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As data-driven methods rise in popularity in materials science applications, a key question is how these machine learning models can be used to understand microstructure. Given the importance of process-structure-property relations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-02 Julia Ling , Maxwell Hutchinson , Erin Antono , Brian DeCost , Elizabeth A. Holm , Bryce Meredig

Process Reward Models (PRMs) emerge as a promising approach for process supervision in mathematical reasoning of Large Language Models (LLMs), which aim to identify and mitigate intermediate errors in the reasoning processes. However, the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Zhenru Zhang , Chujie Zheng , Yangzhen Wu , Beichen Zhang , Runji Lin , Bowen Yu , Dayiheng Liu , Jingren Zhou , Junyang Lin

While pre-trained language models (PLMs) are the go-to solution to tackle many natural language processing problems, they are still very limited in their ability to capture and to use common-sense knowledge. In fact, even if information is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mohammed Saeed , Naser Ahmadi , Preslav Nakov , Paolo Papotti

Risk management is an important practice in the banking industry. In this paper we develop a new methodology to estimate and predict the probability of default (PD) based on the rating transition matrices, which relates the rating…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-28 Jinghai Shao , Siming Li , Yong Li

A new type of robust estimation problem is introduced where the goal is to recover a statistical model that has been corrupted after it has been estimated from data. Methods are proposed for "repairing" the model using only the design and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Chao Gao , John Lafferty

Deep neural networks are widely used in practical applications of AI, however, their inner structure and complexity made them generally not easily interpretable. Model transparency and interpretability are key requirements for multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Luca Bergamin , Roberto Confalonieri , Fabio Aiolli

Accurate time series forecasting models are often compromised by data drift, where underlying data distributions change over time, leading to significant declines in prediction performance. To address this challenge, this study proposes an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Nikhil Pawar , Guilherme Vieira Hollweg , Akhtar Hussain , Wencong Su , Van-Hai Bui

Predicting the probability of default (PD) of prospective loans is a critical objective for financial institutions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) algorithms have achieved remarkable success across a wide variety of prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Adrian Iulian Cristescu , Matteo Giordano

A major requirement for credit scoring models is to provide a maximally accurate risk prediction. Additionally, regulators demand these models to be transparent and auditable. Thus, in credit scoring, very simple predictive models such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-30 Michael Bücker , Gero Szepannek , Alicja Gosiewska , Przemyslaw Biecek

Rule-based models, e.g., decision trees, are widely used in scenarios demanding high model interpretability for their transparent inner structures and good model expressivity. However, rule-based models are hard to optimize, especially on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Zhuo Wang , Wei Zhang , Ning Liu , Jianyong Wang

This study proposes an interpretable prediction framework with literature-informed fine-tuned (LIFT) LLMs for truck driving risk prediction. The framework integrates an LLM-driven Inference Core that predicts and explains truck driving…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Xiao Hu , Yuansheng Lian , Ke Zhang , Yunxuan Li , Yuelong Su , Meng Li

Online transaction fraud presents substantial challenges to businesses and consumers, risking significant financial losses. Conventional rule-based systems struggle to keep pace with evolving fraud tactics, leading to high false positive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-20 Catayoun Azarm , Erman Acar , Mickey van Zeelt

Financial fraud is the cause of multi-billion dollar losses annually. Traditionally, fraud detection systems rely on rules due to their transparency and interpretability, key features in domains where decisions need to be explained.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 João Lucas Martins , João Bravo , Ana Sofia Gomes , Carlos Soares , Pedro Bizarro

Financial risk prediction plays a crucial role in the financial sector. Machine learning methods have been widely applied for automatically detecting potential risks and thus saving the cost of labor. However, the development in this field…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-02 Yuwei Yin , Yazheng Yang , Jian Yang , Qi Liu

The objective of this paper is to explore how financial big data and machine learning methods can be applied to model and understand financial products. We focus on residential mortgage backed securities, resMBS, which were at the heart of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Margret Bjarnadottir , Louiqa Raschid

Deploying machine learning in regulated financial environments -- credit risk, fraud detection, and anti-money laundering -- exposes critical vulnerabilities in algorithmic reproducibility. While early financial ML addressed statistical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Ruizhe Zhou , Xiaoyang Liu , Gaoyuan Du , Yi Zheng , Shouxi Ren , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Dengdu Jiang

Property graphs are widely used in domains such as healthcare, finance, and social networks, but they often contain errors due to inconsistencies, missing data, or schema violations. Traditional rule-based and heuristic-driven graph repair…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Hrishikesh Terdalkar , Angela Bonifati , Andrea Mauri

A wide variety of model explanation approaches have been proposed in recent years, all guided by very different rationales and heuristics. In this paper, we take a new route and cast interpretability as a statistical inference problem. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Hugo Henri Joseph Senetaire , Damien Garreau , Jes Frellsen , Pierre-Alexandre Mattei

Process-level Reward Models (PRMs) are crucial for complex reasoning and decision-making tasks, where each intermediate step plays an important role in the reasoning process. Since language models are prone to various types of errors during…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Mingyang Song , Zhaochen Su , Xiaoye Qu , Jiawei Zhou , Yu Cheng

In the realm of globalized financial markets, commercial banks are confronted with an escalating magnitude of credit risk, thereby imposing heightened requisites upon the security of bank assets and financial stability. This study harnesses…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-31 Yu Cheng , Qin Yang , Liyang Wang , Ao Xiang , Jingyu Zhang