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We present a general framework for classifying partially observed dynamical systems based on the idea of learning in the model space. In contrast to the existing approaches using model point estimates to represent individual data items, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-19 Yuan Shen , Peter Tino , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova

Distilling data into compact and interpretable analytic equations is one of the goals of science. Instead, contemporary supervised machine learning methods mostly produce unstructured and dense maps from input to output. Particularly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Matthias Werner , Andrej Junginger , Philipp Hennig , Georg Martius

We consider an additive partially linear framework for modelling massive heterogeneous data. The major goal is to extract multiple common features simultaneously across all sub-populations while exploring heterogeneity of each…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Binhuan Wang , Yixin Fang , Heng Lian , Hua Liang

Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull

Macroscopic models for spatially extended systems under random influences are often described by stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Some techniques for understanding solutions of such equations, such as estimating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Jinqiao Duan

This article introduces a new instrumental variable approach for estimating unknown population parameters with data having nonrandom missing values. With coarse and discrete instruments, Shao and Wang (2016) proposed a semiparametric method…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Arkaprabha Ganguli , David Todem

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

Algorithms for Gaussian process, marginal likelihood methods or restricted maximum likelihood methods often require derivatives of log determinant terms. These log determinants are usually parametric with variance parameters of the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Shengxin Zhu , Andrew J Wathen

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

Our objective is to estimate the unknown compositional input from its output response through an unknown system after estimating the inverse of the original system with a training set. The proposed methods using artificial neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-27 Se Un Park

In this paper, a new nonlinear identification framework is proposed to address the issue of off-line computation of moving-horizon observer estimate. The proposed structure merges the advantages of nonlinear approximators with the efficient…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Mazen Alamir

This paper investigates how models of spatiotemporal dynamics in the form of nonlinear partial differential equations can be identified directly from noisy data using a combination of sparse regression and weak formulation. Using the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Daniel R. Gurevich , Patrick A. K. Reinbold , Roman O. Grigoriev

Dynamical systems modeling is a core pillar of scientific inquiry across natural and life sciences. Increasingly, dynamical system models are learned from data, rendering identifiability a paramount concept. For systems that are not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Cecilia Casolo , Sören Becker , Niki Kilbertus

To improve the physical understanding and the predictions of complex dynamic systems, such as ocean dynamics and weather predictions, it is of paramount interest to identify interpretable models from coarsely and off-grid sampled…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-04 Gert-Jan Both , Georges Tod , Remy Kusters

This paper presents a discrete-time nonlinear system identification method while satisfying the stability and safety properties of the system with high probability. An Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is used with a Gaussian assumption on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-04 Iman Salehi , Tyler Taplin , Ashwin P. Dani

Kalman filtering has been traditionally applied in three application areas of estimation, state estimation, parameter estimation (a.k.a. model updating), and dual estimation. However, Kalman filter is often not sufficient when experimenting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Johnny Condori , Amin Maghareh , Shirley Dyke

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) constitute a flexible approach to both finding solutions and identifying parameters of partial differential equations. Most works on the topic assume noiseless data, or data contaminated with weak…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Philipp Pilar , Niklas Wahlström

We develop a technique to design efficiently computable estimators for sparse linear regression in the simultaneous presence of two adversaries: oblivious and adaptive. We design several robust algorithms that outperform the state of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Chih-Hung Liu , Gleb Novikov

In stochastic decision problems, one often wants to estimate the underlying probability measure statistically, and then to use this estimate as a basis for decisions. We shall consider how the uncertainty in this estimation can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Samuel N. Cohen

We introduce Supersparse Linear Integer Models (SLIM) as a tool to create scoring systems for binary classification. We derive theoretical bounds on the true risk of SLIM scoring systems, and present experimental results to show that SLIM…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-26 Berk Ustun , Stefano Traca , Cynthia Rudin
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