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We describe a variational approximation method for efficient inference in large-scale probabilistic models. Variational methods are deterministic procedures that provide approximations to marginal and conditional probabilities of interest.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-30 T. S. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

The dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) has become a leading tool for data-driven modeling of dynamical systems, providing a regression framework for fitting linear dynamical models to time-series measurement data. We present a simple…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Travis Askham , J. Nathan Kutz

When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Hermann G. Matthies , Elmar Zander , Bojana Rosic , Alexander Litvinenko

It is shown that a well-known theory of random stationary processes contain contradictions. Integral representations of correlation functions and random stationary processes are investigated further. The new method of struggle with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-09 V. N. Tibabishev

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This paper derives an optimal control strategy for a simple stochastic dynamical system with constant drift and an additive control input. Motivated by the example of a physical system with an unexpected change in its dynamics, we take the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Daniel Gurevich , Debdipta Goswami , Charles L. Fefferman , Clarence W. Rowley

We propose to compute approximations to general invariant sets in dynamical systems by minimizing the distance between an appropriately selected finite set of points and its image under the dynamics. We demonstrate, through computational…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Oliver Junge , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

This paper presents a data-driven algorithm for simultaneous system identification and parameter estimation in control-affine nonlinear systems. Parameter estimation is achieved by training a data-driven predictive model using state-action…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Moad Abudia , Opeyemi Owolabi , Joel A. Rosenfeld , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

Estimation of rigid body attitude motion is a long-standing problem of interest in several applications. This problem is challenging primarily because rigid body motion is described by nonlinear dynamics and the state space is nonlinear.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Maziar Izadi , Sasi Prabhakaran Viswanathan , Amit Kumar Sanyal , Carlos Silvestre , Paulo Oliveira

We present an optimization-based method for the joint estimation of system parameters and noise covariances of linear time-variant systems. Given measured data, this method maximizes the likelihood of the parameters. We solve the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Léo Simpson , Andrea Ghezzi , Jonas Asprion , Moritz Diehl

We address object tracking by radar and the robustness of the current state-of-the-art methods to process outliers. The standard tracking algorithms extract detections from radar image space to use it in the filtering stage. Filtering is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-30 Alp Sarı , Tak Kaneko , Lense H. M. Swaenen , Wouter M. Kouw

Variational Quantum Algorithms are among the most promising systems to implement quantum computing under the Noisy-Intermediate Scale Quantum (NISQ) technology. In variational quantum algorithm, wavefunction represented by a parametrized…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-02 H. Davoodi Yeganeh

This paper deals with the problem of on-line identification of the parameters of a realistic dynamical model of a photovoltaic array connected to a power system through a power converter. It has been shown in the literature that, when…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Alexey Bobtsov , Fernando Mancilla-David , Stanislav Aranovskiy , Romeo Ortega

For additive actuator and sensor faults, we propose a systematic method to design a state-space fault estimation filter directly from Markov parameters identified from fault-free data. We address this problem by parameterizing a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-31 Yiming Wan , Tamas Keviczky , Michel Verhaegen

We present a novel parameter identification algorithm for the estimation of parameters in models of cell motility using imaging data of migrating cells. Two alternative formulations of the objective functional that measures the difference…

Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

In this work, we define a practical identifiability criterion, (e, q)-identifiability, based on a parameter e, reflecting the noise in observed variables, and a parameter q, reflecting the mean-square error of the parameter estimator. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Nora Heitzman-Breen , Vanja Dukic , David M. Bortz

We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty