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We consider the task of constructing confidence intervals with differential privacy. We propose two private variants of the non-parametric bootstrap, which privately compute the median of the results of multiple "little" bootstraps run on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Karan Chadha , John Duchi , Rohith Kuditipudi

The goal of this paper is to develop a practical and general-purpose approach to construct confidence intervals for differentially private parametric estimation. We find that the parametric bootstrap is a simple and effective solution. It…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Cecilia Ferrando , Shufan Wang , Daniel Sheldon

Differentially private (DP) mechanisms protect individual-level information by introducing randomness into the statistical analysis procedure. Despite the availability of numerous DP tools, there remains a lack of general techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-25 Zhanyu Wang , Guang Cheng , Jordan Awan

We design a debiased parametric bootstrap framework for statistical inference from differentially private data. Existing usage of the parametric bootstrap on privatized data ignored or avoided handling possible biases introduced by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Zhanyu Wang , Arin Chang , Jordan Awan

This work derives methods for performing nonparametric, nonasymptotic statistical inference for population means under the constraint of local differential privacy (LDP). Given bounded observations $(X_1, \dots, X_n)$ with mean $\mu^\star$…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Ian Waudby-Smith , Zhiwei Steven Wu , Aaditya Ramdas

Bootstrap is a common tool for quantifying uncertainty in data analysis. However, besides additional computational costs in the application of the bootstrap on massive data, a challenging problem in bootstrap based inference under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-05 Holger Dette , Carina Graw

Bootstrapping is often applied to get confidence limits for semiparametric inference of a target parameter in the presence of nuisance parameters. Bootstrapping with replacement can be computationally expensive and problematic when…

Differential privacy is a restriction on data processing algorithms that provides strong confidentiality guarantees for individual records in the data. However, research on proper statistical inference, that is, research on properly…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Joerg Drechsler , Ira Globus-Harris , Audra McMillan , Jayshree Sarathy , Adam Smith

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

We present a method for producing unbiased parameter estimates and valid confidence intervals under the constraints of differential privacy, a formal framework for limiting individual information leakage from sensitive data. Prior work in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-15 Christian Covington , Xi He , James Honaker , Gautam Kamath

Privacy protection methods, such as differentially private mechanisms, introduce noise into resulting statistics which often produces complex and intractable sampling distributions. In this paper, we propose a simulation-based "repro…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Jordan Awan , Zhanyu Wang

We study the problem of estimating finite sample confidence intervals of the mean of a normal population under the constraint of differential privacy. We consider both the known and unknown variance cases and construct differentially…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Vishesh Karwa , Salil Vadhan

We propose a novel and systematic differentially private (DP) inference framework for non-Euclidean data. First, we design two types of DP mechanisms for the Fr\'echet mean and variance with i.i.d. Riemannian manifold-valued data, tailored…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Yangdi Jiang , Xiaotian Chang , Qirui Hu

Confidence intervals are a fundamental tool for quantifying the uncertainty of parameters of interest. With the increase of data privacy awareness, developing a private version of confidence intervals has gained growing attention from both…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Shurong Lin , Mark Bun , Marco Gaboardi , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Adam Smith

This paper aims to construct a valid and efficient confidence interval for the extrema of parameters under privacy protection. The usual statistical inference on the extrema of parameters often suffers from the selection bias issue, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Xiaowen Fu , Yang Xiang , Xinzhou Guo

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Constructing nonasymptotic confidence intervals (CIs) for the mean of a univariate distribution from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) observations is a fundamental task in statistics. For bounded observations, a classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose a general optimization-based framework for computing differentially private M-estimators and a new method for constructing differentially private confidence regions. Firstly, we show that robust statistics can be used in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-14 Marco Avella-Medina , Casey Bradshaw , Po-Ling Loh

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals (CIs) for the population mean of $N$ values $\{x_1, \ldots, x_N\} \subset \Sigma^N$ based on a random sample of size $n$, denoted by $X^n \equiv (X_1, \ldots, X_n)$, drawn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

Uncertainty quantification, by means of confidence interval (CI) construction, has been a fundamental problem in statistics and also important in risk-aware decision-making. In this paper, we revisit the basic problem of CI construction,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-13 Shengyi He , Henry Lam
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