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Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Sebastian G. Gruber , Aleksei Tiulpin , Florian Buettner , Matthew B. Blaschko

We introduce a method based on Conformal Prediction (CP) to quantify the uncertainty of full ranking algorithms. We focus on a specific scenario where $n+m$ items are to be ranked by some ``black box'' algorithm. It is assumed that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Pierre Humbert , Gilles Blanchard

The comparison of alternative rankings of a set of items is a general and prominent task in applied statistics. Predictor variables are ranked according to magnitude of association with an outcome, prediction models rank subjects according…

The rapid growth of spatial data urges the research community to find efficient processing techniques for interactive queries on large volumes of data. Approximate Query Processing (AQP) is the most prominent technique that can provide…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Tin Vu , Ahmed Eldawy

Correctness of instance segmentation constitutes counting the number of objects, correctly localizing all predictions and classifying each localized prediction. Average Precision is the de-facto metric used to measure all these constituents…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Rohit Jena , Lukas Zhornyak , Nehal Doiphode , Pratik Chaudhari , Vivek Buch , James Gee , Jianbo Shi

Average forecast accuracy is not the same as forecast reliability. I treat forecast loss differentials relative to a benchmark as a return series. I then evaluate these returns using risk-adjusted performance measures from finance,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

MAP is the problem of finding a most probable instantiation of a set of variables in a Bayesian network given some evidence. Unlike computing posterior probabilities, or MPE (a special case of MAP), the time and space complexity of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 James D. Park , Adnan Darwiche

Bayesian model averaging is a practical method for dealing with uncertainty due to model specification. Use of this technique requires the estimation of model probability weights. In this work, we revisit the derivation of estimators for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

Research on recommender systems algorithms, like other areas of applied machine learning, is largely dominated by efforts to improve the state-of-the-art, typically in terms of accuracy measures. Several recent research works however…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Vito Walter Anelli , Alejandro Bellogín , Tommaso Di Noia , Dietmar Jannach , Claudio Pomo

Many video-on-demand and music streaming services provide the user with a page consisting of several recommendation lists, i.e. widgets or swipeable carousels, each built with a specific criterion (e.g. most recent, TV series, etc.).…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Nicolò Felicioni , Maurizio Ferrari Dacrema , Paolo Cremonesi

In recommender systems, users rate items, and are subsequently served other product recommendations based on these ratings. Even though users usually rate a tiny percentage of the available items, the system tries to estimate unobserved…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Benjamin Leinwand , Vladas Pipiras

Evaluating performance across optimization algorithms on many problems presents a complex challenge due to the diversity of numerical scales involved. Traditional data processing methods, such as hypothesis testing and Bayesian inference,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Yunpeng Jinng , Qunfeng Liu

This paper considers ranking inference of $n$ items based on the observed data on the top choice among $M$ randomly selected items at each trial. This is a useful modification of the Plackett-Luce model for $M$-way ranking with only the top…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-09 Jianqing Fan , Zhipeng Lou , Weichen Wang , Mengxin Yu

The evaluation of recommendation systems is a complex task. The offline and online evaluation metrics for recommender systems are ambiguous in their true objectives. The majority of recently published papers benchmark their methods using…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Petr Kasalický , Rodrigo Alves , Pavel Kordík

The spread of social networking services has created an increasing demand for selecting, editing, and generating impressive images. This trend increases the importance of evaluating image aesthetics as a complementary function of automatic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Lijie Wang , Xueting Wang , Toshihiko Yamasaki

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Many evaluation metrics have been defined to evaluate the effectiveness ad-hoc retrieval and search result diversification systems. However, it is often unclear which evaluation metric should be used to analyze the performance of retrieval…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-08-21 Enrique Amigó , Damiano Spina , Jorge Carrillo-de-Albornoz

Recent research reveals that machine learning (ML) models are highly sensitive to minor changes in their training procedure, such as the inclusion or exclusion of a single data point, leading to conflicting predictions on individual data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Falaah Arif Khan , Denys Herasymuk , Nazar Protsiv , Julia Stoyanovich

Recommender systems widely use implicit feedback such as click data because of its general availability. Although the presence of clicks signals the users' preference to some extent, the lack of such clicks does not necessarily indicate a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Yuta Saito , Suguru Yaginuma , Yuta Nishino , Hayato Sakata , Kazuhide Nakata