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We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

Graph-based methods have shown particular strengths in change-point detection (CPD) tasks for high-dimensional nonparametric settings. However, existing CPD research has rarely addressed data with repeated measurements or local group…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Serim Han , Jingru Zhang , Hoseung Song

Time-varying random objects have been increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Moreover, in a substantial number of these applications, periodic behaviour of the random objects has been observed. We develop a novel procedure to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

This paper develops change-point methods for the spectrum of a locally stationary time series. We focus on series with a bounded spectral density that change smoothly under the null hypothesis but exhibits change-points or becomes less…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Score-based methods have recently seen increasing popularity in modeling and generation. Methods have been constructed to perform hypothesis testing and change-point detection with score functions, but these methods are in general not as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Sean Moushegian , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh

We propose a general approach for change-point detection in dynamic networks. The proposed method is model-free and covers a wide range of dynamic networks. The key idea behind our approach is to effectively utilize the network structure in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-07 Zifeng Zhao , Li Chen , Lizhen Lin

A change point detection procedure using the method of moment estimators is proposed. The test statistics is based on a suitable $Z$-process. The asymptotic behavior of this process is established under both the null and the alternative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-08 Ilia Negri , Yoichi Nishiyama

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

Systemic and idiosyncratic patterns in pitching mechanics of 24 top starting pitchers in Major League Baseball (MLB) are extracted and discovered from PITCHf/x database. These evolving patterns across different pitchers or seasons are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Fushing Hsieh , Kevin Fujii , Tania Roy , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Brenda McCowan

A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

This paper proposes an information theory approach to estimate the number of changepoints and their locations in a climatic time series. A model is introduced that has an unknown number of changepoints and allows for series…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-08 QiQi Lu , Robert Lund , Thomas C. M. Lee

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

Injuries are a major cost in sports. Teams spend millions of dollars every year on players who are hurt and unable to play, resulting in lost games, decreased fan interest and additional wages for replacement players. Modern convolutional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-19 AJ Piergiovanni , Michael S. Ryoo

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-29 Jie Li , Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz , Tengyao Wang

Generative, temporal network models play an important role in analyzing the dependence structure and evolution patterns of complex networks. Due to the complicated nature of real network data, it is often naive to assume that the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 Daniel Cirkovic , Tiandong Wang , Xianyang Zhang

In baseball, a scouting report profiles a player's characteristics and traits, usually intended for use in player valuation. This work presents a first-of-its-kind dataset of almost 10,000 scouting reports for minor league, international,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Jacob Danovitch

The widespread use of machine learning algorithms calls for automatic change detection algorithms to monitor their behavior over time. As a machine learning algorithm learns from a continuous, possibly evolving, stream of data, it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-29 Lang Liu , Joseph Salmon , Zaid Harchaoui

Detecting changes in data streams is a vital task in many applications. There is increasing interest in changepoint detection in the online setting, to enable real-time monitoring and support prompt responses and informed decision-making.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Victor K. Khamesi , Niall M. Adams , Dean A. Bodenham , Edward A. K. Cohen

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama