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Machine learning algorithms find frequent application in spatial prediction of biotic and abiotic environmental variables. However, the characteristics of spatial data, especially spatial autocorrelation, are widely ignored. We hypothesize…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-11 Hanna Meyer , Christoph Reudenbach , Stephan Wöllauer , Thomas Nauss

Model-based component-wise gradient boosting is a popular tool for data-driven variable selection. In order to improve its prediction and selection qualities even further, several modifications of the original algorithm have been developed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-28 Sophie Potts , Elisabeth Bergherr , Constantin Reinke , Colin Griesbach

In this paper we develop a novel approach for estimating large and sparse dynamic factor models using variational inference, also allowing for missing data. Inspired by Bayesian variable selection, we apply slab-and-spike priors onto the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Estimating causal effects from nonexperimental data is a fundamental problem in many fields of science. A key component of this task is selecting an appropriate set of covariates for confounding adjustment to avoid bias. Most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Zheng Li , Xichen Guo , Feng Xie , Yan Zeng , Hao Zhang , Zhi Geng

We propose a novel method for variable selection in functional linear concurrent regression. Our research is motivated by a fisheries footprint study where the goal is to identify important time-varying socio-structural drivers influencing…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-01 Rahul Ghosal , Arnab Maity , Timothy Clark , Stefano B Longo

Conventional likelihood-based information criteria for model selection rely on the distribution assumption of data. However, for complex data that are increasingly available in many scientific fields, the specification of their underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Chixiang Chen , Ming Wang , Rongling Wu , Runze Li

This paper studies model selection consistency for high dimensional sparse regression when data exhibits both cross-sectional and serial dependency. Most commonly-used model selection methods fail to consistently recover the true model when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Ke , Kaizheng Wang

Modern variable selection procedures make use of penalization methods to execute simultaneous model selection and estimation. A popular method is the LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator), the use of which requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke

Despite the abundance of methods for variable selection and accommodating spatial structure in regression models, there is little precedent for incorporating spatial dependence in covariate inclusion probabilities for regionally varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Kristian Lum

The spatial random-effects model is flexible in modeling spatial covariance functions, and is computationally efficient for spatial prediction via fixed rank kriging. However, the success of this model depends on an appropriate set of basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-23 ShengLi Tzeng , Hsin-Cheng Huang

Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza

We consider linear random coefficient regression models, where the regressors are allowed to have a finite support. First, we investigate identifiability, and show that the means and the variances and covariances of the random coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Philipp Hermann , Hajo Holzmann

We develop an algorithm for model selection which allows for the consideration of a combinatorially large number of candidate models governing a dynamical system. The innovation circumvents a disadvantage of standard model selection which…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-01 Niall M. Mangan , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor

We propose a functional linear model to predict a response using multiple functional and longitudinal predictors and to estimate the effect lags of predictors. The coefficient functions are written as the expansion of a basis system (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-24 Haiyan Liu , Georgios Aivaliotis , Jeanine Houwing-Duistermaat

Varying-coefficient functional linear models consider the relationship between a response and a predictor, where the response depends not only the predictor but also an exogenous variable. It then accounts for the relation of the predictors…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hidetoshi Matsui

We propose information criteria that measure the prediction risk of a predictive density based on the Bayesian marginal likelihood from a frequentist point of view. We derive criteria for selecting variables in linear regression models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-20 Yuki Kawakubo , Tatsuya Kubokawa , Muni S. Srivastava

Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to conduct variable selection and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performances largely depend on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-16 Wei Sun , Junhui Wang , Yixin Fang

We develop a variational Bayes approach for dynamic variable selection in high-dimensional regression models with time-varying parameters and predictors that exhibit a predefined group structure. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Nicolas Bianco , Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

In the problem of selecting variables in a multivariate linear regression model, we derive new Bayesian information criteria based on a prior mixing a smooth distribution and a delta distribution. Each of them can be interpreted as a fusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Haruki Kono , Tatsuya Kubokawa