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Forecasting chaotic systems is a cornerstone challenge in many scientific fields, complicated by the exponential amplification of even infinitesimal prediction errors. Modern machine learning approaches often falter due to two opposing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Harshil Vejendla

Deep probabilistic time series forecasting has gained attention for its ability to provide nonlinear approximation and valuable uncertainty quantification for decision-making. However, existing models often oversimplify the problem by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Seongjin Choi , Lijun Sun

Time series data are prone to noise in various domains, and training samples may contain low-predictability patterns that deviate from the normal data distribution, leading to training instability or convergence to poor local minima.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Xu Zhang , Peng Wang , Yichen Li , Wei Wang

Recommendation from implicit feedback is a highly challenging task due to the lack of the reliable observed negative data. A popular and effective approach for implicit recommendation is to treat unobserved data as negative but downweight…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-03-05 Jiawei Chen , Can Wang , Sheng Zhou , Qihao Shi , Jingbang Chen , Yan Feng , Chun Chen

Compounding error, where small prediction mistakes accumulate over time, presents a major challenge in learning-based control. A common remedy is to train multi-step predictors directly instead of rolling out single-step models. However, it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Anne Somalwar , Bruce D. Lee , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

Data-driven dynamics prediction often fails under environmental shifts, while traditional fine-tuning remains computationally prohibitive for hardware-constrained or data-scarce applications. We propose DynaDiff, a generative meta-learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Ruikun Li , Huandong Wang , Jingtao Ding , Yuan Yuan , Qingmin Liao , Yong Li

In the smart grid of the future, accurate load forecasts on the level of individual clients can help to balance supply and demand locally and to prevent grid outages. While the number of monitored clients will increase with the ongoing…

Distributionally robust reinforcement learning (DRRL) focuses on designing policies that achieve good performance under model uncertainties. The goal is to maximize the worst-case long-term discounted reward, where the data for RL comes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Saptarshi Mandal , Yashaswini Murthy , R. Srikant

Differentiable Filters, as recursive Bayesian estimators, possess the ability to learn complex dynamics by deriving state transition and measurement models exclusively from data. This data-driven approach eliminates the reliance on explicit…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Xiao Liu , Yifan Zhou , Shuhei Ikemoto , Heni Ben Amor

Catastrophic forgetting is a critical challenge in training deep neural networks. Although continual learning has been investigated as a countermeasure to the problem, it often suffers from the requirements of additional network components…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Dongmin Park , Seokil Hong , Bohyung Han , Kyoung Mu Lee

Log and square root transformations of target variable are routinely used in forecasting models to predict future sales. These transformations often lead to better performing models. However, they also introduce a systematic negative bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Sushant More

Short-term water demand forecasting (StWDF) is the foundation stone in the derivation of an optimal plan for controlling water supply systems. Deep learning (DL) approaches provide the most accurate solutions for this purpose. However, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Tony Salloom , Okyay Kaynak , Wei He

Forecasting irregular time series presents significant challenges due to two key issues: the vulnerability of models to mean regression, driven by the noisy and complex nature of the data, and the limitations of traditional error-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Heejeong Nam , Jihyun Kim , Jimin Yeom

Flying quadrotors in tight formations is a challenging problem. It is known that in the near-field airflow of a quadrotor, the aerodynamic effects induced by the propellers are complex and difficult to characterize. Although machine…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Kong Yao Chee , Pei-An Hsieh , George J. Pappas , M. Ani Hsieh

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

Diffusion policies are becoming mainstream in robotic manipulation but suffer from hard negative class imbalance due to uniform sampling and lack of sample difficulty awareness, leading to slow training convergence and frequent inference…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Xinglei Yu , Zhenyang Liu , Shufeng Nan , Simo Wu , Yanwei Fu

In the federated learning setting, multiple clients jointly train a model under the coordination of the central server, while the training data is kept on the client to ensure privacy. Normally, inconsistent distribution of data across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Wei Huang , Tianrui Li , Dexian Wang , Shengdong Du , Junbo Zhang

Forecast combination involves using multiple forecasts to create a single, more accurate prediction. Recently, feature-based forecasting has been employed to either select the most appropriate forecasting models or to optimize the weights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Giovanni Felici , Antonio M. Sudoso

In this study, the Quantum-Train Quantum Fast Weight Programmer (QT-QFWP) framework is proposed, which facilitates the efficient and scalable programming of variational quantum circuits (VQCs) by leveraging quantum-driven parameter updates…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Chen-Yu Liu , Samuel Yen-Chi Chen , Kuan-Cheng Chen , Wei-Jia Huang , Yen-Jui Chang

Fourier feature approximations have been successfully applied in the literature for scalable Gaussian Process (GP) regression. In particular, Quadrature Fourier Features (QFF) derived from Gaussian quadrature rules have gained popularity in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-24 Kevin Li , Max Balakirsky , Simon Mak
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