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Exponential family Random Graph Models (ERGMs) can be viewed as expressing a probability distribution on graphs arising from the action of competing social forces that make ties more or less likely, depending on the state of the rest of the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Yue Yu , Gianmarc Grazioli , Nolan E. Phillips , Carter T. Butts

The widespread confusion among investors regarding Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) rankings assigned by rating agencies has underscored a critical issue in sustainable investing. To address this uncertainty, our research has…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Jiayue Zhang , Ken Seng Tan , Tony S. Wirjanto , Lysa Porth

Our recent experience with the COVID-19 pandemic amply shows that spatial effects like the mobility of agents and average interpersonal distance, together with the adaptation of agents, are very important in deciding the outcome of epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-13 Akhil Panicker , V Sasidevan

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) datasets are frequently plagued by significant data gaps, leading to inconsistencies in ESG ratings due to varying imputation methods. This paper explores the application of established machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Sergio Caprioli , Jacopo Foschi , Riccardo Crupi , Alessandro Sabatino

I present three types of applications of generalized additive models (GAMs) to COVID-19 mortality rates in the US for the purpose of advancing methods to document inequities with respect to which communities suffered disproportionate…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-01 Christian Testa

This paper introduces a new probabilistic architecture called Sum-Product Graphical Model (SPGM). SPGMs combine traits from Sum-Product Networks (SPNs) and Graphical Models (GMs): Like SPNs, SPGMs always enable tractable inference using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-23 Mattia Desana , Christoph Schnörr

Electric load forecasting is an indispensable component of electric power system planning and management. Inaccurate load forecasting may lead to the threat of outages or a waste of energy. Accurate electric load forecasting is challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Linxiao Yang , Rui Ren , Xinyue Gu , Liang Sun

We consider identifiability of partially linear additive structural equation models with Gaussian noise (PLSEMs) and estimation of distributionally equivalent models to a given PLSEM. Thereby, we also include robustness results for errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Jan Ernest , Peter Bühlmann

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is often applied to train Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), and research efforts have been devoted to investigate the convergent dynamics of SGD and minima found by SGD. The influencing factors identified in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Victor Luo , Yazhen Wang

Academic performance depends on a multivariable nexus of socio-academic and financial factors. This study investigates these influences to develop effective strategies for optimizing students' CGPA. To achieve this, we reviewed various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Bushra Akter , Md Biplob Hosen , Sabbir Ahmed , Mehrin Anannya , Md. Farhad Hossain

The present work provides an application of Global Sensitivity Analysis to supervised machine learning methods such as Random Forests. These methods act as black boxes, selecting features in high--dimensional data sets as to provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-22 Giulia Vannucci , Roberta Siciliano , Andrea Saltelli

We develop a time series model to forecast weekly peak power demand for three main states of Australia for a yearly time-scale, and show the crucial role of environmental factors in improving the forecasts. More precisely, we construct a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-30 Ali Eshragh , Benjamin Ganim , Terry Perkins , Kasun Bandara

The aim of this note is to identify the factors influencing renewable energy consumption in Madagascar. We tested 12 features covering macroeconomic, financial, social, and environmental aspects, including economic growth, domestic…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-26 Franck Ramaharo , Fitiavana Randriamifidy

Investing in urban green schoolyards is becoming more popular around the world because they could enhance health, education, and community outcomes. There is still considerable debate regarding the impact of urban green schoolyards on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-22 Mahshid Gorjian

We initiate a novel approach to explain the predictions and out of sample performance of random forest (RF) regression and classification models by exploiting the fact that any RF can be mathematically formulated as an adaptive weighted K…

A statistical model for predicting individual house prices and constructing a house price index is proposed utilizing information regarding sale price, time of sale and location (ZIP code). This model is composed of a fixed time effect and…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Chaitra H. Nagaraja , Lawrence D. Brown , Linda H. Zhao

Algorithmic predictions are increasingly used to inform the allocations of goods and interventions in the public sphere. In these domains, predictions serve as a means to an end. They provide stakeholders with insights into likelihood of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Juan Carlos Perdomo

The past decade has seen a growth in the development and deployment of educational technologies for assisting college-going students in choosing majors, selecting courses and acquiring feedback based on past academic performance. Grade…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-18 Zhiyun Ren , Xia Ning , Huzefa Rangwala

Identification theory for causal effects in causal models associated with hidden variable directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) is well studied. However, the corresponding algorithms are underused due to the complexity of estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Rohit Bhattacharya , Razieh Nabi , Ilya Shpitser

This paper studies optimal estimation of large-dimensional nonlinear factor models. The key challenge is that the observed variables are possibly nonlinear functions of some latent variables where the functional forms are left unspecified.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Yingjie Feng