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This paper establishes bounds on the performance of empirical risk minimization for large-dimensional linear regression. We generalize existing results by allowing the data to be dependent and heavy-tailed. The analysis covers both the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson

Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

While effective concentration inequalities for suprema of empirical processes exist under boundedness or strict tail assumptions, no comparable results have been available under considerably weaker assumptions. In this paper, we derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-23 Johannes Lederer , Sara van de Geer

We introduce two new concepts designed for the study of empirical processes. First, we introduce a new Orlicz norm which we call the Bernstein-Orlicz norm. This new norm interpolates sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential tail behavior. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Sara van de Geer , Johannes Lederer

We present a new and simple approach to concentration inequalities for functions around their expectation with respect to non-product measures, i.e., for dependent random variables. Our method is based on coupling ideas and does not use…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , C. Kuelske , F. Redig

These lecture notes consist of three chapters. In the first chapter we present oracle inequalities for the prediction error of the Lasso and square-root Lasso and briefly describe the scaled Lasso. In the second chapter we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Sara van de Geer

This paper gives a review of concentration inequalities which are widely employed in non-asymptotical analyses of mathematical statistics in a wide range of settings, from distribution-free to distribution-dependent, from sub-Gaussian to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Huiming Zhang , Song Xi Chen

One of the first steps in applications of statistical network analysis is frequently to produce summary charts of important features of the network. Many of these features take the form of sequences of graph statistics counting the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Jonathan R. Stewart

This paper establishes bounds on the predictive performance of empirical risk minimization for principal component regression. Our analysis is nonparametric, in the sense that the relation between the prediction target and the predictors is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-18 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson , Yaping Wang

We prove a new and general concentration inequality for the excess risk in least-squares regression with random design and heteroscedastic noise. No specific structure is required on the model, except the existence of a suitable function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-12 Adrien Saumard

Let $\pa{X_{t}}_{t\in T}$ be a family of real-valued centered random variables indexed by a countable set $T$. In the first part of this paper, we establish exponential bounds for the deviation probabilities of the supremum $Z=\sup_{t\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Yannick Baraud

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

We give a concentration inequality based on the premise that random variables take values within a particular region. The concentration inequality guarantees that, for any sequence of correlated random variables, the difference between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Go Kato

The concentration of empirical measures is studied for dependent data, whose joint distribution satisfies Poincar\'{e}-type or logarithmic Sobolev inequalities. The general concentration results are then applied to spectral empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-30 S. G. Bobkov , F. Götze

Model selection is often performed by empirical risk minimization. The quality of selection in a given situation can be assessed by risk bounds, which require assumptions both on the margin and the tails of the losses used. Starting with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Charles Mitchell , Sara van de Geer

We consider the problem of statistical learning for the intensity of a counting process with covariates. In this context, we introduce an empirical risk, and prove risk bounds for the corresponding empirical risk minimizers. Then, we give…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-30 Stéphane Gaïffas , Agathe Guilloux

Given a collection of feature maps indexed by a set $\mathcal{T}$, we study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) on regression problems with square loss over the union of the linear classes induced by these feature maps.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

We present a very general chaining method which allows one to control the supremum of the empirical process $\sup_{h \in H} |N^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^N h^2(X_i)-\E h^2|$ in rather general situations. We use this method to establish two main…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-22 Shahar Mendelson , Grigoris Paouris

We study regression adjustment with general function class approximations for estimating the average treatment effect in the design-based setting. Standard regression adjustment involves bias due to sample re-use, and this bias leads to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Fangzhou Su , Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright

We present a general approach for studying autoregressive categorical time series models with dependence of infinite order and defined conditional on an exogenous covariate process. To this end, we adapt a coupling approach, developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Lionel Truquet
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