaro Porras , Line Roald , Juan Miguel Morales , Salvador Pineda

Transmission expansion planning (TEP) plays a critical role in ensuring power system reliability and facilitating the integration of renewable energy resources. However, this process requires planners to constantly deal with significant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Victor Schmitt , Farzaneh Pourahmadi , Angela Flores-Quiroz , Pablo Apablaza , Pierluigi Mancarella

Though the convex optimization has been widely used in power systems, it still cannot guarantee to yield a tight (accurate) solution to some problems. To mitigate this issue, this paper proposes an ensemble learning based convex…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-18 Ren Hu , Qifeng Li , Feng Qiu

We propose a general framework for machine learning based optimization under uncertainty. Our approach replaces the complex forward model by a surrogate, which is learned simultaneously in a one-shot sense when solving the optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Philipp A. Guth , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

A surrogate model that accurately predicts distribution system voltages is crucial for reliable smart grid planning and operation. This letter proposes a fixed-point data-driven surrogate modeling method that employs a limited dataset to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Hoang Tien Nguyen , Young-Jin Kim , Dae-Hyun Choi
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