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Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Xing Han , Ziyang Tang , Joydeep Ghosh , Qiang Liu

We give a simple deterministic $O(\log K / \log\log K)$ approximation algorithm for the Min-Max Selecting Items problem, where $K$ is the number of scenarios. While our main goal is simplicity, this result also improves over the previous…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-04-30 Benjamin Doerr

Conditional validity and length efficiency are two crucial aspects of conformal prediction (CP). Conditional validity ensures accurate uncertainty quantification for data subpopulations, while proper length efficiency ensures that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-12 Shayan Kiyani , George Pappas , Hamed Hassani

We propose a formulation for approximate constrained nonlinear output-feedback stochastic model predictive control. Starting from the ideal but intractable stochastic optimal control problem (OCP), which involves the optimization over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Florian Messerer , Katrin Baumgärtner , Moritz Diehl

Conformal prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, offering reliable predictions with finite-sample coverage guarantees. When applied to classification, CP produces a prediction set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Floris den Hengst , Inès Blin , Majid Mohammadi , Syed Ihtesham Hussain Shah , Taraneh Younesian

Solving Constraint Optimization Problems (COPs) can be dramatically simplified by boundary estimation, that is, providing tight boundaries of cost functions. By feeding a supervised Machine Learning (ML) model with data composed of known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Helge Spieker , Arnaud Gotlieb

Conformal prediction (CP) constructs uncertainty sets for model outputs with finite-sample coverage guarantees. A candidate output is included in the prediction set if its non-conformity score is not considered extreme relative to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-20 Eugene Ndiaye

This paper proposes a novel kernel-based optimization scheme to handle tasks in the analysis, e.g., signal spectral estimation and single-channel source separation of 1D non-stationary oscillatory data. The key insight of our optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-12 Jieren Xu , Yitong Li , Haizhao Yang , David Dunson , Ingrid Daubechies

Generating time-optimal, collision-free trajectories for autonomous mobile robots involves a fundamental trade-off between guaranteeing safety and managing computational complexity. State-of-the-art approaches formulate spline-based motion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Dries Dirckx , Jan Swevers , Wilm Decré

In this work, we present a novel conformal prediction method for time-series, which we call Kernel-based Optimally Weighted Conformal Prediction Intervals (KOWCPI). Specifically, KOWCPI adapts the classic Reweighted Nadaraya-Watson (RNW)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jonghyeok Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

We propose the algorithm that solves the symmetric cone programs (SCPs) by iteratively calling the projection and rescaling methods the algorithms for solving exceptional cases of SCP. Although our algorithm can solve SCPs by itself, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Shin-ichi Kanoh , Akiko Yoshise

We propose a continuous optimization algorithm for the Column Subset Selection Problem (CSSP) and Nystr\"om approximation. The CSSP and Nystr\"om method construct low-rank approximations of matrices based on a predetermined subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-20 Anant Mathur , Sarat Moka , Zdravko Botev

While counterfactual fairness of point predictors is well studied, its extension to prediction sets--central to fair decision-making under uncertainty--remains underexplored. On the other hand, conformal prediction (CP) provides efficient,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Ozgur Guldogan , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Michael Berger

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage. However, recent studies have shown that integrating confidence calibration with CP can lead to a degradation in efficiency. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Rui Luo , Nicolo Colombo

Safe deployment of deep neural networks in high-stake real-world applications requires theoretically sound uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a principled framework for uncertainty quantification of deep models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Subhankar Ghosh , Taha Belkhouja , Yan Yan , Janardhan Rao Doppa

Dimensionality reduction is a first step of many machine learning pipelines. Two popular approaches are principal component analysis, which projects onto a small number of well chosen but non-interpretable directions, and feature selection,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-27 Ayoub Belhadji , Rémi Bardenet , Pierre Chainais

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free technique for establishing valid prediction intervals. Although conventionally people conduct conformal prediction in the output space, this is not the only possibility. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Jiaye Teng , Chuan Wen , Dinghuai Zhang , Yoshua Bengio , Yang Gao , Yang Yuan

Conformal prediction (CP) is a popular frequentist framework for representing uncertainty by providing prediction sets that guarantee coverage of the true label with a user-adjustable probability. In most applications, CP operates on…

Solving optimal control problems (OCPs) of autonomous agents operating under spatial and temporal constraints fast and accurately is essential in applications ranging from eco-driving of autonomous vehicles to quadrotor navigation. However,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Shiying Dong , Zhipeng Shen , Rudolf Reiter , Hailong Huang , Bingzhao Gao , Hong Chen , Wen-Hua Chen

In this paper, we propose a Feasible Sequential Linear Programming (FSLP) algorithm applied to time-optimal control problems (TOCP) obtained through direct multiple shooting discretization. This method is motivated by TOCP with nonlinear…