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The predictability of a time series is determined by the sensitivity to initial conditions of its data generating process. In this paper our goal is to characterize this sensitivity from a finite sample by assuming few hypotheses on the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-12-13 Quentin Giai Gianetto , Jean-Marc Le Caillec , Erwan Marrec

Derivative based optimization methods are efficient at solving optimal control problems near local optima. However, their ability to converge halts when derivative information vanishes. The inference approach to optimal control does not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Daniel Layeghi , Steve Tonneau , Michael Mistry

How much one has learned from an experiment is quantifiable by the information gain, also known as the Kullback-Leibler divergence. The narrowing of the posterior parameter distribution $P(\theta|D)$ compared with the prior parameter…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-29 Johannes Buchner

In this paper we propose a novel partition-based distributed state estimation scheme for non-overlapping subsystems based on Kalman filter. The estimation scheme is designed in order to account, in a rigorous fashion, for dynamic coupling…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-27 Marcello Farina , Ruggero Carli

In practical nonlinear filtering, the assessment of achievable filtering performance is important. In this paper, we focus on the problem of efficiently approximate the posterior Cramer-Rao lower bound (CRLB) in a recursive manner. By using…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-31 Ming Lei , Pierre Del Moral , Christophe Baehr

In this paper, the impact of false information injection is investigated for linear dynamic systems with multiple sensors. It is assumed that the system is unsuspecting the existence of false information and the adversary is trying to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-10-30 Jingyang Lu , Ruixin Niu

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) offers a principled and flexible framework for conducting Bayesian inference in any situation where forward simulations are feasible. However, validating the accuracy and reliability of the inferred…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 James Alvey , Carlo R. Contaldi , Mauro Pieroni

The maximum likelihood method is the best-known method for estimating the probabilities behind the data. However, the conventional method obtains the probability model closest to the empirical distribution, resulting in overfitting. Then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Akihisa Ichiki

This technical note addresses the UD factorization based Kalman filtering (KF) algorithms. Using this important class of numerically stable KF schemes, we extend its functionality and develop an elegant and simple method for computation of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Julia V. Tsyganova , Maria V. Kulikova

Impulsed noise outliers are data points that differs significantly from other observations.They are generally removed from the data set through local regression or Kalman filter algorithm.However, these methods, or their generalizations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Bertrand Cloez , Bénédicte Fontez , Eliel González García , Isabelle Sanchez

Variational system identification is a new formulation of maximum likelihood for estimation of parameters of dynamical systems subject to process and measurement noise, such as aircraft flying in turbulence. This formulation is an…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-31 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

Variational Inference approximates an unnormalized distribution via the minimization of Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. Although this divergence is efficient for computation and has been widely used in applications, it suffers from some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-28 Mingxuan Yi , Song Liu

An optimal estimator of quantum states based on a modified Kalman Filter is presented in this work. Such estimator acts after state measurement, allowing to obtain an optimal estimation of quantum state resulting in the output of any…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-06-20 Mario Mastriani

In this paper, we focus on sensor placement in linear dynamic estimation, where the objective is to place a small number of sensors in a system of interdependent states so to design an estimator with a desired estimation performance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Vasileios Tzoumas , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

Estimating Kullback-Leibler divergence from identical and independently distributed samples is an important problem in various domains. One simple and effective estimator is based on the k nearest neighbor distances between these samples.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-27 Puning Zhao , Lifeng Lai

Traditional tracking-by-detection systems typically employ Kalman filters (KF) for state estimation. However, the KF requires domain-specific design choices and it is ill-suited to handling non-linear motion patterns. To address these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Momir Adžemović , Predrag Tadić , Andrija Petrović , Mladen Nikolić

This paper proposes a distributionally robust unit commitment approach for microgrids under net load and electricity market price uncertainty. The key thrust of the proposed approach is to leverage the Kullback-Leibler divergence to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is an efficient algorithm for many data assimilation problems. In certain circumstances, however, divergence of the EnKF might be spotted. In previous studies, the authors proposed an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-08-19 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a fundamental concept in information theory that quantifies the discrepancy between two probability distributions. In the context of Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), it serves as a central regularization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Andrés Muñoz , Rodrigo Ramele

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the state of a dynamic state-space system where the output is subject to quantization. We compare some classical approaches and a new development in the literature to obtain the filtering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-16 Angel L. Cedeño , Ricardo Albornoz , Boris I. Godoy , Rodrigo Carvajal , Juan C. Agüero
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