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The ability to forecast far into the future is highly beneficial to many applications, including but not limited to climatology, energy consumption, and logistics. However, due to noise or measurement error, it is questionable how far into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Fan-Keng Sun , Duane S. Boning

Recent progress in foundation models has enabled strong zero-shot performance for time series forecasting. In this work, we show that such capabilities can also emerge from tabular foundation models. We introduce TabPFN-TS, a simple method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Shi Bin Hoo , Samuel Müller , David Salinas , Frank Hutter

Can the latent spaces of modern generative neural rendering models serve as representations for 3D-aware discriminative visual understanding tasks? We use retrieval as a proxy for measuring the metric learning properties of the latent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Michael Tang , David Shustin

In this paper, we consider high-dimensional stationary processes where a new observation is generated from a compressed version of past observations. The specific evolution is modeled by an encoder-decoder structure. We estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

To develop a preliminary understanding towards Graph Foundation Models, we study the extent to which pretrained Graph Neural Networks can be applied across datasets, an effort requiring to be agnostic to dataset-specific features and their…

In the manufacturing process, sensor data collected from equipment is crucial for building predictive models to manage processes and improve productivity. However, in the field, it is challenging to gather sufficient data to build robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Gyeong Taek Lee , Oh-Ran Kwon

We investigate the use of randomly generated data for the sake of pre-training a model. We justify this approach theoretically from the perspective of algorithmic complexity, building on recent research that shows that sequence models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Peter Bloem

In this work, we propose ModelPred, a framework that helps to understand the impact of changes in training data on a trained model. This is critical for building trust in various stages of a machine learning pipeline: from cleaning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Yingyan Zeng , Jiachen T. Wang , Si Chen , Hoang Anh Just , Ran Jin , Ruoxi Jia

A modern paradigm for generalization in machine learning and AI consists of pre-training a task-agnostic foundation model, generally obtained using self-supervised and multimodal contrastive learning. The resulting representations can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Ronak Mehta , Zaid Harchaoui

Understanding Transformer-based models has attracted significant attention, as they lie at the heart of recent technological advances across machine learning. While most interpretability methods rely on running models over inputs, recent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Guy Dar , Mor Geva , Ankit Gupta , Jonathan Berant

Zero-shot Learners are models capable of predicting unseen classes. In this work, we propose a Zero-shot Learning approach for text categorization. Our method involves training model on a large corpus of sentences to learn the relationship…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Pushpankar Kumar Pushp , Muktabh Mayank Srivastava

Learning complex time series forecasting models usually requires a large amount of data, as each model is trained from scratch for each task/data set. Leveraging learning experience with similar datasets is a well-established technique for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Lukas Brinkmeyer , Rafael Rego Drumond , Johannes Burchert , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Large-scale pretraining instills large amounts of knowledge in deep neural networks. This, in turn, improves the generalization behavior of these models in downstream tasks. What exactly are the limits to the generalization benefits of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-23 A. Emin Orhan

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g., demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Smit Marvaniya , Jitendra Singh , Nicolas Galichet , Fred Ochieng Otieno , Geeth De Mel , Kommy Weldemariam

Large pre-trained models have been vital in recent advancements in domains like language and vision, making model training for individual downstream tasks more efficient and provide superior performance. However, tackling time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , B. Aditya Prakash

Zero-shot learning aims to recognize instances of unseen classes, for which no visual instance is available during training, by learning multimodal relations between samples from seen classes and corresponding class semantic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Yannick Le Cacheux , Hervé Le Borgne , Michel Crucianu

We revisit the classical, full-fledged Bayesian model averaging (BMA) paradigm to ensemble pre-trained and/or lightly-finetuned foundation models to enhance the classification performance on image and text data. To make BMA tractable under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Mijung Park

Pre-trained Transformers are now ubiquitous in natural language processing, but despite their high end-task performance, little is known empirically about whether they are calibrated. Specifically, do these models' posterior probabilities…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Shrey Desai , Greg Durrett