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We propose Path Signatures Logistic Regression (PSLR), a semi-parametric framework for classifying vector-valued functional data with scalar covariates. Classical functional logistic regression models rely on linear assumptions and fixed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Pengcheng Zeng , Siyuan Jiang

We propose a stochastic model allowing property and casualty insurers with multiple business lines to measure their liabilities for incurred claims risk and calculate associated capital requirements. Our model includes many desirable…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Carlos Andrés Araiza Iturria , Frédéric Godin , Mélina Mailhot

Loss development modelling is the actuarial practice of predicting the total 'ultimate' losses incurred on a set of policies once all claims are reported and settled. This poses a challenging prediction task as losses frequently take years…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Conor Goold

We consider functional linear regression models where functional outcomes are associated with scalar predictors by coefficient functions with shape constraints, such as monotonicity and convexity, that apply to sub-domains of interest. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Kyunghee Han , Yeonjoo Park , Soo-Young Kim

We propose a functional linear model to predict a response using multiple functional and longitudinal predictors and to estimate the effect lags of predictors. The coefficient functions are written as the expansion of a basis system (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-24 Haiyan Liu , Georgios Aivaliotis , Jeanine Houwing-Duistermaat

A proportional iterative learning control (P-ILC) for linear models of an existing hybrid stroke rehabilitation scheme is implemented for elbow extension/flexion during a rehabilitative task. Owing to transient error growth problem of…

Hypothesis testing procedures are developed to assess linear operator constraints in function-on-scalar regression when incomplete functional responses are observed. The approach enables statistical inferences about the shape and other…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Yeonjoo Park , Kyunghee Han , Douglas G. Simpson

Casualty insurance-linked securities (ILS) are appealing to investors because the underlying insurance claims, which are directly related to resulting security performance, are uncorrelated with most other asset classes. Conversely,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Nathaniel Haines , Conor Goold , J. Mark Shoun

This paper introduces yet another stochastic model replicating chain-ladder estimates and furthermore considers extensions that add flexibility to the modeling. In its simplest form, the proposed model replicates the chain-ladder's…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-03 Gabriele Pittarello , Munir Hiabu , Andrés M. Villegas

Several aspects influence corrosive processes in RC structures, such as environmental conditions, structural geometry, and mechanical properties. Since these aspects present large randomnesses, probabilistic models allow a more accurate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Karolinne O. Coelho , Edson D. Leonel , Julio Flórez-López

The function-on-function linear regression model in which the response and predictors consist of random curves has become a general framework to investigate the relationship between the functional response and functional predictors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-03 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

We develop methodology to detect structural breaks in the slope function of a concurrent functional linear regression model for functional time series in $C[0,1]$. Our test is based on a CUSUM process of regressor-weighted OLS residual…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Rupsa Basu , Sven Otto

This paper proposes a new extension of the linear failure rate (LFR) model to better capture real-world lifetime data. The model incorporates an additional shape parameter to increase flexibility. It helps model the minimum survival time…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Suchismita Das , Akul Ameya , Cahyani Karunia Putri

A functional risk curve gives the probability of an undesirable event as a function of the value of a critical parameter of a considered physical system. In several applicative situations, this curve is built using phenomenological…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Bertrand Iooss , Loïc Le Gratiet

We propose two novel approaches for estimating time-varying effects of functional predictors within a linear functional Cox model framework. This model allows for time-varying associations of a functional predictor observed at baseline,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Hongyu Du , Andrew Leroux

The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is often used to evaluate the performance of clinical prediction models. Recently, a more refined strategy has been proposed to examine a partial area under the curve (pAUC),…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-22 Travis Gerke , Svitlana Tyekucheva , Lorelei Mucci , Giovanni Parmigiani

A partial least squares regression is proposed for estimating the function-on-function regression model where a functional response and multiple functional predictors consist of random curves with quadratic and interaction effects. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-11 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

Aiming for accurate estimation of system reliability of load-sharing systems, a flexible model for such systems is constructed by approximating the cumulative hazard functions of component lifetimes using piecewise linear functions. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-05 Shilpi Biswas , Ayon Ganguly , Debanjan Mitra

The use of cumulative incidence functions for characterizing the risk of one type of event in the presence of others has become increasingly popular over the past decade. The problems of modeling, estimation and inference have been treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-16 Youngjoo Cho , Annette M. Molinaro , Chen Hu , Robert L. Strawderman

We introduce new approaches for forecasting IBNR (Incurred But Not Reported) frequencies by leveraging individual claims data, which includes accident date, reporting delay, and possibly additional features for every reported claim. A key…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Munir Hiabu , Emil Hofman , Gabriele Pittarello
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