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Stochastic estimators are fundamental to large-scale optimization, where population quantities must be inferred from noisy oracle observations. Although influential methods such as momentum, SPIDER, STORM, and PAGE have been highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Zhankun Luo , Antesh Upadhyay , M. Berk Sahin , Sang Bin Moon , Anuran Makur , Abolfazl Hashemi

In this paper, we propose a class of low-rank panel quantile regression models which allow for unobserved slope heterogeneity over both individuals and time. We estimate the heterogeneous intercept and slope matrices via nuclear norm…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-21 Yiren Wang , Liangjun Su , Yichong Zhang

Let $X$ be a random variable with unknown mean and finite variance. We present a new estimator of the mean of $X$ that is robust with respect to the possible presence of outliers in the sample, provides tight sub-Gaussian deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Stanislav Minsker , Mohamed Ndaoud

We study approximation properties of linear sampling operators in the spaces $L_p$ for $1\le p<\infty$. By means of the Steklov averages, we introduce a new measure of smoothness that simultaneously contains information on the smoothness of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Yurii Kolomoitsev , Tetiana Lomako

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

A specific family of point processes are introduced that allow to select samples for the purpose of estimating the mean or the integral of a function of a real variable. These processes, called quasi-systematic processes, depend on a tuning…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Matthieu Wilhelm , Yves Tillé , Lionel Qualité

The non-parametric estimation of average causal effects in observational studies often relies on controlling for confounding covariates through smoothing regression methods such as kernel, splines or local polynomial regression. Such…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-20 Jenny Häggström , Xavier de Luna

Many common estimators in machine learning and causal inference are linear smoothers, where the prediction is a weighted average of the training outcomes. Some estimators, such as ordinary least squares and kernel ridge regression, allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 David Arbour , Harsh Parikh , Bijan Niknam , Elizabeth Stuart , Kara Rudolph , Avi Feller

We study an estimator for smoothing irregularly sampled data into a smooth map. The estimator has been widely used in astronomy, owing to its low level of noise; it involves a weight function -- or smoothing kernel -- w(\theta). We show…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 Marco Lombardi , Peter Schneider

This paper is concerned with the simultaneous estimation of $k$ population means when one suspects that the $k$ means are nearly equal. As an alternative to the preliminary test estimator based on the test statistics for testing hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Ryo Imai , Tatsuya Kubokawa , Malay Ghosh

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles, of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator of the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-09 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Djabrane Yahia

Various indicators and measures of the real life procedures rise up as functionals of the quantile process of a parent random variable Z. However, Z can be observed only through a response in a linear model whose covariates are not under…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Jana Jurečková , Jan Picek , Jan Kalina

This paper studies convergence of empirical measures smoothed by a Gaussian kernel. Specifically, consider approximating $P\ast\mathcal{N}_\sigma$, for $\mathcal{N}_\sigma\triangleq\mathcal{N}(0,\sigma^2 \mathrm{I}_d)$, by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Ziv Goldfeld , Kristjan Greenewald , Yury Polyanskiy , Jonathan Weed

This paper investigates asymptotic properties of algorithms that can be viewed as robust analogues of the classical empirical risk minimization. These strategies are based on replacing the usual empirical average by a robust proxy of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Stanislav Minsker

Model averaging, as an appealing ensemble technique, strategically integrates all valuable information from candidate models to construct fast and accurate prediction. Despite of having been widely practiced in many fields such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Zhuang Yong , Lv Jing , Tingting Li

Data-driven extrapolation methods aim to extend the dynamics of quantum observables from measurements, but they often lack guarantees on prediction accuracy. We introduce a framework based on atomic norm minimization that can certify…

Voronoi intensity estimators, which are non-parametric estimators for intensity functions of point processes, are both parameter-free and adaptive; the intensity estimate at a given location is given by the reciprocal size of the…

Smoothing splines have been used pervasively in nonparametric regressions. However, the computational burden of smoothing splines is significant when the sample size $n$ is large. When the number of predictors $d\geq2$, the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-13 Cheng Meng , Jun Yu , Yongkai Chen , Wenxuan Zhong , Ping Ma

Reduced-order models based on level-set methods are widely used tools to qualitatively capture and track the nonlinear dynamics of an interface. The aim of this paper is to develop a physics-informed, data-driven, statistically rigorous…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-20 Hans Yu , Matthew P. Juniper , Luca Magri

We introduce a novel regression framework which simultaneously models the quantile and the Expected Shortfall (ES) of a response variable given a set of covariates. This regression is based on a strictly consistent loss function for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Timo Dimitriadis , Sebastian Bayer