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The Derivative-free nonlinear Kalman Filter is proposed for state estimation and fault diagnosis in distributed parameter systems and particularly in dynamical systems described by partial differential equations of the nonlinear wave type.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Gerasimos G. Rigatos

Physics-based models often involve large systems of parametrized partial differential equations, where design parameters control various properties. However, high-fidelity simulations of such systems on large domains or with high grid…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-15 Diba Behnoudfar

In dynamical systems reconstruction (DSR) we aim to recover the dynamical system (DS) underlying observed time series. Specifically, we aim to learn a generative surrogate model which approximates the underlying, data-generating DS, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Alena Brändle , Lukas Eisenmann , Florian Götz , Daniel Durstewitz

Density tempering (also called density annealing) is a sequential Monte Carlo approach to Bayesian inference for general state models; it is an alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. When applied to state space models, it moves a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Minh Ngoc Tran

We analyze the statistical performance of identification of stochastic dynamical systems with non-linear measurement sensors. This includes stochastic Wiener systems, with linear dynamics, process noise and measured by a non-linear sensor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Bo Wahlberg , Lennart Ljung

We propose a novel deep neural network (DNN) based approximation architecture to learn estimates of measurements. We detail an algorithm that enables training of the DNN. The DNN estimator only uses measurements, if and when they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Shivangi Agarwal , Sanjit K. Kaul , Saket Anand , P. B. Sujit

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoya Zhang

We consider the problem of learning stabilizable systems governed by nonlinear state equation $h_{t+1}=\phi(h_t,u_t;\theta)+w_t$. Here $\theta$ is the unknown system dynamics, $h_t $ is the state, $u_t$ is the input and $w_t$ is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Yahya Sattar , Samet Oymak

This paper presents a new algorithm for set-based state estimation of nonlinear discrete-time systems with bounded uncertainties. The novel method builds upon essential properties and computational advantages of constrained zonotopes (CZs)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-02 Brenner S. Rego , Guilherme V. Raffo , Marco H. Terra , Joseph K. Scott

In this work, we consider the class of multi-state autoregressive processes that can be used to model non-stationary time-series of interest. In order to capture different autoregressive (AR) states underlying an observed time series, it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh

In this paper, we present a data-driven controller design method for continuous-time nonlinear systems, using no model knowledge but only measured data affected by noise. While most existing approaches focus on systems with polynomial…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-11 Robin Strässer , Julian Berberich , Frank Allgöwer

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

The increasing deployment of distribution-level phasor measurement units (PMUs) calls for dynamic distribution state estimation (DDSE) approaches that tap into high-rate measurements to maintain a comprehensive view of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Jianhan Song , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Andrea Simonetto , Hao Zhu

Inferring biophysical parameters and hidden state variables from partial and noisy observations is a fundamental challenge in computational neuroscience. This problem is particularly difficult for fast - slow spiking and bursting models,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Changliang Wei , Yangyang Wang , Xueyu Zhu

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of data points related to the state are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-22 Benjamin Cox , Victor Elvira

We propose a new recursive estimator for linear dynamical systems under Gaussian process noise and non-Gaussian measurement noise. Specifically, we develop an approximate maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator using dynamic programming and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Mohammad Hussein Yoosefian Nooshabadi , Laurent Lessard

We propose a methodology that combines generative latent diffusion models with physics-informed machine learning to generate solutions of parametric partial differential equations (PDEs) conditioned on partial observations, which includes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Davide Gallon , Philippe von Wurstemberger , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven
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