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Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-10 Marton Havasi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

We propose a \textit{guided multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization} framework for data-efficient controller tuning that integrates corrected digital twin simulations with real-world measurements. The method targets closed-loop systems with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Mahdi Nobar , Jürg Keller , Alessandro Forino , John Lygeros , Alisa Rupenyan

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are expressive models for capturing signal statistics and expressing prediction uncertainty. As a result, the robotics community has gathered interest in leveraging these methods for inference, planning, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Francesco Crocetti , Jeffrey Mao , Alessandro Saviolo , Gabriele Costante , Giuseppe Loianno

We introduce Deep Jump Gaussian Processes (DJGP), a novel method for surrogate modeling of a piecewise continuous function on a high-dimensional domain. DJGP addresses the limitations of conventional Jump Gaussian Processes (JGP) in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Yang Xu , Chiwoo Park

We develop an online probabilistic metric-semantic mapping approach for mobile robot teams relying on streaming RGB-D observations. The generated maps contain full continuous distributional information about the geometric surfaces and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Ehsan Zobeidi , Alec Koppel , Nikolay Atanasov

Global sensitivity analysis of complex numerical simulators is often limited by the small number of model evaluations that can be afforded. In such settings, surrogate models built from a limited set of simulations can substantially reduce…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Guerlain Lambert , Céline Helbert , Claire Lauvernet

Sequential learning with Gaussian processes (GPs) is challenging when access to past data is limited, for example, in continual and active learning. In such cases, errors can accumulate over time due to inaccuracies in the posterior,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Paul E. Chang , Prakhar Verma , S. T. John , Arno Solin , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

A common challenge in computer experiments and related fields is to efficiently explore the input space using a small number of samples, i.e., the experimental design problem. Much of the recent focus in the computer experiment literature,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-01 Boya Zhang , D. Austin Cole , Robert B. Gramacy

The data-centric construction of inexpensive surrogates for fine-grained, physical models has been at the forefront of computational physics due to its significant utility in many-query tasks such as uncertainty quantification. Recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Maximilian Rixner , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for exponential family models with intractable normalizing constant, such as the exchange algorithm, require simulations of the sufficient statistics at every iteration of the Markov chain, which often…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Quan Vu , Matthew T. Moores , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

The use of Gaussian process models is typically limited to datasets with a few tens of thousands of observations due to their complexity and memory footprint. The two most commonly used methods to overcome this limitation are 1) the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Vincent Adam , Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Nicolas Durrande , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

Bayesian hyperparameter optimization relies heavily on Gaussian Process (GP) surrogates, due to robust distributional posteriors and strong performance on limited training samples. GPs however underperform in categorical hyperparameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Riccardo Doyle

This work is concerned with the use of Gaussian surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems associated with linear partial differential equations. A particular focus is on the regime where only a small amount of training data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Tianming Bai , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

Large, multi-dimensional spatio-temporal datasets are omnipresent in modern science and engineering. An effective framework for handling such data are Gaussian process deep generative models (GP-DGMs), which employ GP priors over the latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Matthew Ashman , Jonathan So , Will Tebbutt , Vincent Fortuin , Michael Pearce , Richard E. Turner

Over the last two decades, the science has come a long way from relying on only physical experiments and observations to experimentation using computer simulators. This chapter focusses on the modelling and analysis of data arising from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 M. Harshvardhan , Pritam Ranjan

A critical bottleneck for scientific progress is the costly nature of computer simulations for complex systems. Surrogate models provide an appealing solution: such models are trained on simulator evaluations, then used to emulate and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-14 Xinming Wang , Simon Mak , John Miller , Jianguo Wu

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are popular surrogate models for complex nonstationary computer experiments. DGPs use one or more latent Gaussian processes (GPs) to warp the input space into a plausibly stationary regime, then use typical GP…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Annie S. Booth

Standard Gaussian Process (GP) regression, a powerful machine learning tool, is computationally expensive when it is applied to large datasets, and potentially inaccurate when data points are sparsely distributed in a high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Z. Zhang , K. Duraisamy , N. A. Gumerov

High-dimensional optimization is a critical challenge for operating large-scale scientific facilities. We apply a physics-informed Gaussian process (GP) optimizer to tune a complex system by conducting efficient global search. Typical GP…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-07-14 Adi Hanuka , X. Huang , J. Shtalenkova , D. Kennedy , A. Edelen , V. R. Lalchand , D. Ratner , J. Duris

In the process industry, long-term and efficient optimization of production lines requires real-time monitoring and analysis of operational states to fine-tune production line parameters. However, complexity in operational logic and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Yanlei Yin , Lihua Wang , Dinh Thai Hoang , Wenbo Wang , Dusit Niyato