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Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Christopher Wimmer , Navid Rekabsaz

We report successful results from using deep learning neural networks (DLNNs) to learn, purely by observation, the behavior of profitable traders in an electronic market closely modelled on the limit-order-book (LOB) market mechanisms that…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Arthur le Calvez , Dave Cliff

Precisely forecasting the excess returns of an asset (e.g., Tesla stock) is beneficial to all investors. However, the unpredictability of market dynamics, influenced by human behaviors, makes this a challenging task. In prior research,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Jingjing Guo

Financial technology (FinTech) has drawn much attention among investors and companies. While conventional stock analysis in FinTech targets at predicting stock prices, less effort is made for profitable stock recommendation. Besides, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Yi-Ling Hsu , Yu-Che Tsai , Cheng-Te Li

Alphas are pivotal in providing signals for quantitative trading. The industry highly values the discovery of formulaic alphas for their interpretability and ease of analysis, compared with the expressive yet overfitting-prone black-box…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-27 Feng Xu , Yan Yin , Xinyu Zhang , Tianyuan Liu , Shengyi Jiang , Zongzhang Zhang

In general, traders test their trading strategies by applying them on the historical market data (backtesting), and then apply to the future trades the strategy that achieved the maximum profit on such past data. In this paper, we propose a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-24 Ivan Letteri , Giuseppe Della Penna , Giovanni De Gasperis , Abeer Dyoub

Pair trading is one of the most effective statistical arbitrage strategies which seeks a neutral profit by hedging a pair of selected assets. Existing methods generally decompose the task into two separate steps: pair selection and trading.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-26 Weiguang Han , Boyi Zhang , Qianqian Xie , Min Peng , Yanzhao Lai , Jimin Huang

This paper shows how reinforcement learning can be used to derive optimal hedging strategies for derivatives when there are transaction costs. The paper illustrates the approach by showing the difference between using delta hedging and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Jay Cao , Jacky Chen , John Hull , Zissis Poulos

Deep-learning techniques have been successfully used for time-series forecasting and have often shown superior performance on many standard benchmark datasets as compared to traditional techniques. Here we present a comprehensive and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Vedant Shah , Gautam Shroff

Time series forecasting occurs in a range of financial applications providing essential decision-making support to investors, regulatory institutions, and analysts. Unlike multivariate time series from other domains, stock time series…

Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) have grown increasingly complex and concealed, posing formidable challenges to existing Intrusion Detection Systems in identifying and mitigating these attacks. Recent studies have incorporated graph…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Wenhan Jiang , Tingting Chai , Hongri Liu , Kai Wang , Hongke Zhang

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

Accurate and robust stock trend forecasting has been a crucial and challenging task, as stock price changes are influenced by multiple factors. Graph neural network-based methods have recently achieved remarkable success in this domain by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Yingjie Niu , Lanxin Lu , Rian Dolphin , Valerio Poti , Ruihai Dong

This paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm for financial portfolio trading based on Deep Q-learning. The algorithm is capable of trading high-dimensional portfolios from cross-sectional datasets of any size which may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Uta Pigorsch , Sebastian Schäfer

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

We adopt Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithms to design trading strategies for continuous futures contracts. Both discrete and continuous action spaces are considered and volatility scaling is incorporated to create reward functions which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In volatile financial markets, balancing risk and return remains a significant challenge. Traditional approaches often focus solely on equity allocation, overlooking the strategic advantages of options trading for dynamic risk hedging. This…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-17 Feliks Bańka , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Generating asset-specific trading signals based on the financial conditions of the assets is one of the challenging problems in automated trading. Various asset trading rules are proposed experimentally based on different technical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Mehran Taghian , Ahmad Asadi , Reza Safabakhsh

To represent the causal relationships between variables, a directed acyclic graph (DAG) is widely utilized in many areas, such as social sciences, epidemics, and genetics. Many causal structure learning approaches are developed to learn the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-14 Jianian Wang , Rui Song
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