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Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

The exponential family of random graphs represents an important and challenging class of network models. Despite their flexibility, conventionally used exponential random graphs have one shortcoming. They cannot directly model weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-15 Mei Yin

Statistical models of real world data typically involve continuous probability distributions such as normal, Laplace, or exponential distributions. Such distributions are supported by many probabilistic modelling formalisms, including…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Martin Grohe , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Peter Lindner

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

Statistical modeling of multivariate and spatial extreme events has attracted broad attention in various areas of science. Max-stable distributions and processes are the natural class of models for this purpose, and many parametric families…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

The sum of independent, but not necessary identically distributed, exponential random variables follows hypoexponential distribution. We focus on a particular case when all, but one rate parameters of the exponential variables are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 George Yanev

We describe a procedure to introduce general dependence structures on a set of random variables. These include order-$q$ moving average-type structures, as well as seasonal, periodic, spatial and spatio-temporal dependences. The invariant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-15 Luis Nieto-Barajas , Eduardo Gutiérrez-Peña

We define and study the statistical models in exponential family form whose sufficient statistics are the degree distributions and the bi-degree distributions of undirected labelled simple graphs. Graphs that are constrained by the joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Kayvan Sadeghi , Alessandro Rinaldo

In this paper, we introduce a new class of distributions by compounding the exponentiated extended Weibull family and power series family. This distribution contains several lifetime models such as the complementary extended Weibull-power…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-03-31 Saeid Tahmasebi , Ali Akbar Jafari

For two causal structures with the same set of visible variables, one is said to observationally dominate the other if the set of distributions over the visible variables realizable by the first contains the set of distributions over the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-24 Marina Maciel Ansanelli , Elie Wolfe , Robert W. Spekkens

The class of random-cluster models is a unification of a variety of stochastic processes of significance for probability and statistical physics, including percolation, Ising, and Potts models; in addition, their study has impact on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Geoffrey Grimmett

Polynomials are common algebraic structures, which are often used to approximate functions including probability distributions. This paper proposes to directly define polynomial distributions in order to describe stochastic properties of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Yue Yu , Pavel Loskot

Upon a consistent topological statistical theory the application of structural statistics requires a quantification of the proximity structure of model spaces. An important tool to study these structures are Pseudo-Riemannian metrices,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Patrick Michl

It is shown that the exponential is the only distribution which satisfies a certain regression equation. This characterization equation involves the conditional expectation (regression function) of a record value given a pair of record…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-22 George P. Yanev

In statistical applications, the normal and the Laplace distributions are often contrasted: the former as a standard tool of analysis, the latter as its robust counterpart. I discuss the convolutions of these two popular distributions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Marco Geraci

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

Superstatistics is a framework in nonequilibrium statistical mechanics that successfully describes a wide variety of complex systems, including hydrodynamic turbulence, weakly-collisional plasmas, cosmic rays, power grid fluctuations, among…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Sergio Davis

When dealing with certain kind of complex phenomena the theoretician may face some difficulties -- typically a failure to have access to information for properly characterize the system -- for applying the full power of the standard…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Roberto Luzzi , Áurea R. Vasconcellos , J. Galvão Ramos

We explore the class of exchangeable Bernoulli distributions building on their geometrical structure. Exchangeable Bernoulli probability mass functions are points in a convex polytope and we have found analytical expressions for their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen
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