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The response of the climate system to increased greenhouse gases and other radiative perturbations is governed by a combination of fast and slow feedbacks. Slow feedbacks are typically activated in response to changes in ocean temperatures…

We propose a data-driven framework to simplify the description of spatiotemporal climate variability into few entities and their causal linkages. Given a high-dimensional climate field, the methodology first reduces its dimensionality into…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Fabrizio Falasca , Pavel Perezhogin , Laure Zanna

Context: Some secondary effects are known to introduce variations in spectra of massive binaries. These phenomena (such as the Struve--Sahade effect, difficulties to determine properly the spectral type,...) have been reported and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Matthieu Palate , Gregor Rauw

Thermal conditions in the urban canopy exhibit stochastic variability driven by varied radiative fluxes and turbulent wind fields, requiring probabilistic rather than deterministic prediction methods. This study presents a probabilistic…

Applied Physics · Physics 2025-12-10 Shisheng Chen , Ruohan Xu , Nyuk Hien Wong , Shanshan Tong , Jiashuo Wang , Matthaios Santamouris

Determining changes in global temperature and precipitation that may indicate climate change is complicated by annual variations. One approach for finding potential climate change indicators is to train a model that predicts the year from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-09 Charles Anderson , Jason Stock

One of the most used metrics to gauge the effects of climate change is the equilibrium climate sensitivity, defined as the long-term (equilibrium) temperature increase resulting from instantaneous doubling of atmospheric CO$_2$. Since…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-04 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

Climate sensitivity is defined as the change in global mean equilibrium temperature after a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration and provides a simple measure of global warming. An early estimate of climate sensitivity, 1.5-4.5{\deg}C,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-04-24 Tamsin L. Edwards , Michel Crucifix , Sandy P. Harrison

This paper is a continuation of a study by Douglass and Clader. We extend the analysis through December 2003 using the latest updates of the observational temperature and solar irradiance data sets in addition to a new volcano proxy data…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Douglass , B. David Clader , Robert S. Knox

The quantification of the interannual component of variability in climatological time series is essential for the assessment and prediction of the El Ni\~{n}o - Southern Oscillation phenomenon. This is achieved by estimating the deviation…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-14 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandro Giovannelli

The long-term relationship between radiative forcing and surface temperature is imperative for predicting the impacts of climate change. This study employs multicointegration to characterize this relationship and uses Transformed and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Justin Sun

Three decades into the research seeking to derive the urban energy budget, the dynamics of the thermal exchange between the densely built infrastructure and the environment are still not well understood. We present a novel hybrid…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-29 Masoud Ghandehari , Thorsten Emig , Milad Aghamohamadnia

We present a comparative spectral analysis to explore the ability of a cooler Sun model to accurately capture the spectral line shape changes caused by Sunspots. In the search for small Earth-like planets, the effects of stellar surface…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-13 Claire Komori , John M. Brewer , Lily L. Zhao

As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat island effects are becoming more frequent and severe. To formulate effective mitigation plans, cities require detailed air temperature data. However, predictive analytics methods based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-23 David Kreismann

Climate change is a non-uniform phenomenon. This paper proposes a new quantitative methodology to characterize, measure, and test the existence of climate change heterogeneity. It consists of three steps. First, we introduce a new testable…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-09 Maria Dolores Gadea , Jesus Gonzalo

We present a simple model that recalls two different patterns depending on the temperature. To realize a change in recall pattern due to temperature change, we embed two patterns to different graphs: the first pattern into a fully connected…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-02-25 Munetaka Sasaki

Precipitation and its response to forcings is an important aspect of planetary climate system. In this study, we examine the strength of precipitation in the experiments with different atmospheric masses and their response to surface…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-05 Junyan Xiong , Jun Yang , Jiachen Liu

Existing methods for diagnosing predictability in climate indices often make a number of unjustified assumptions about the climate system that can lead to misleading conclusions. We present a flexible family of state-space models capable of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Daniel B. Williamson

Thermal history models, that have been used to understand the geological history of Earth, are now being coupled to climate models to map conditions that allow planets to maintain surface water over geologic time - a criteria considered…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Johnny Seales , Adrian Lenardic , William Moore

Weather is a phenomenon that affects everything and everyone around us on a daily basis. Weather prediction has been an important point of study for decades as researchers have tried to predict the weather and climatic changes using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Ishu Gupta , Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

The state of earth's climate is constrained by well-known physical principles such as energy balance and the conservation of energy. Increased greenhouse gas concentrations affect the atmospheric optical depth, and physical consistency…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-06-27 Rasmus E. Benestad
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