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Accurate multi-vehicle trajectory prediction in expressway merge and diverge areas is fundamental to the decision-making frameworks of autonomous vehicle systems. However, the majority of existing graph-based prediction models are developed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Eni Solomon Laughter

We present a dynamic model selection approach for resource-constrained prediction. Given an input instance at test-time, a gating function identifies a prediction model for the input among a collection of models. Our objective is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-26 Feng Nan , Venkatesh Saligrama

Accurate prediction of structural dynamics is imperative for preserving digital twin fidelity throughout operational lifetimes. Parametric models with fixed nominal parameters often omit critical physical effects due to simplifications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-12 Rohan Vitthal Thorat , Rajdip Nayek

Although neural networks have seen tremendous success as predictive models in a variety of domains, they can be overly confident in their predictions on out-of-distribution (OOD) data. To be viable for safety-critical applications, like…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Masha Itkina , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Modeling high-dimensional, nonlinear dynamic structural systems under natural hazards presents formidable computational challenges, especially when simultaneously accounting for uncertainties in external loads and structural parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Haimiti Atila , Seymour M. J. Spence

Accurate and robust trajectory predictions of road users are needed to enable safe automated driving. To do this, machine learning models are often used, which can show erratic behavior when presented with previously unseen inputs. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Manuel Muñoz Sánchez , Emilia Silvas , Jos Elfring , René van de Molengraft

Traffic forecasting is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems, enabling congestion mitigation and emission reduction in increasingly complex urban environments. While recent graph neural network approaches have advanced spatial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Walid Guettala , Yufan Zhao , László Gulyás

While a lot of work has been carried on developing trajectory prediction methods, and various datasets have been proposed for benchmarking this task, little study has been done so far on the generalizability and the transferability of these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Thomas Gilles , Stefano Sabatini , Dzmitry Tsishkou , Bogdan Stanciulescu , Fabien Moutarde

Ride-hailing system requires efficient management of dynamic demand and supply to ensure optimal service delivery, pricing strategies, and operational efficiency. Designing spatio-temporal forecasting models separately in a task-wise and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 M. H. Rahman , S. M. Rifaat , S. N. Sadeek , M. Abrar , D. Wang

Motion trajectory planning is one crucial aspect for automated vehicles, as it governs the own future behavior in a dynamically changing environment. A good utilization of a vehicle's characteristics requires the consideration of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-31 Franz Gritschneder , Knut Graichen , Klaus Dietmayer

Precise trajectory prediction in complex driving scenarios is essential for autonomous vehicles. In practice, different driving scenarios present varying levels of difficulty for trajectory prediction models. However, most existing research…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Zhezhang Ding , Huijing Zhao

We propose advances that address two key challenges in future trajectory prediction: (i) multimodality in both training data and predictions and (ii) constant time inference regardless of number of agents. Existing trajectory predictions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Sriram N N , Buyu Liu , Francesco Pittaluga , Manmohan Chandraker

Non-stationary time series forecasting is challenged by evolving distribution shifts that static models struggle to capture. While Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures offer a promising paradigm for decoupling complex drift patterns,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jiawen Zhu , Shuhan Liu , Di Weng , Yingcai Wu

Model Predictive Control lacks the ability to escape local minima in nonconvex problems. Furthermore, in fast-changing, uncertain environments, the conventional warmstart, using the optimal trajectory from the last timestep, often falls…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Mohamed-Khalil Bouzidi , Yue Yao , Daniel Goehring , Joerg Reichardt

Anticipating the motion of neighboring vehicles is crucial for autonomous driving, especially on congested highways where even slight motion variations can result in catastrophic collisions. An accurate prediction of a future trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Fuad Hasan , Hailong Huang

Online trajectory optimization and optimal control methods are crucial for enabling sustainable unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) services, such as agriculture, environmental monitoring, and transportation, where available actuation and energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Derek Fan , David A. Copp

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

Accurate vehicle trajectory prediction is an unsolved problem in autonomous driving with various open research questions. State-of-the-art approaches regress trajectories either in a one-shot or step-wise manner. Although one-shot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Faris Janjoš , Max Keller , Maxim Dolgov , J. Marius Zöllner

Trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving as it aims to forecast the future movements of traffic participants. Traditional methods usually perform holistic inference on the trajectories of agents, neglecting the differences in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Guipeng Xin , Duanfeng Chu , Liping Lu , Zejian Deng , Yuang Lu , Xigang Wu

Current open-loop trajectory models struggle in real-world autonomous driving because minor initial deviations often cascade into compounding errors, pushing the agent into out-of-distribution states. While fully differentiable closed-loop…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Harsh Yadav , Christian Bohn , Tobias Meisen