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In this paper, we propose a chance constrained stochastic model predictive control scheme for reference tracking of distributed linear time-invariant systems with additive stochastic uncertainty. The chance constraints are reformulated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

Motion planning for autonomous driving must account for multi-modal uncertainty in both the intentions and trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Handling uncertainty in a worst-case manner guarantees robustness but often leads to excessive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Zekun Xing , Ramkrishna Chaudhari , Marion Leibold , Dirk Wollherr , Martin Buss

We pose the decumulation strategy for a Defined Contribution (DC) pension plan as a problem in optimal stochastic control. The controls are the withdrawal amounts and the asset allocation strategy. We impose maximum and minimum constraints…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-18 Peter A. Forsyth

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

The optimal operation of water reservoir systems is a challenging task involving multiple conflicting objectives. The main source of complexity is the presence of the water inflow, which acts as an exogenous, highly uncertain disturbance on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-04 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Andrea Castelletti , Simone Formentin

In this paper we present a stochastic scenario-based model predictive control (MPC) approach for the operation of islanded microgrids with high share of renewable energy sources. We require that the stored energy remains within given bounds…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Jie Lei , Christian A. Hans , Pantelis Sopasakis

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive controller (SMPC) for linear time-invariant systems in the presence of additive disturbances. The distribution of the disturbance is unknown and is assumed to have a bounded support. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-03 Hotae Lee , Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Francesco Borrelli

Security-Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC) is one of the most significant problems in secure and optimal operation of modern electricity markets. New sources of uncertainties such as wind speed volatility and price-sensitive loads impose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Mehrtash , Mahdi Raoofat , Mohammad Mohammadi , Mohammad Hossein Zakernejad

This paper introduces a novel concept for addressing non-convexity in the cost functions of distributed economic model predictive control (DEMPC) systems. Specifically, the proposed algorithm enables agents to self-organize into a hierarchy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-21 Ali C. Kheirabadi , Ryozo Nagamune

Ensuring safety under unknown and stochastic dynamics remains a significant challenge in reinforcement learning (RL). In this paper, we propose a model predictive control (MPC)-based safe RL framework, called Probabilistic Ensembles with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Ali Umut Kaypak , Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Farshad Khorrami

We present a Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC) framework for linear systems subject to Gaussian disturbances. In order to avoid feasibility issues, we employ a recent initialization strategy, optimizing over an interpolation of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-17 Henning Schlüter , Frank Allgöwer

Measuring the contribution of a bank or an insurance company to overall systemic risk is a key concern, particularly in the aftermath of the 2007--2009 financial crisis and the 2020 downturn. In this paper, we derive worst-case and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Jinghui Chen , Edward Furman , X. Sheldon Lin

This paper considers linear discrete-time systems with additive disturbances, and designs a Model Predictive Control (MPC) law to minimise a quadratic cost function subject to a chance constraint. The chance constraint is defined as a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Shuhao Yan , Paul Goulart , Mark Cannon

We present a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) framework for linear systems subject to possibly unbounded disturbances. State of the art SMPC approaches with closed-loop chance constraint satisfaction recursively initialize the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Systemic risk measures were introduced to capture the global risk and the corresponding contagion effects that is generated by an interconnected system of financial institutions. To this purpose, two approaches were suggested. In the first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Sarah Kaakai , Anis Matoussi , Achraf Tamtalini

Foundation models often generate unreliable answers, while heuristic uncertainty estimators fail to fully distinguish correct from incorrect outputs, causing users to accept erroneous answers without any statistical guarantee. We address…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Wang , Aniri , Tianlong Chen , Yue Zhang , Heng Tao Shen , Xiaoshuang Shi , Kaidi Xu

The problem of achieving a good trade-off in Stochastic Model Predictive Control between the competing goals of improving the average performance and reducing conservativeness, while still guaranteeing recursive feasibility and low…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Matthias Lorenzen , Frank Allgöwer , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

This paper presents the open-source stochastic model predictive control framework GRAMPC-S for nonlinear uncertain systems with chance constraints. It provides several uncertainty propagation methods to predict stochastic moments of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-25 Daniel Landgraf , Andreas Völz , Knut Graichen

This article presents a dynamic regret analysis for stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) in linear systems with quadratic performance index and additive and multiplicative uncertainties. Under a finite support assumption, the problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Sungho Shin , Sen Na , Mihai Anitescu

This paper presents a robust economic model predictive control (EMPC) formulation with zone tracking for discrete-time uncertain nonlinear systems. The proposed design ensures that the zone tracking objective is achieved in finite steps and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-22 Benjamin Decardi-Nelson , Jinfeng Liu